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TD Bowl Games & FCS playoffs

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Posted: #26

Quote Originally Posted by TD21:

All, just transitioning from the week 14 thread.... Army / Navy game plays:Army / Navy Under 48 (1u)Navy -3 (0.25u)Bowl Games:UAB +10 & UAB +11.5  (0.4u overall)Florida Atlantic -13.5 -130  (0.5u)San Diego State -4 (0.5u)Southern Miss +17 -130  (0.5u)Arizona -2  (0.25u)Central Florida +10 (0.25u)Playoff leans:Alabama & Oklahoma.... Also, I am an Under player, tough not to lean Under in both matchups; championship football, the defenses will show up IMO.FCS Quarterfinals:Added:  Wofford +21.5Added:  Sam Houston State PKAdded:  Wofford / NDSU Under 43.5Added:  New Hampshire / South Dakota State Under 49
Great year bro !! ....Little insight on UAB Play ... I took UAB + 10 as well but after looking at your 4 stats .. Off / Def / Special Teams / and SOS .... Ohio has an advantage in all 4 categories ... with average rank in those 4 categories of Ohio 53 and UAB 95 .... I usually focus on def and special teams in bowl games ... Thoughts ? Thank u !

 

 
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Posted: #27

TD it's been a blast this year man, BoL to ya this bowl seaoson.  I have done pretty well myself. Although I have made the majority of my hay on Nascar, college football was pretty kind to me.  I really feel for the first time in possibly.. ever I had a pretty decent idea on what was going on in the college football world. I owe a ton of that credit to you and guys like you, so thanks for all you do bud.  an_cheers

 
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Posted: #28
FCS 2nd round - did great.  .... last weekend with quarterfinals, not good.  Kinda slim pickings this week with a small card.  

Took SDSU / JMU Under 56.5 earlier this week.  Small, low limits.

Added tonight:  NDSU / SHSU Under 67.5 -105 (0.5u).  

IF..... NDSU is up 2-3 scores at halftime then 2nd half Under is always a play to look for, especially with this large # for the full game total.  

I'm heading out to dinner with the fam, will likely not be posting in-game and at half.

Good luck all & enjoy the games this weekend!
 
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Posted: #29
Thanks TD for all, and any information you give us on these
FCS playoffs.

The fact that you and Big Vern follow these teams is a bonus for covers members.


BOL in the bowls...C
 
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Posted: #30
NDSU/SHSU under 70 at -110.

Let's see some NDSU defense!

GL

 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by UNIMAN:

NDSU/SHSU under 70 at -110.

Let's see some NDSU defense!

GL


UNI, I thought this game started at 7:00 ET for some reason and that I would miss the start.  .... Just added to the Under play (another 0.5u) at 70.5.  I've never seen an NDSU total that high.  Granted, it is because of SHSU with their strong O and bad D.  As long as SHSU doesn't get out to an early lead and NDSU doesn't have to play catch up, I like it.  Enjoy the game!


  
 
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Posted: #32
whats the 2H # to be under TD? 35? 
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by puffkit:

whats the 2H # to be under TD? 35? 
 
28.5 is posted.  Equivalent to 72.5 full-game.  I put 0.5 on U28.5.  

NDSU will not try to run it up in terms of their play calling.  If SHSU defense just gives up (they might) that would be the concern.

Also have in-game U78.5.
 
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Posted: #34
yeh i have ingame u76.5 and 79.5.....and worried about both.....

didnt play 2H 28.5 too many big plays....and turnovers/short fields. 
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by puffkit:

yeh i have ingame u76.5 and 79.5.....and worried about both.....

didnt play 2H 28.5 too many big plays....and turnovers/short fields. 

I doubled down with an inplay right before the half at U78.5. Had to really sweat that one out! Needed it too!!!
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by UNIMAN:


I doubled down with an inplay right before the half at U78.5. Had to really sweat that one out! Needed it too!!!

Much tighter than I would have liked, but they are extremely consistent in their approach.  Under 82.5 briefly (missed it) but locked in Under 82 (14 4th qtr pts) was a no brainer.  Tacked on another 1u.
Came out +1.98 units overall.  A win is a win.  Will definitely take it after last weekend.
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by TD21:


UNI, I thought this game started at 7:00 ET for some reason and that I would miss the start.  .... Just added to the Under play (another 0.5u) at 70.5.  I've never seen an NDSU total that high.  Granted, it is because of SHSU with their strong O and bad D.  As long as SHSU doesn't get out to an early lead and NDSU doesn't have to play catch up, I like it.  Enjoy the game!


  

Belated thanks! And thanks for pointing me in the right direction!

SHSU held to 13 and it still reaches 68 pts!! Terrible defense.
 
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Posted: #38
that might have been one of the fastest 4thQ clocks i've seen

any thoughts on jmu-3 tomorrow? 
 
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Posted: #39
puff, I took:

South Dakota State +4.5 -110 (0.5u)

SDSU/JMU Under 58.5 -110 (0.55u) & Under 56.5 -120 (0.2u) -- 0.75u overall
 
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Posted: #40
TD , Good Luck , Bud       
Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
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Posted: #41
A couple updates for the FBS portion of my thread.... I'll have to recap all FCS playoffs later when I get some time.

Army / Navy game plays:
Army / Navy Under 48 (1u)  WIN
Navy -3 (0.25u)  LOSS

Bowl Games:
Boise State +7.5 (0.5u)  WIN
Florida Atlantic -13.5 -130  (0.5u)
San Diego State -4 (0.5u)
Southern Miss +17 -130  (0.5u)
Southern Miss / Florida State Over 49 (0.5u)
TCU / Stanford Under 49  (0.5u)
Miami / Wisconsin Under 45.5 -108 (0.5u)
UAB +10 & UAB +11.5  (0.4u overall)
Arizona -2  (0.25u)
Central Florida +10 (0.25u)
Added:  Alabama / Clemson Under 24 1st half -115 (0.5u)

College Props:  *teams must meet in the title game for action.
Added:  Clemson / Oklahoma Under 64 (1u)
Added:  Alabama / Oklahoma Under 64 (1u)


 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by UGA520:

TD it's been a blast this year man, BoL to ya this bowl seaoson.  I have done pretty well myself. Although I have made the majority of my hay on Nascar, college football was pretty kind to me.  I really feel for the first time in possibly.. ever I had a pretty decent idea on what was going on in the college football world. I owe a ton of that credit to you and guys like you, so thanks for all you do bud.  an_cheers


UGA, I had a long response written and then the website crashed/had to reload and I lost it.  Been meaning to get back to you all week.  Sorry for the delayed response.

It certainly has been fun, every year seems to fly by way too fast. Thanks for stopping by this season to talk college football.  Congrats on the NASCAR & college football success this year.  That is awesome, well done!
I started out this season on fire, so hopefully I was able to help some early in the year.  Unfortunately, the 2nd half of the season has been an up & down ride and I gave some $ back (still up about +21 units on the full season, so not bad I guess).  It has been tough to balance the time I would like to spend capping vs. time towards family and work.  I'm sure some of you guys out there can relate.  I may need to tweak my approach the 2nd half of the season in years to come (at least until the kids are old enough to think that Mom & Dad aren't cool any more).  ...Learn a little bit more big picture every year that goes by doing this.  I really only bet CFB and spend a ton of time in the offseason studying and preparing for the season, so I think it makes sense with the early season success.  Sorry to get a little off topic, but this time of year I try to reflect on the season.  ...What went well, what didn't; have some self-awareness to these things.  Hopefully I'll see you around some on the CFB forum this offseason.  Best of luck the rest of the way on your bowl season!    
 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by ProPickers:

HEY td how u feel about sdst tt u28?? Appreciate it bol today


ProPickers, I was offline yesterday afternoon/evening.  Hope you played this.  Good call!  You've got this!  Best of luck the rest of bowl season.

 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by WISEGUY36:

TD , Good Luck , Bud       

Thanks WISEGUY!  Good luck to you as well.  

Make it to Hawaii yet?  Wherever you spend the holidays, hope its a good holiday season for you!  
 
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by TD21:


Thanks WISEGUY!  Good luck to you as well.  

Make it to Hawaii yet?  Wherever you spend the holidays, hope its a good holiday season for you!  





Yes . Just got back to LV  early Saturday morning.

Thanks Bud and Merry Christmas     
Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
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Posted: #46
Good luck with the rest of your Bowls TD.
 
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Posted: #47
Small action play for tonight:

Added:  Louisiana +4 -107 (0.2u)
 
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Posted: #48
That should say La TECH +4. 
 
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Posted: #49
I’m a great believer in luck, and I find the harder I work the more I have of it.
 
 
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