S.E.C. PICKS

fade me I am cold

TEXAS A&M +2 1/2

Tough SEC card this week.

Bama at A&M   Will the real A&M (whatever that is) show up? Bama will play good defense and run the ball. A&M had a good offense with Weigman at QB, not as solid with Johnson. I can't figure out A&M defense, but i'd be inclined to go under and leave the spread alone.

LSU @ Missouri  Again, what is LSU? Missouri has only one quality opponent, a 3 point win over Kansas State. Missouri catching 6.5 at home, over under at 64.5. Seems like a lot of points, but Mo is scoring against weak defenses, and sometimes that's what LSU has. LSU scoring consistently big numbers. If I played it I would probably take LSU and their embarrassment factor to cover, but not for much.

Vanderbilt at Florida  LIne is 18.5 but taking the Gators and laying that many points isn't easy. Based on all the games but Mcneese State I'd guess the Gators are good for about 24. Can Vandy score 1 TD? Over/Under is at 52 suggesting an expected score around 35-17. Lean towards Vandy and under

Kentucky @ Georgia Dawgs favored by 14.5 over under 49. Big concern here is Ray Davis and what he did to Florida alongside what UGA gave up to Auburn. Leary has not been what was expected after leaving NC State. Passing game is weak. Defensive numbers look good, but against weak competition. On offense, UGA starts slow and is inconsistent. No running back has distinguished himself which is why Dillon Bell has been carrying the ball as much as he has. Passing game has looked sharp at times, Bowers is exceptional and the wideouts are better than average. Beck is poised if not particularly creative under pressure. No running back has shown an ability to run the wheel route they used so much last year. defensive secondary is strong but not deep. Mondon and Johnson are good at linebacker. D line isn't as strong or deep as the last two years. Special teams are better than average. I think Georgia tries to stop the run and relies on their DBs to hang with KY's receivers and Leary to not be able to hit them. Kentucky makes UGA throw the ball. I'm leaning under and not playing the line.

Arkansas at Ole Miss Rebs favored by 11.5 Over/Under 63. Arkansas has a problem on offense. They looked horrible against A&M. Jefferson takes too many sacks and won't throw the ball. The line isn't opening holes and O line is Pittman's forte. Ole Miss can score on anyone and Judkins seemed to finally come to life last week. Look for the Rebs to cover the 11.5

Hope this helps your focus Carter. You've been too good in the past to have just lost it.