@JoseAlonso787
"Numbers guy" doesn't have many data points with the Ivy league starting late, but he says this line should be closer to -13 / -14, arguably higher for "overreaction numbers guy", he says up to -16.5 / -17. But "spot guy" says Bryant is off a bye and can't play any worse. And "spot guy" also says that Brown is off a thrilling come from behind upset win over a league opponent and now vs. a non-conference opponent this a letdown spot. He asks, Do they care about beating a non-conference team that they should be better than or do they just go through the motions for most of the game? Brown traditionally not very good in the Ivy (better last couple of years), but can they handle being the favorite?
All points are true, so what do you do? That's kind of the art of capping I guess.
From what we've seen so far, I think Bryant is "that bad" with attrition / personnel losses and a step up in class to the CAA. It's more a play against Bryant than on Brown for me. Not a great spot for Brown for sure, but I'd still lay the points at -6, I'd be good with under a touchdown at home. 
Good luck! 
@JoseAlonso787
They like to run it up when they can. Bump down units some compared to what I did. But to me it’s SFA or nothing. Don’t put too much stock in Northwestern State keeping it close with SEMO. SEMO always has high variance for ATS margin. I think they took it easy on them. SFA coach is not the same mentality.
Not a great day so far, but a couple larger plays remain that will make or break me for Week 6.
Full disclosure - Just grabbed some small buy-back / middle with Northwestern State +35.5 -115 (0.4u). Not advocating that side at all as a stand alone play, just playing off my original position.
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