Posted:
#1
My Pick and Reasons Why:
UNDER 68 1/2 (I have 70, but this is current line)
- Only two games all year for Georgia have gone over 68 points.
- In Hawaii’s final 5 games, where they played “actual” teams of some quality. NO game has gone over 68 points.
This is a bad match up for Hawaii. Remember these names: Steinhoff and Ahsoon. The tackles for Hawaii. They are terrible. (Hawaii fans, please check Hawaii message boards, I am not singling them out, all Hawaii fans have pointed them out as getting run over).
Losing 3 linemen and our blocking back to the NFL from last year has weakened Hawaii’s blocking. In Hawaii’s first 8 games, no team Hawaii played had ANY quality to expose this.
However, look at Hawaii’s last 4 games where they played teams of some quality: about 4 sacks per game and 40+ QB hurries (total) where Brennan left the pocket (including Steinhoff getting burned and causing Brennan to leave the pocket and getting nailed by Fresno State).
Now Hawaii faces the #1 team in the SEC in sacks? And Georgia has been doing this with primarily a 4 man, and occasionally 5 man rush? Georgia is averaging 5 sacks per game over their last 6 game winning streak. Florida couldn’t block Georgia (6 sacks), Kentucky couldn’t block Georgia (5 sacks)….
Like Georgia, Oregon State was #1 in the PAC-10 in sacks last year and they sacked Brennan 7 times…. And that was against 4 blockers now in the NFL. Imagine Georgia and their pass rush against Hawaii’s tackles which have been exposed the last 4 games….
I guarantee this: Georgia will get pressure on Brennan just rushing 4 and dropping 7 in coverage. Hawaii will counter with draws, shovel passes, and short pass plays. I also will not be surprised if Brennan is sacked 5+ times and forced to leave the pocket another 10 times.
Georgia Coach Richt has noted as a voter, he has stayed up late at night and watched Hawaii many times. If that is the case, then he knows the only teams to beat Hawaii kept the ball from Hawaii. Thomas Brown and Knoshon Moreno combined for 2,000 yards and will get the ball a ton…..
On the flip side, Hawaii’s run defense is fierce. The best thing that could have happened to Hawaii is losing Glanville and getting McMackin. Glanville led us to two straight crap 90th + rankings in defense. I said in my week one post that Hawaii would jump to 60ish, I was wrong; they are in the 30’s. Sure it is against weaker competition, but you guys saw them on ESPN the last 4 games, this is a solid and very deep group.
Washington was #1 in the PAC-10 in rushing against the #1 SOS…..after their initial surge, Hawaii adjusted and completely shut them out.
IMO, this total is too high. Georgia is going to try to run all game long. Hawaii is going to be kept to short passes and running plays to counter the SEC’s #1 pass rush…… watch this clock keep moving…..some drives are going to end in fgs and turnovers….
Georgia should win with vastly superior talent……but to bet on a team disappointed to be here against the #1 offensive team in the nation with a chip on their shoulder is crazy….
I think this game is going to be way closer and low scoring than anyone could imagine. Hawaii hasn’t seen this kind of speed on defense, and Georgia is gonna be surprised Hawaii ACTUALLY plays defense…..
Who knows, watch this game go into triple OT and end up with over a 100+…..
Hawaii UNDER 68 ½ (70) 1100 to win 1000….
Cap for yourself, good luck in whatever you play….
UNDER 68 1/2 (I have 70, but this is current line)
- Only two games all year for Georgia have gone over 68 points.
- In Hawaii’s final 5 games, where they played “actual” teams of some quality. NO game has gone over 68 points.
This is a bad match up for Hawaii. Remember these names: Steinhoff and Ahsoon. The tackles for Hawaii. They are terrible. (Hawaii fans, please check Hawaii message boards, I am not singling them out, all Hawaii fans have pointed them out as getting run over).
Losing 3 linemen and our blocking back to the NFL from last year has weakened Hawaii’s blocking. In Hawaii’s first 8 games, no team Hawaii played had ANY quality to expose this.
However, look at Hawaii’s last 4 games where they played teams of some quality: about 4 sacks per game and 40+ QB hurries (total) where Brennan left the pocket (including Steinhoff getting burned and causing Brennan to leave the pocket and getting nailed by Fresno State).
Now Hawaii faces the #1 team in the SEC in sacks? And Georgia has been doing this with primarily a 4 man, and occasionally 5 man rush? Georgia is averaging 5 sacks per game over their last 6 game winning streak. Florida couldn’t block Georgia (6 sacks), Kentucky couldn’t block Georgia (5 sacks)….
Like Georgia, Oregon State was #1 in the PAC-10 in sacks last year and they sacked Brennan 7 times…. And that was against 4 blockers now in the NFL. Imagine Georgia and their pass rush against Hawaii’s tackles which have been exposed the last 4 games….
I guarantee this: Georgia will get pressure on Brennan just rushing 4 and dropping 7 in coverage. Hawaii will counter with draws, shovel passes, and short pass plays. I also will not be surprised if Brennan is sacked 5+ times and forced to leave the pocket another 10 times.
Georgia Coach Richt has noted as a voter, he has stayed up late at night and watched Hawaii many times. If that is the case, then he knows the only teams to beat Hawaii kept the ball from Hawaii. Thomas Brown and Knoshon Moreno combined for 2,000 yards and will get the ball a ton…..
On the flip side, Hawaii’s run defense is fierce. The best thing that could have happened to Hawaii is losing Glanville and getting McMackin. Glanville led us to two straight crap 90th + rankings in defense. I said in my week one post that Hawaii would jump to 60ish, I was wrong; they are in the 30’s. Sure it is against weaker competition, but you guys saw them on ESPN the last 4 games, this is a solid and very deep group.
Washington was #1 in the PAC-10 in rushing against the #1 SOS…..after their initial surge, Hawaii adjusted and completely shut them out.
IMO, this total is too high. Georgia is going to try to run all game long. Hawaii is going to be kept to short passes and running plays to counter the SEC’s #1 pass rush…… watch this clock keep moving…..some drives are going to end in fgs and turnovers….
Georgia should win with vastly superior talent……but to bet on a team disappointed to be here against the #1 offensive team in the nation with a chip on their shoulder is crazy….
I think this game is going to be way closer and low scoring than anyone could imagine. Hawaii hasn’t seen this kind of speed on defense, and Georgia is gonna be surprised Hawaii ACTUALLY plays defense…..
Who knows, watch this game go into triple OT and end up with over a 100+…..
Hawaii UNDER 68 ½ (70) 1100 to win 1000….
Cap for yourself, good luck in whatever you play….
0
good info as always HG
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