TD Week 5

Week 5 openers locked in:

Utah -9.5 -112 (1u)  Terrible spot, I get it, but I make this line much higher.  Should be a buy-back/middle opportunity.

Washington / Rutgers Under 42.5 -110 (1u)

Washington State +7.5 -105 (0.75u)

Minnesota +12.5 -110 (0.5u)

UNLV -3 -110 (0.5u)

Georgia ML -120 (0.3u) Posted last week, but still available now.

Added:  Northern Illinois +11.5 -110 (0.75u)

@TD21

Thanks for posting these so early. I missed the Utah opener but got Washington St and UNLV at your numbers. Both are definitely on the move.

Friday nite :

Post vs Assumption who do you like?.....

Line 28 or so 

@bookieassassin

Sooooo, you are talking to the "kid" (yeah, 40 something years old now) that in about 6th grade had a cork board with a map of the US with every NAIA, Div. II school in the nation located on the map in case dad's team were to play a team from Dickinson, ND, Greenville, IL, or Westminster PA in the playoffs.    Some of those NAIA schools are now currently playing at NCAA D2/D3 level.

.............

Oh boy, high school teams in your area would blow the doors off of Post, but both teams are bad by "good" D2 standards even if one is favored by 28 points.  ....... just taking this opportunity to get on my soap box that the D2 playoff format by geography is flawed in terms of who the best teams are and it's unfair to teams in my area.

2023 playoff bracket example:

Kutztown wins their region and makes the National semi-finals.  I believe that Kutztown is from the same region that Post and Assumption would represent if they made the playoffs. Kutztown lost in that semifinal round to Colorado School of Mines 35-7.  Colorado School of Mines advances to the National Championship game and then they lose 38-7 to a team (Harding) from easily the best region.  The box score for that National Championship game was that Harding only needed to attempt 2 passes all game.  They ran for 504 yards on 57 carries!  Harding's two games prior to that just to come out of their very strong region were a 35-34 win over Central Missouri in the round of 16, and a 7-6 win over Grand Valley State in the quarterfinals.  ..... Two top 5 power rated teams in GVSU and Ferris State had to play each other in the very first round of the playoff bracket.  It's a bad setup.  It would be like putting all MAC teams in one region and all SEC teams in another region, and each region automatically gets a team in the final 4 (sound familiar ACC??.....how many years until that changes, 1 or 2?)  Anyway, I digress and then digress again.

No play on Post vs. Assumption (yet)  

Sorry, kinda misstated that at the end there about the ACC.  I just meant the top 4 seeding, not the full bracket.  I still think the top 4 seeding gets revised in a year or two.

Although 1st round home games at a Big Ten or SEC school will be fun while it lasts.

Week 5:

Utah -9.5 -112 (1u)

Washington / Rutgers Under 42.5 -110 (1u)

Washington State +7.5 -105 (0.75u)

Northern Illinois +11.5 -110 (0.75u)

Minnesota +12.5 -110 (0.5u)

UNLV -3 -110 (0.5u)

Added:  East Carolina -3 -110 (0.5u)

Georgia ML -120 (0.3u) 

Added:  Kentucky +18.5 -105 (0.75u)

Good luck TD .. 

With you on Minny, Wash St ..

and hooooly smokes if spots matter at all then Rutgers should walk off w this one 28-zip .. MASSIVE home game for Schiano and woah buddy short week friday night sure thing raucaus sellout, wash gettin the long easterly travel, a late first real roadie, a couple fairly tough games heading into this one a Natty rematch on deck and a Rutgers team and fan base that hasn't been this pumped since that big Louisville game .. idk what Rutgers roster situation is but if Schiano is worth a salt grain he'd have the 2nd squad blowin the friggin doors off these guys with a table setup like this one .. we'llllll seeeeee ..  

Good luck this week buddy! 

@Bridge1

 i Will be there as i got invited by one of my good friends who is alumni.

The last game i was this excited to go to was when Rutgers played

louisville in schianos first go round which was in 06 i believe. 

I’ve got the Washington/Rutgers total available at 45.5 for -110 at Hard Rock. Is 42.5 the number you got it at or is that a typo?

@Bridge1

 I agree that it's either Rutgers or nothing as a spot play.  I'm going to sleep on it but may add that one.  Good luck this week!    

@JoseAlonso787

I wish it was a typo.    .... I took the 3am opener at FD or whatever time it was.  I actually added a little at U45.5 this afternoon but haven't had a chance to post.  Then I just cashed that out for a full return and added U46.5 -110 instead (BOL).  Washington is an Under team to me the way they're playing so far this season.  Hope it's a rock fight type game, but I am feeling a little sheepish about taking such a bad number.  Hopefully the plays both win or both lose and I'm good with that.  Good luck this week!  

Week 5:

Washington / Rutgers Under 42.5 -110 (1u) & Added Under 46.5 -110 (0.3u) -- (1.3u combined)

Utah -9.5 -112 (1u)

Added:  Air Force / Wyoming Under 36.5 -105 & -110 (combined 1u)

Washington State +7.5 -105 (0.75u)

Northern Illinois +11.5 -110 (0.75u)

Kentucky +18.5 -105 (0.75u)

Minnesota +12.5 -110 (0.5u)

UNLV -3 -110 (0.5u)

East Carolina -3 -110 (0.5u)

Georgia ML -120 (0.3u) 

Forgot one just now:

Week 5:

Washington / Rutgers Under 42.5 -110 (1u) & Added Under 46.5 -110 (0.3u) -- (1.3u combined)

Utah -9.5 -112 (1u)

Added:  Air Force / Wyoming Under 36.5 -105 & -110 (combined 1u)

Washington State +7.5 -105 (0.75u)

Northern Illinois +11.5 -110 (0.75u)

Kentucky +18.5 -105 (0.75u)

Minnesota +12.5 -110 (0.5u)

UNLV -3 -110 (0.5u)

East Carolina -3 -110 (0.5u)

Added: Eastern Michigan -13.5 -115 (0.5u)

Georgia ML -120 (0.3u) 

@Brooklyncapper

Awesome yeah that game POPPED off the page when I was looking at the schedule pre-ssn like woaaaahhh nellie that feels like a legit loss for UW and at least in the SP+ math world this was lookin to be a pretty likely win .. unfortunately there's been quite a bit of line move from pre-ssn expectations but in fairness I think its pretty well deserved .. Rutgers totally dismantled VT at home and but for some questionable coaching calls .. like the friggin 50+ yard Field goal their guy has no shot to make .. Rutgers shoulda walked off w that one real easy .. but yeah this isin't as hyped of an opponent as the Ville game but crowd won't care .. blackout Friday night place will be rockin like it was almost 2 decades ago .. 

@Bridge1

Here's one more for you boys.....one not good team, and one terrible team.  I'll take the struggling Rice Owls to get right here against lowly Charlotte.

Week 5:

Washington / Rutgers Under 42.5 -110 (1u) & Under 46.5 -110 (0.3u) -- (1.3u combined)

Utah -9.5 -112 (1u)

Air Force / Wyoming Under 36.5 -105 & -110 (combined 1u)

Added: Rice -6.5 -110  (1u)

Washington State +7.5 -105 (0.75u)

Northern Illinois +11.5 -110 (0.75u)

Kentucky +18.5 -105 (0.75u)

Minnesota +12.5 -110 (0.5u)

UNLV -3 -110 (0.5u)

East Carolina -3 -110 (0.5u)

Eastern Michigan -13.5 -115 (0.5u)

Georgia ML -120 (0.3u) 

@TD21

 UW/Rutgers total has risen to 46.5 - thoughts?

@JudgeBaylor

Well I’m not thinking this should be my largest play, but so far it is.  Kinda like last week if I’m not careful; I went 16-12 on posted plays but lost on $ because the larger plays didn’t do as well.  Anyway, still Under here to me especially if 46.5 is your first action on this total.  Good luck this week.  

Good luck TD.  

@D-Town

 Thanks bud, BOL this week!  

Added this morning, but couldn’t get logged in at the time to post; small break in the action now.

Added: South Alabama +21.5 -109 & -112 (0.75u combined)

FWIW, I put in my first underdog (mostly) moneyline parlay & Round Robin of this season.  I think we’ll see some upsets this weekend:

Minnesota ML

BYU ML

Northern Illinois ML

Ball State ML

Louisville ML

Akron ML

North Carolina ML

South Alabama +21

Washington State ML

hopefully the Round Robin pays for itself, but we shall see.