Tenn +9 at Georgia

Damn I'm jumping on this early.  Georgia just isn't that great this year.  Bowers and McConkey are gone and Beck keeps throwing it to the other team.  Vols plus 9?????  Hell yeah.  

Beck can’t read defenses cover schemes 

Pays to shop…opened at 16.5 at MGM

@osubucks1

 WOW!  Really?  16.5!!!!

Yup. Place your bets a few months in advance to get the best lines 

Wtf. Is this due to Nicos injury being more significant than alluded to yesterday?  Trap line for TN backers?  My initial reaction is potential attractive play to tease UGA down to 2. Obviously,the Boyz r expecting a big bounce back. Recency bias notwithstanding.

@fts1409

Georgia has only looked good this year in one game (Texas).  Ole Miss simply dominated them.  They aren't what they used to be on defense and their offense is terrible.  I would tease it the other way.  

multiple books had it open at that today….has nothing to do with months in advance

@Super_Chicken

 Agree. Give that some thought.   However, why r they favored w a pretty big number ??

Moreover,there's an old saying ,whenever a lower ranked team is fav over higher ranked, 11 vs 6th,  bet the lower.  We gonna see TX #2 this Sat.  Mkt perception,negativity, hence valuation lowest all season. Remember....buy em when no one wants em. KS is too good a coach. Imo..

Early splits 64/88% on UGA. This is sharp money...not Billy Bob  from  Johnson City,TN.  UGA -2.5,Over 46 looks good. UGA O gonna bounce back big time. 

@fts1409

Why are they favored by a big number?  Public perception.  And apparently some sharps agree.  Okay I get it.  Maybe I'm wrong but I just don't think what I have seen this year warrants that big number.  

Backup Tn QB not that great if he has to play

Georgia will destroy them

That is not a true opener, but a look ahead line, similar to game of the year lines in preseason. It can benefit you to grab something like that early I agree, because things can change and you can have great value on a ticket. True openers are released week of game which was 8.5 consensus. 

Teasing college football is a bad decision long term. To much a disparity in the results unlike NFL where the game lands so close to the number often, making the points you are receiving far more valuable. 

The Boyz don't give out no Christmas presents...like TN plus nine. Thinking Nicos injury is worse than Huepel portraying. Love UGA at the value of 2.5. like this probability very much. Double digit win wouldn't surprise me. This,as is all speculation, is a dynamic of selective edge and probability, never certainty. Many struggle with the decision making process in uncertainty . UGA is not going to stink it up three in a row.  Just one small wager among many forthcoming. Risk MGMT paramount. 

@fsutomahawk

 This is correct

Wagering on sports is usually a bad decision short...and long term...for the majority. Moving UGA down thru three key nos can be a stastical edge. Each to their own.  Love adjusted Wang in  NFL. 

If Nico ain't hurt badly, he's gonna be.  Upper body apparently. Ain't gonna be no rocky top up thar in dem hills and hollahs late Sat night. Unique culture in E TN. I lived in Knoxville briefly years ago. We beat em last play of the game in 2000. Went over real well...lol 

People (lots of people) keep acting like this is the same Georgia team we saw the past few seasons.  I just don't see it.  They have lost lots of NFL players and have not replaced them with the same talent.  If Georgia is still that talented why didn't they show up against Ole Miss?  That game was a butt whoopin in my eyes on both sides of the ball. 

Don't doubt Georgia 

You are not thinking motivation at this juncture? How many losses does Tenn have? How many for Georgia? Who is desperate? Who can afford to lose and still make the playoff due to a win over Alabama? Who cannot make the playoff with a loss here? 

Why was Georgia rated number #1 over Ohio St and Oregon in the preseason? Are those people crazy? Do they understand talent?

Betting on football is not simple. But, I see your point about taking points here. Just don't assume Georgia will lose and cough it up without a fight and as good, if not better, talent.

@Super_Chicken

 DON.T  FORGET SUPER CHICKEN, VEGAS ISN'T STUPID.  I WOULD BE CAREFUL WITH TAKING TENNESSE. 

@Super_Chicken

 Ole Miss is a pretty good team and I believe will be a playoff team when all is said and done. Georgia's defense will be the best unit on the field against Tennessee, that's where it starts. Your defense can set up the offense, TO's, field position. Dawgs won't be in a good mood, they may not be as talented as previous Georgia teams but the Vols aren't better, and this one could get ugly. Kirby will them ready, believe that.