Tennessee @ Georgia

over for me in this game tenn smaller 

@LonghornHoosier

 If you watched the TN/FL game it was 38-21 and TN went into a prevent and gave up a TD with 4:30 left in the game and another TD with 17 secs left in the game, so I keep hearing they only beat FL 38-33 ok but they completely dominated until the last 4:30 minutes AND TN had gotten rolling yet. That was their first step and they’re a totally different team now than they were when they played FL! 

@LonghornHoosier

 If you watched the TN/FL game it was 38-21 and TN went into a prevent and gave up a TD with 4:30 left in the game and another TD with 17 secs left in the game, so I keep hearing they only beat FL 38-33 ok but they completely dominated until the last 4:30 minutes AND TN had gotten rolling yet. That was their first step and they’re a totally different team now than they were when they played FL! 

I see some people think that Ga. gonna punch them in the mouth and the Vols will go to sleep, I, on the other hand believe they will punch back. They may even punch first.Have not bet it but it would be + 8 or nothing for me. 

I'm from GA, and no value exists taking GA. Vols with 8.5 is the way to go. OFF always kills DEFF. This will be just like LSU in 2019. TEN has a 24 year old QB and a bunch of seniors on the line and defense. 

TEN to win it all... Easy pick TN ML, the points are not worth shit. $200 @ +275... Let's go. 

Wow some great answers!

a chad77 sighting  

thank you guys for the input, everyone 

I am a huge Tennessee fan but always bet with my head.  I’m not betting this game.   I believe the Vols will win and if the following happens, which I expect to happen:

Georgia will have to stop Tennessee’s run game with their front 4.  No one has been able to do that all season except for Pitt.  When that happens, our offense is neutralized.    I do not believe Georgia has the elite D-line as they did last year.  If Georgia has to put 6 in the box, Tennessee’s passing attack will kill them.   There is a great article by Mike Kuchar on The Athletic that takes a deep dive into TNs offense and how it works.   Highly recommend the read.   If I am betting on the game, I either take Georgia -8.5 or Vols Moneyline.    Vols run on their front 4, and Vols by 14-17.   Georgia stops the run With their front 4, then Georgia wins by 20+.  

I bet Tn+240  because I want different and exciting teams in the playoffs.  They have to win this guarantee to advance.

This is a chance not a solid game for me

10 E C

+ 8.5

enjoy

The play for me absolutely has to be Vols Moneyline.  I was at the mizzou/ Georgia game.  Missouri threw the ball effectively against them and ran the ball. Also, they got to Bennett with lesser athletes than Tennessee.  Matter of fact Mizzou dominated that game and then choked.  

but that’s not even why I would bet the Vols,  they have the offense to beat anyone.  Their common opponents seem to be pretty even and if I’m getting 2.4-1 odds on a game that could easily be a coinflip without recency bias then that’s the value.  It’s not even crazy to think the Vols roll here.  Might look at an alternate line as well

     I think Tennessee has played a bit tougher schedule and Hooker has had twice as many TD passes than Stetson. I don't underestimate Georgia but what makes this a great wager for me is the game is being played in Athens, Ga.  Tenn has their back against the wall and they have done to well this season to not play their very best. I remember the ending to the TN/Alabama game and how the fans went a little wild.

@KillinMeRef

 100% Agree and Geo's soft schedule.  Georgia's average line is -32

 I think Tennessee has played a bit tougher schedule

100% correct this is a key to this game.  

So if the Vols win...Georgia is most likely out CFP right?  Vols will play in the SEC ship game with a game lead and tie breaker....Looking at Georgia's schedule it is weak..Oregon was their best win and we all know Oregon is a Fraud on the national stage... Georgia needs this game...

@davemsh

 They both need and and who has not been there and who is a bit more hungry to make their first statement in a long time. 

Vols +240 is ridiculous.  Georgia schedule is ridiculous

@spottie2935

Tenn can lose a close game to Georgia and win out and Georgia beats Bama in the SEC ship game and Tenn gets in along with Georgia...

This a game to just sit back and enjoy

No play for me on this one

Seems like so many opinions and all make good sense, TN have done everything asked of them, Georgia a couple of hiccups against easy beats, so the measuring stick comes for both teams ..... my view too hard, easier games to play, Mich St +16.5 and Oklahoma St O/63 my 2 plays for the day .... good luck to all

Well I have been fortunate to have a serious UGA fan, alumnus give me TN +21. " They r overrated and Ugas corners r gonna shut down the passing attack ".  Oh really? I like the above avg probability...imo...of TN keeping it within this nos. Esp w Nolan Smith out. Hupel is damn good.   And I'm an UGA grad ??

This is it in a nutshell: 

'when I watch Vols I see a vulnerable back end of the defense but I thought Young was better equipped to exploit this than Stetson'

My take, there are a lot of experienced players on the Vols who know how to knuckle down if they are in a game that is tight.....I have always said, its the veteran teams that show up at bowls/big games because they cherish their memories and tomorrow much more than a younger team or a team that has already won it all.......and just like the Super Bowl winner, I will fade the champ in a big game when I think the opponent has a better offense and at least one unit on a side of the ball that can stop the other team and the Vols bottled up Bama's run game just enough to give their offense a chance to win.

Question: What would the line be if Alabama was playing tomorrow in Georgia ?

According to most of you tenn is easy money with the pts. In my experience Vegas only puts out “easy” lines on games they wanna kill pockets on. I’m a Georgia fan and nervous about this game mostly because of the hype. But line screams uga to cover especially with the first cfp playoff rankings Tenn #1. Just fishy as f and every Joe blow is leaning on that ranking. Vegas either gonna rake or get smashed. They typically rake in these situations 

Have they played a stronger schedule than Vols?

Alabama with #1 SOS so far after 9 weeks and Vols beat them....

Tenn with #3 SOS 

Buckeyes with #4 SOS (this surprises me!)

Georgia with the 18th SOS

https://www.teamrankings.com/college-football/ranking/schedule-strength-by-other

@LonghornHoosier

 What about an answer for Tillman now? 2ND week back and healthy....kind of like the PICKENS factor last year (not as good but valuable to his team)