I too used to be the guy that saw UNDEFEATED vs WINLESS and immediately thought parlay fodder. I'm not a complete Degen, I CAN remember Coastal losing the perfect season in a Bowl game (saw it at Circa of all places, what a day). But for funsies, I thought I take a look into it, which I doubt most of the "75%" consensus has done.
Coastal WAS an 11-1 & 11-2 'TEAM', but that was after returning nearly every starter (19/22) AND having double figure seniors/grads commit for the extra season. Before this little run, they were a 5-7 team. The narrow win as a 33pt favorite vs Gardner was a big sign (and quickly speaking of, I'd pay some attention to the bulldogs and watch any lines on them). GW was never truly out of it, but almost back-to-back they gave up a punt return for TD and then lost a fumble that took 2 plays to give up another TD. But still, it was only a 4 point game with a minute left (before they got intercepted at midfield).
*Coastal allowed 450yd of Passing. Their average was 190 last year.
*Coastal's DEFENSE is allowing +100yds more than last year, while on OFFENSE their rushing is down 30-40yds.
Just seeing a lot of guys that will write off a 20pt favorite that lost by 1, only to forgive a much bigger favorite that only won by 4. Bout to find out...
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I too used to be the guy that saw UNDEFEATED vs WINLESS and immediately thought parlay fodder. I'm not a complete Degen, I CAN remember Coastal losing the perfect season in a Bowl game (saw it at Circa of all places, what a day). But for funsies, I thought I take a look into it, which I doubt most of the "75%" consensus has done.
Coastal WAS an 11-1 & 11-2 'TEAM', but that was after returning nearly every starter (19/22) AND having double figure seniors/grads commit for the extra season. Before this little run, they were a 5-7 team. The narrow win as a 33pt favorite vs Gardner was a big sign (and quickly speaking of, I'd pay some attention to the bulldogs and watch any lines on them). GW was never truly out of it, but almost back-to-back they gave up a punt return for TD and then lost a fumble that took 2 plays to give up another TD. But still, it was only a 4 point game with a minute left (before they got intercepted at midfield).
*Coastal allowed 450yd of Passing. Their average was 190 last year.
*Coastal's DEFENSE is allowing +100yds more than last year, while on OFFENSE their rushing is down 30-40yds.
Just seeing a lot of guys that will write off a 20pt favorite that lost by 1, only to forgive a much bigger favorite that only won by 4. Bout to find out...
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