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These Schools Will be a ATM , ATS this Season--Agree? add some

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Posted: #26
last time I checked minesota was -4 at unlv,  I will hammer the gophers here,  I see them winning it by 10 to 14
 
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Posted: #27
That line is already out?
 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by Corley1011:

That line is already out?
at some spots in vegas yes, at my book no.
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by thesoulpurpose:

last time I checked minesota was -4 at unlv,  I will hammer the gophers here,  I see them winning it by 10 to 14


your instincts are correct SP.....and that is why the line will be 14ish....it (might) open 12ish.....tho hard to tell here...
as UNLV is 18-9 ATS as a home dog...so may get local action.....plus Minny is in a VERY uncomfortable role....as big road favorite

In fact last time in '09.....as a -7 pt fav at the Cuse
they won by 3 (ugly loss for Covers consensus).....

FYI > their next 10 wins...they also covered the game.....

enjoy your old school work here.....
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:

don't think in terms of "GOOD"... or "BAD"
      * but what is the PUBLIC PERCEPTION....of these teams.....> how is this right...or wrong....is team A really as good as when we saw them last?.....is team B really that bad?.....

My early list.....this is NOT a beauty contest remember

Bowling Green
Ohio St     Urban 71-44 ATS......31-6 in non-conf games!
UCF
Troy
Utah...Texas.....CMich...Mia,O...Fresno...Ball St...Army.....USF......Duke?
     *schedule allows roll?.....Georgia.....Miss St...Iowa...Utah...(Trojans better watch out.....Thurs nite at Utah 10/4....in Cal/@ Wash sandwich.....@ Tree before Cal too )....they can run + tough D = dangerous dog

I don't really look to fade anybody.....but these boys could be OVERvalued.....
Baylor....SMiss.....Michigan.....A&M?

UTEP.....New Mexico....HAWAII.....Kentucky.....should simply get killed

SPOT Plays....

CAL......as home fav.....17-3 ATS run.......and 26-19 with revenge.......Bears lost to 4 of their 2012 home opponents LY
(Nevada...UCLA...Ducks...Tree)

NC St....9-0 with rest...15-4-1 off loss.....21-10-1 in ACC
21-8 as ACC dog....with 15 upsets........and 26-0 ATS (vs FBS).....when they win SU > forget spread...just pick winner 

ULA......13-0 road dog

MICH ST.....8-1-1 RF......14-6-1 B10 road

OKIE ST......28-10-1 as fav....19-6 B12 fav

VA TECH......22-3 as RF < 8 pts

NEVADA.....8-0 as non-conf HF.....24-8-1 as HF

UNLV.....on road.....0-14 SU .....1-13 ATS

SMU.....6-15 fav

numbers from Steele...ML.....Stat Fox.....Gold Sheet..++
     *discrepancies occur because game lines are often different....different sources/cut-off times ....


this is a lot to chew on, bookie.  thanks.  printed this one out.
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by dugie243:

great thread D4

i know i thought the same on a lot of this last year, but here are a few i like (SEC special edition):

Betting:
Tennessee (offense should keep them close in many games)
Missouri (most SEC bettors will fade automatically and drive the number up)
Vandy (again, most usually fade, but this is a well coached team. watch out)

Fading:
UGA (way over rated this year. easy schedule, but should be some nice fade spots on big games)
Auburn (new assistants and gene is an idiot. this team does not know where it is going)






GL to all

agree with all ... will be on Missouri , but hoping for more than the +4 they are currently getting when they host UGA...Everyone is in love with the Bulldogs schedule , but I think ATS they will be a great fade 


With you on Vanderbilt , Love the coaching , hoping for the Line to reach +10.5 week 1


Tennessee better find some one to run the ball this season or D's will be teeing off on Bray again... Vols could be a ATM



Nice posts Brother
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #32
penn state will be an atm for the victims
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:

don't think in terms of "GOOD"... or "BAD"
      * but what is the PUBLIC PERCEPTION....of these teams.....> how is this right...or wrong....is team A really as good as when we saw them last?.....is team B really that bad?.....

My early list.....this is NOT a beauty contest remember

Bowling Green
Ohio St     Urban 71-44 ATS......31-6 in non-conf games!
UCF
Troy
Utah...Texas.....CMich...Mia,O...Fresno...Ball St...Army.....USF......Duke?
     *schedule allows roll?.....Georgia.....Miss St...Iowa...Utah...(Trojans better watch out.....Thurs nite at Utah 10/4....in Cal/@ Wash sandwich.....@ Tree before Cal too )....they can run + tough D = dangerous dog

I don't really look to fade anybody.....but these boys could be OVERvalued.....
Baylor....SMiss.....Michigan.....A&M?

UTEP.....New Mexico....HAWAII.....Kentucky.....should simply get killed

SPOT Plays....

CAL......as home fav.....17-3 ATS run.......and 26-19 with revenge.......Bears lost to 4 of their 2012 home opponents LY
(Nevada...UCLA...Ducks...Tree)

NC St....9-0 with rest...15-4-1 off loss.....21-10-1 in ACC
21-8 as ACC dog....with 15 upsets........and 26-0 ATS (vs FBS).....when they win SU > forget spread...just pick winner 

ULA......13-0 road dog

MICH ST.....8-1-1 RF......14-6-1 B10 road

OKIE ST......28-10-1 as fav....19-6 B12 fav

VA TECH......22-3 as RF < 8 pts

NEVADA.....8-0 as non-conf HF.....24-8-1 as HF

UNLV.....on road.....0-14 SU .....1-13 ATS

SMU.....6-15 fav

numbers from Steele...ML.....Stat Fox.....Gold Sheet..++
     *discrepancies occur because game lines are often different....different sources/cut-off times ....

Love your work 

although I totally disagree with most things you say on here other than Football
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:


Love your work 

although I totally disagree with most things you say on here other than Football


this being the COLLEGE FOOTBALL WAGERING FORUM.....
we should be good..........
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #35
Western Kentucky 

Amazing run last season winning 7 straight conference games . 9 Starters return on offense , 7 on Defense . While they do lose SBCOPOY RB Bobby Rainey , I do expect QB Kuwaun Jukes to take a big step forward in his SR season. After opening with 3 FBS foes in the first foes in the first 4 weeks there could be plenty of value .


10-2 ATS LY 

5-2 ATS as home Dog last 2 years

8-3 as away Dog the last 2 years 

13-3 ATS vs SBC last 2 years 


Possible Betting options 

Week 2   at Alabama    would want a nice chunk of points but Tide do have at Arkansas on deck .

Week 3 at Kentucky    Hilltoppers ML ???

Week 5  at Arkansas St.    waiting to see how Gus's boys are 

Week 7   vs ULM    won outright as a nice 6 point Dog LY 

Week 8 FIU      Golden Panthers seem a bit overrated coming into this season 

Week 10   FAU     Owls looks pretty soft 

Week 12   North Texas       

 
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #36
doule great work as always....question,will you be posting ur plays throughout the week or the same day as the games? just want to make sure i dont miss out
 
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Posted: #37
wow this is gold 
 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by QBUN:

doule great work as always....question,will you be posting ur plays throughout the week or the same day as the games? just want to make sure i dont miss out

Yipes .. tread lightly ... I am a much better futures players than weekly CFB ATS gambler... 

Nebraska -13 ($240) will likely be my only week 1 play over $75 ..unless i see some real value ....

a Majority of my plays will be posted before thursday of each week ...
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #39

Gl on the week to week betting this year.  I'm sure i will be tailing you on a few. 

 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by PROPHET4:

Gl on the week to week betting this year.  I'm sure i will be tailing you on a few. 


need all the Luck i can get 


BOL brother thanks for stopping by

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by PimpJzH:

wow this is gold 

Only time will tell
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #42
doubleup you live in buffalo? my family lives there, we own funeral homes throughout the area..
 
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Posted: #43

OKLAHOMA STATE WILL NOT BE GOOD NEXT YEAR...THE COACHES AND ANNOUNCERS FOR THE SCHOOL ARE SAYING THINGS LIKE REBUILDING YEAR, AND THEY PLAN ON STARTING A TRUE FRESHMAN QB!! WEEDEN WAS IMPLEMENTING HOLMGRENS OFFENSE, NOT GUNDYS!

A COLLEGE FOOTBALL TEAMS SUCCESS STARTS WITH THE QB....

THAT SAID WHAT IS OSU'S QBS NAME??

 
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Posted: #44
Answer: Wes Lunt- 18 years old
 
We've heard all three of those before and will again in 2012. The age jokes are back, but replace jokes about Weeden's AARP status with ones about 18-year-old Wes Lunt's acne and prom date. Then replace "Brandon Weeden and Justin Blackmon" with "Zac Robinson and Dez Bryant."
 
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Posted: #45
FADE

Memphis 
. 

Still Don't know why they got rid of former HC Tommie West ?  After he got the Tigers to 5 bowls from 03 to 08. Larry Porter was a joke of a HC . Don't like the hire of 35 year old Justin Fuente ... The Road schedule looks Like 0-6 S/Up...at Home I see 2 wins at best ....get ready to fade away 

5-31 S/Up the last 3 years 

26-42-2 ATS the last 6 years 

4-11 ATS as a home Dog the last 3 years 

7-13 ATS as a Road Dog the last 4 years 

8-16 ATS vs CUSA the last 3 years 


Possible fade spots

Game 2 at Arkansas St.   this could get reAL UGLY 

Game 4 at Duke  Tigers are 0-14 vs BCS schools losing by avg of 24 PPG.

Game 5  Rice ... Owls look much better on paper 

Game 6 at ECU    Have dropped 6 straight ATS to Pirates 

Game 7 UCF   have lost all 7 to UCF by avg of 19 points 

screw it the rest of them !!!
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #46

good analysis

 
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Posted: #47
Double - you know I love and respect your passion and dedication to the game


agree on alot.........

disagree on Oklahoma st and WV


BTW.... never write the words I like what Tom O'Brien has done or Tom O'Brien is a good coach....
 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by Boom_Boom:

Double - you know I love and respect your passion and dedication to the game


agree on alot.........

disagree on Oklahoma st and WV


BTW.... never write the words I like what Tom O'Brien has done or Tom O'Brien is a good coach....

Tom O'Brien can do NO wrong 

she he may choke a few games away , or his teams look like they prepared for a option team when playing a Air raid offense , 


Thanks for stopping by Brother BOOM
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #49
double much thx brotha...play against unlv.....and play ON usc for every game...the REAL usc that is...i say they come out with their hair on fire and take no prisoners..GL
 
 
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Posted: #50
I do like Oregon but I don't know about betting them vs my Cougs. We played them tough last year. Spread was 37.5 and we only lost in Autzen 43-28 and we outgained them in total yards. I'm bias but I like my Cougs as winning a lot of dough ats this year. 
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