It's been a minute since posting, but this will allow me to generate thoughts as betting is now legal in my state. Have opinions on some, but feel free to chime in and lets have some conversation about some of these games:
Illinois -10 vs Wyoming: Pokes 112th in returning production. Rumblings they had to hold open tryouts this spring, given how many kids left during the offseason. I could see Bert running it up here and I don't know how Wyoming scores, given Illinois's surprising defense. Illinois 31-10
Michigan St -17 vs WMU: MSU brings back Thorne and Reed and added like 7 transfers from the portal, all of which seem to have starting jobs. WMU gutted last year, and will be starting a RS Frosh at QB. Friday night game as well, and MSU only has Akron on deck. MSU 45-14
Utah -2 at Florida: Don't love the road chalk, but Utes are legit. Florida fans high on Napier, but reports are pretty bad out of camp. Injuries to all QBs but Richardson, WR drops, new D struggling to learn concepts, etc. Florida has Kentucky on deck and Utes know they need this to kick-start their Playoff run, knowing the P12 sucks. Utah 31-24
UTEP at OU, Over 56: Tempo gonna be key for Sooners. They are loaded on offense. Going to see how UTEP does week 1 vs UNT from an O perspective, but everyone thinks OU D will improve overnight with Venables is mistaken. Sooners could hit this # themselves. OU 49-17
Tenn -32 vs Ball St: BSU 127th overall in returning production. Tennessee returns 80% of its offensive production. All comes down to the Tenn D getting a stop or two in the 4Q. Tenn 52-17
Washington -21 vs Kent: Kent lost do everything QB, 119th in returning O production. Husky D should be pretty good. All depends on Wash offense. Signs Pennix winning QB job. Huskies gonna throw a ton (like staff did at Fresno) and Kent D 116th in passing D LY. Washington: 34-7
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
It's been a minute since posting, but this will allow me to generate thoughts as betting is now legal in my state. Have opinions on some, but feel free to chime in and lets have some conversation about some of these games:
Illinois -10 vs Wyoming: Pokes 112th in returning production. Rumblings they had to hold open tryouts this spring, given how many kids left during the offseason. I could see Bert running it up here and I don't know how Wyoming scores, given Illinois's surprising defense. Illinois 31-10
Michigan St -17 vs WMU: MSU brings back Thorne and Reed and added like 7 transfers from the portal, all of which seem to have starting jobs. WMU gutted last year, and will be starting a RS Frosh at QB. Friday night game as well, and MSU only has Akron on deck. MSU 45-14
Utah -2 at Florida: Don't love the road chalk, but Utes are legit. Florida fans high on Napier, but reports are pretty bad out of camp. Injuries to all QBs but Richardson, WR drops, new D struggling to learn concepts, etc. Florida has Kentucky on deck and Utes know they need this to kick-start their Playoff run, knowing the P12 sucks. Utah 31-24
UTEP at OU, Over 56: Tempo gonna be key for Sooners. They are loaded on offense. Going to see how UTEP does week 1 vs UNT from an O perspective, but everyone thinks OU D will improve overnight with Venables is mistaken. Sooners could hit this # themselves. OU 49-17
Tenn -32 vs Ball St: BSU 127th overall in returning production. Tennessee returns 80% of its offensive production. All comes down to the Tenn D getting a stop or two in the 4Q. Tenn 52-17
Washington -21 vs Kent: Kent lost do everything QB, 119th in returning O production. Husky D should be pretty good. All depends on Wash offense. Signs Pennix winning QB job. Huskies gonna throw a ton (like staff did at Fresno) and Kent D 116th in passing D LY. Washington: 34-7
Only concern on that Tenn/Ball St line is UT has Pitt on deck in a revenge spot. Could be a fairly vanilla game plan in the opener similar to last year against Bowling Green where they kept the ball on the ground most of the game.
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I like 'em. BoL!
Only concern on that Tenn/Ball St line is UT has Pitt on deck in a revenge spot. Could be a fairly vanilla game plan in the opener similar to last year against Bowling Green where they kept the ball on the ground most of the game.
Line now up to 11.. would assume this continues to climb day of game, when people realize Cowboys were gutted this offseason. Illini not some power, but much better in this spot.
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YTD: 0-0
Week 0
Illinois -10 vs. Wyoming
Line now up to 11.. would assume this continues to climb day of game, when people realize Cowboys were gutted this offseason. Illini not some power, but much better in this spot.
I'm close to adding Rutgers- BC OL apparently a mess.. Rutgers again will focus on transfers to provide impact.. not sure why I haven't pulled the trigger yet
I missed 20.5 and 21 with Maryland, so laying off there.. maybe come back to Terps Team Total.. same with Tennessee- team total (if under 40 might be the play)
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I'm close to adding Rutgers- BC OL apparently a mess.. Rutgers again will focus on transfers to provide impact.. not sure why I haven't pulled the trigger yet
I missed 20.5 and 21 with Maryland, so laying off there.. maybe come back to Terps Team Total.. same with Tennessee- team total (if under 40 might be the play)
Oregon +10 1H vs. UGA: think its close at half then uga pulls away. Benz stadium plays fast, which should help Ducks keep it close.
Louisville, TCU, Ohio St ML Parlay (+106): Essentially 2 quasi locks straight up to get the Cards at + money. They seem to have Orange # and I'm more comfortable possibly sweating another game vs. laying more than a FG on the road
Week 1 plays locked in:
Michigan St -17 vs Western Michigan
Utah -130 ML vs Florida
UTEP at OU, Over 56
Oregon +10 1H vs. UGA
Louisville, TCU, Ohio St ML Parlay
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Welp, should have bet Tennessee. Annoying..
Adding:
Oregon +10 1H vs. UGA: think its close at half then uga pulls away. Benz stadium plays fast, which should help Ducks keep it close.
Louisville, TCU, Ohio St ML Parlay (+106): Essentially 2 quasi locks straight up to get the Cards at + money. They seem to have Orange # and I'm more comfortable possibly sweating another game vs. laying more than a FG on the road
Meh saturday.. need to continue to play my gut.. Rutgers over a TD was a lean all week.. also hated the huge line movements early last week- Maryland, Wash, etc.. Utah loss ws also brutal
YTD: 3-3
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Meh saturday.. need to continue to play my gut.. Rutgers over a TD was a lean all week.. also hated the huge line movements early last week- Maryland, Wash, etc.. Utah loss ws also brutal
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