ITS ALMOST THAT TIME!!!!!! BOWLING FOR DOLLARS FOR 2013/2014!
SPOOKY EXPRESS AND BOWL SEASON
Many of you know I started posting my bowl game selections almost 15 years ago and that is how it all began at the forums. Never have had a losing bowl season since 1977 and not about to start now. Record speaks for itself.
Have had some unbelievable outstanding seasons and a few average years but always have showed a profit. This is the only time I truly crunch numbers and play more with the numbers than my head.
I am just going to make 1 thread for the analysis, write ups, thoughts for each of the games that go along with the rankings and another thread for my game time updates, selections and wagers.
These will once again be MY PLAYS and my opinion. I really dont care if you follow or not. Not looking to debate my selections.
The totals (Over/Unders) will be posted much closer to game time since weather and other developments effect the game. I will post my power ratings, my dog plays and some money line plays if you care.
Happy Holidays and Good Luck!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
ITS ALMOST THAT TIME!!!!!! BOWLING FOR DOLLARS FOR 2013/2014!
SPOOKY EXPRESS AND BOWL SEASON
Many of you know I started posting my bowl game selections almost 15 years ago and that is how it all began at the forums. Never have had a losing bowl season since 1977 and not about to start now. Record speaks for itself.
Have had some unbelievable outstanding seasons and a few average years but always have showed a profit. This is the only time I truly crunch numbers and play more with the numbers than my head.
I am just going to make 1 thread for the analysis, write ups, thoughts for each of the games that go along with the rankings and another thread for my game time updates, selections and wagers.
These will once again be MY PLAYS and my opinion. I really dont care if you follow or not. Not looking to debate my selections.
The totals (Over/Unders) will be posted much closer to game time since weather and other developments effect the game. I will post my power ratings, my dog plays and some money line plays if you care.
I will post the early recap for some of you that have not followed in years past or like their annual reminder. As the odds change so can the selection. Obviously the Best bets will not change dramatically.
There will be in the coming weeks analysis and capping for each game along with some totals (Over/Unders) which will be posted much closer to game time since weather and other developments effect the game. At the beginning is where I jump on some early lines which stand out and get the best value for the wager. I may completely reverse my thinking as time goes by, but for now I let the numbers do the talking and everyone that has seen or followed Spooky this millennium can corroborate how solid they usually are.
ANYTIME A TEAM IS PICKED TO WIN OUTRIGHT AND ALSO COVER WITH THE POINTS MAKES THEM A PLAY. NO LOOKING BACK, NO THINKING ABOUT IT.
There will also be some live underdogs. So be ready. These teams are picked to win and they are getting points. Money Line Dogs. Get them while they are hot. Don’t be afraid when the pointspread moves. It is done so emotionally. QB gets hurt, RB gets suspended, who cares. The points will be adjusted. These selections are not based on 1 or 2 games but an entire season. Remember since 1977 this has not lost.
Just use some judgement and as we get closer the plays will become clearer and Spooky will let you know. If you like a Pro game, start making small parlays with them on the best bets. By the time game time comes around you should have tons of action on the later games and that creates tons of profit!!!!
Since many ask about the way I mess with the strengths of each play, this is a synopsis of what I do. I will usually rank them 1 thru 5 smileys with the 4 and 5 smileys very infrequently. If there is no smiley listed than you can consider that anywhere from an opinion to 1 smiley. When playing on the totals I will almost always consider it an opinion. For the simple reason that I crunch numbers during bowl season and the side has a value outside of what is my opinion. The total is basically my opinion (which is what I do the remaining months of the year). The total is totally subjective. I usually will make the total play anywhere from 1/4 to 1/2 of the listed play. So if I am playing 300 on a game then the total would be anywhere from 75 to 150 if we were to put a numerical dollar value on it.
Please remember this is what I do, I am not getting paid to determine your money management or what you should be doing. Certainly you can play everything equal or you can follow the smileys. This is just my Bowl Express and sharing with everyone what I am dong for the most part.
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I will post the early recap for some of you that have not followed in years past or like their annual reminder. As the odds change so can the selection. Obviously the Best bets will not change dramatically.
There will be in the coming weeks analysis and capping for each game along with some totals (Over/Unders) which will be posted much closer to game time since weather and other developments effect the game. At the beginning is where I jump on some early lines which stand out and get the best value for the wager. I may completely reverse my thinking as time goes by, but for now I let the numbers do the talking and everyone that has seen or followed Spooky this millennium can corroborate how solid they usually are.
ANYTIME A TEAM IS PICKED TO WIN OUTRIGHT AND ALSO COVER WITH THE POINTS MAKES THEM A PLAY. NO LOOKING BACK, NO THINKING ABOUT IT.
There will also be some live underdogs. So be ready. These teams are picked to win and they are getting points. Money Line Dogs. Get them while they are hot. Don’t be afraid when the pointspread moves. It is done so emotionally. QB gets hurt, RB gets suspended, who cares. The points will be adjusted. These selections are not based on 1 or 2 games but an entire season. Remember since 1977 this has not lost.
Just use some judgement and as we get closer the plays will become clearer and Spooky will let you know. If you like a Pro game, start making small parlays with them on the best bets. By the time game time comes around you should have tons of action on the later games and that creates tons of profit!!!!
Since many ask about the way I mess with the strengths of each play, this is a synopsis of what I do. I will usually rank them 1 thru 5 smileys with the 4 and 5 smileys very infrequently. If there is no smiley listed than you can consider that anywhere from an opinion to 1 smiley. When playing on the totals I will almost always consider it an opinion. For the simple reason that I crunch numbers during bowl season and the side has a value outside of what is my opinion. The total is basically my opinion (which is what I do the remaining months of the year). The total is totally subjective. I usually will make the total play anywhere from 1/4 to 1/2 of the listed play. So if I am playing 300 on a game then the total would be anywhere from 75 to 150 if we were to put a numerical dollar value on it.
Please remember this is what I do, I am not getting paid to determine your money management or what you should be doing. Certainly you can play everything equal or you can follow the smileys. This is just my Bowl Express and sharing with everyone what I am dong for the most part.
PITTSBURGH vs. BOWLING GREEN Thursday, Dec. 26, 6:00 pm ESPN The day after Christmas features a game that absolutely stands out to me from a betting standpoint. The Pittsburgh Panthers won, and lost some ugly games this year, but it was a one point win in the second to last week of the season against Syracuse that made them bowl eligible. They finished with a 6-6 record, and now get to play a team in Bowling Green who is fresh off of their most impressive victory of the year.
Bowling Green beat the-then 14th ranked Northern Illinois Huskies by 20 in the MAC Championship Game, and that capped off an incredibly impressive 10-3 season for them. For Bowling Green in that huge game, it was the passing game and Matt Johnson, who proved to be better than Heisman candidate Jordan Lynch, as he tossed for 5 touchdowns in that big win.
Bowling Green has been quite the nice surprise this season, and now they get to go against an ACC team in the Little Caesars Bowl on Thursday, December 26th at 6:00pm EST.
Pittsburgh's 6-6 record features some nice wins though, as they did beat the Duke Blue Devils, who won the ACC's Coastal Division, and they also beat Notre Dame by a touchdown. Aside from that though, none of their other wins really jump off the page at you, but they did just enough to become bowl eligible.
Bowling Green Defense
Bowling Green's defense is absolutely ridiculous. They rank 5th in the entire country in points allowed, as they give up only 14.8 points per game. Two of their three losses this year came by a combined four points, which is pretty crazy to think about as well. This defense has kept teams under 22 points 10 times this season, and has kept teams to scoring under one touchdown or less an incredibly seven times as well. The Bowling Green defense should give Pittsburgh fits.
Consensus
The numbers simply don't lie here. Pittsburgh is pretty mediocre across the board, and while they do have some talented players, they are going against a team who has played some incredibly football this year. Bowling Green does it both offensively and defensively, and I'm not sure that I can see Pittsburgh keeping up.
The spread on most sports betting sites is actually sitting still at -6 for the Bowling Green Falcons. Getting this game at under a touchdown for Bowling Green is a very nice spot, and I'm going to take advantage of it before the line moves around too much. Bowling Green could be our Bowl Game of the Year. Way too early to determine what the strongest play will be but this game should and may not be close. They probably have the biggest differential in the 35 years I have been doing this so either that says this is a no brainer or it means nothing at all. Will update as we get closer to game.
BOWLING GREEN -6
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LITTLE CAESARS PIZZA BOWL
PITTSBURGH vs. BOWLING GREEN Thursday, Dec. 26, 6:00 pm ESPN The day after Christmas features a game that absolutely stands out to me from a betting standpoint. The Pittsburgh Panthers won, and lost some ugly games this year, but it was a one point win in the second to last week of the season against Syracuse that made them bowl eligible. They finished with a 6-6 record, and now get to play a team in Bowling Green who is fresh off of their most impressive victory of the year.
Bowling Green beat the-then 14th ranked Northern Illinois Huskies by 20 in the MAC Championship Game, and that capped off an incredibly impressive 10-3 season for them. For Bowling Green in that huge game, it was the passing game and Matt Johnson, who proved to be better than Heisman candidate Jordan Lynch, as he tossed for 5 touchdowns in that big win.
Bowling Green has been quite the nice surprise this season, and now they get to go against an ACC team in the Little Caesars Bowl on Thursday, December 26th at 6:00pm EST.
Pittsburgh's 6-6 record features some nice wins though, as they did beat the Duke Blue Devils, who won the ACC's Coastal Division, and they also beat Notre Dame by a touchdown. Aside from that though, none of their other wins really jump off the page at you, but they did just enough to become bowl eligible.
Bowling Green Defense
Bowling Green's defense is absolutely ridiculous. They rank 5th in the entire country in points allowed, as they give up only 14.8 points per game. Two of their three losses this year came by a combined four points, which is pretty crazy to think about as well. This defense has kept teams under 22 points 10 times this season, and has kept teams to scoring under one touchdown or less an incredibly seven times as well. The Bowling Green defense should give Pittsburgh fits.
Consensus
The numbers simply don't lie here. Pittsburgh is pretty mediocre across the board, and while they do have some talented players, they are going against a team who has played some incredibly football this year. Bowling Green does it both offensively and defensively, and I'm not sure that I can see Pittsburgh keeping up.
The spread on most sports betting sites is actually sitting still at -6 for the Bowling Green Falcons. Getting this game at under a touchdown for Bowling Green is a very nice spot, and I'm going to take advantage of it before the line moves around too much. Bowling Green could be our Bowl Game of the Year. Way too early to determine what the strongest play will be but this game should and may not be close. They probably have the biggest differential in the 35 years I have been doing this so either that says this is a no brainer or it means nothing at all. Will update as we get closer to game.
Thanks again guys. Really appreciate. Just decided to share some of what I have been doing for the past 15 years on the forums. Nothing more than that. No agenda outside of having you stop by our facebook page and website. lol Again these are my plays and just love bowl season so figured I would share what we have been doing all over. Hope it helps with the picks or if you fade the picks, just have fun and a happy holiday season. Cheers!!
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Thanks again guys. Really appreciate. Just decided to share some of what I have been doing for the past 15 years on the forums. Nothing more than that. No agenda outside of having you stop by our facebook page and website. lol Again these are my plays and just love bowl season so figured I would share what we have been doing all over. Hope it helps with the picks or if you fade the picks, just have fun and a happy holiday season. Cheers!!
COLORADO STATE vs. WASHINGTON STATE
Saturday, Dec. 21, 2:00 pm
ESPN
To kickoff the
Bowl Game season we have two teams who are coming into this game happy
to be in a bowl as they finished just at, and just over .500. The
Colorado State Rams were 7-6 overall this year, and the Washington State
Cougars finished against a pretty tough schedule to get to 6-6 this
year. Washington State has shown the ability to air it out very well,
ranking 4th overall in the country at 364.5 yards per game, but they
have struggled on defense.
The Colorado State Rams on the other side have been pretty consistent
across the board in both passing yards, rushing yards, and total points
per game, as they rank in the top 40 in the country in all of those
categories. The Rams don't seem to do anything that really jumps off the
page at you, but they run an effective, well-balanced offense, that has
given quite a few teams issues this year. Colorado State has scored
some big points this year, just as Washington State has, so this game
should be fun to watch, and high scoring as well.
Points Against
The issue here is that the two teams really just have struggled
defensively. We talked about Washington State's defense up there, but
they have given up a whopping 31.3 points per game, which ranks 92nd in
the country. This has led to quite a few of their games turning into
shootouts. The Rams on the other side haven't done a great job against
opposing offenses though either, giving up 28.6 points per game, and
that ranks them at 79th overall in the country.
Points For
While both teams have shown the ability to score, the Rams have done it a
bit better on average than the Cougars have. The Rams rank 29th in
scoring at 35.3 points per game, where the Cougars average a few points
less at 29.8 per game, which is 61st overall in the country. Both teams
can score, but we've seen both sides go against some offenses who can
really score, which has led to their defensive struggles.
Consensus
The sports betting line on this one on most sportsbooks has moved from
Washington State being -3 to around -4 for the Cougars. It's an
interesting spot, because I actually think that Colorado State is better
all-around than Washington State is this year. I like their ability to
do a little bit of everything, as they can not only pass it, but they
have a solid running game as well. I'm looking at betting on the Rams
+4, and a small moneyline bet on the Rams could be a good idea as well!
Colorado
State should win this game by 2 touchdowns and should kick off the bowl
season with our first underdog moneyline winner. Will update as we get
closer to game with any total that looks worthwhile. All our previews will be posted at the Spooky Express website in addition and you can sign up for the newsletter if you need there or on facebook.
COLORADO STATE +4
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GILDAN NEW MEXICO BOWL
COLORADO STATE vs. WASHINGTON STATE
Saturday, Dec. 21, 2:00 pm
ESPN
To kickoff the
Bowl Game season we have two teams who are coming into this game happy
to be in a bowl as they finished just at, and just over .500. The
Colorado State Rams were 7-6 overall this year, and the Washington State
Cougars finished against a pretty tough schedule to get to 6-6 this
year. Washington State has shown the ability to air it out very well,
ranking 4th overall in the country at 364.5 yards per game, but they
have struggled on defense.
The Colorado State Rams on the other side have been pretty consistent
across the board in both passing yards, rushing yards, and total points
per game, as they rank in the top 40 in the country in all of those
categories. The Rams don't seem to do anything that really jumps off the
page at you, but they run an effective, well-balanced offense, that has
given quite a few teams issues this year. Colorado State has scored
some big points this year, just as Washington State has, so this game
should be fun to watch, and high scoring as well.
Points Against
The issue here is that the two teams really just have struggled
defensively. We talked about Washington State's defense up there, but
they have given up a whopping 31.3 points per game, which ranks 92nd in
the country. This has led to quite a few of their games turning into
shootouts. The Rams on the other side haven't done a great job against
opposing offenses though either, giving up 28.6 points per game, and
that ranks them at 79th overall in the country.
Points For
While both teams have shown the ability to score, the Rams have done it a
bit better on average than the Cougars have. The Rams rank 29th in
scoring at 35.3 points per game, where the Cougars average a few points
less at 29.8 per game, which is 61st overall in the country. Both teams
can score, but we've seen both sides go against some offenses who can
really score, which has led to their defensive struggles.
Consensus
The sports betting line on this one on most sportsbooks has moved from
Washington State being -3 to around -4 for the Cougars. It's an
interesting spot, because I actually think that Colorado State is better
all-around than Washington State is this year. I like their ability to
do a little bit of everything, as they can not only pass it, but they
have a solid running game as well. I'm looking at betting on the Rams
+4, and a small moneyline bet on the Rams could be a good idea as well!
Colorado
State should win this game by 2 touchdowns and should kick off the bowl
season with our first underdog moneyline winner. Will update as we get
closer to game with any total that looks worthwhile. All our previews will be posted at the Spooky Express website in addition and you can sign up for the newsletter if you need there or on facebook.
Just a heads up guys and gals. All the previews and write ups are written exclusively for Spooky Express. They are not copied from anywhere, for whatever that is worth. lol
Good luck. Already cashed North Dakota State early today and pulling for Navy on Saturday. Keep our fingers crossed.
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Just a heads up guys and gals. All the previews and write ups are written exclusively for Spooky Express. They are not copied from anywhere, for whatever that is worth. lol
Good luck. Already cashed North Dakota State early today and pulling for Navy on Saturday. Keep our fingers crossed.
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