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**THURSDAY'S LARGE WAGER & WRITEUP**

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Posted: #51
with you on CINCY....GL
 
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Posted: #52
 
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Posted: #53
DAEXPERT
 
Props for last night, couldn't leave a post on your page, gave you props on mine. 
 
 
Local, got to take the USF ML Parlaying it with the under 49.5
 
 
 
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Posted: #54
nice write up!
    G.L- EX
       
 
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Posted: #55
i have a feeling cinci is gonna get upset. my heart wants to bet on cinci but once researching it and watching the line i might have to go with south florida. Bj Daniels is legit. he is a dual threat qb and was ranked number 8 for qbs in his recruiting class. cincis defensive cordinator last year is now south floridas. he knows cincis offense like the back of his hand.
 
I took tulsa with u last night parlayed it with the under. but bol tonight.
 
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Posted: #56
Just curious.  Your post from the 13th you had a lean toward So. Florida.  Now I see you are on Cincinnati large.  What has happened that has swayed you to the Bearcats.
 
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Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by gthing25:

Just curious.  Your post from the 13th you had a lean toward So. Florida.  Now I see you are on Cincinnati large.  What has happened that has swayed you to the Bearcats.

Detailed research....My leans are just a cold read of the line. I then go research the game, analyze the line and make my play. . I also like the fact that I am seeing people really think USF is a live home dawg...This far from actual. People are very quick to jump on a dawg just because it's been pretty hot on weekday games. This game is very similar to Nebraska/Missouri last week.

 
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Posted: #58
i dont doubt that players went out but its a big game and both teams are undefeated.

the players are young guys, they can party and wake up ready to play some ball.


 
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Posted: #59
no one should be betting large on this game unless they need the money tomorrow......BOL anyway i got cincy -2
 
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Posted: #60
im with you. watch the freshman choke in a big game
 
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Posted: #61
Quote Originally Posted by DaExpert:

Detailed research....My leans are just a cold read of the line. I then go research the game, analyze the line and make my play. . I also like the fact that I am seeing people really think USF is a live home dawg...This far from actual. People are very quick to jump on a dawg just because it's been pretty hot on weekday games. This game is very similar to Nebraska/Missouri last week.

 

how are people quick to jump on the dawg when 56 percent of the money is on cinci ml and 80 percent of the spread money is on cinci. initially the majority of the money on the ml was on south florida but as the general public keeps betting its swung way towards cinci. if vegas wanted even money and to collect the juice they would have set this game at like -5. obviously this line was set way too low. ur right the nebraska game is very similar but the money was a lot more even compared to this game. bol

unless changed my plays tonight are south florida 2 units under in the game parlayed with the under in the dodgers game 1 unit

 
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Posted: #62
Expert-really good write up for tonight's game.  I would also mention that South Florida has had a pattern the last few years of starting the season really hot, only to have a mid season lapse and finish the season in a disappointing manner.  They have reached very high rankings in each of the last 2 seasons only to fizzle out in the end.  If senior QB Matt Grothe were playing, I would treat them as a live dog in this matchup.  However, the most important bottom line factor for this game tonight is that you simply cannot ask a freshman QB BJ Daniels to lead them to victory and outduel Tony Pike.  The home crowd, their momentum, and their great defense can keep them in this game for a long time, but eventually a very well coached, experienced (offensively), and savvy Bearcat team will prevail.  They will not be able to rely on 5+ turnovers in this contest.

Good points made by both sides, but I gotta say that the weird line movement is a classic case of Vegas mind fu**ing the crap out of people.  I don't think this is the type of game that comes down to 3 points or less.

Good luck to all, whatever your side.
 
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Posted: #63
has anyone ever played Bodog Live? (Betting on different plays during the game)
 
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Posted: #64
love the pick
on same side
cin.
 
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Posted: #65
Well whoever wins will by one posession.  Im hoping its CINCY.  So USF if you reading this, "TURNOVER TURNOVER TURNOVER PLEASE"
 
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Posted: #66
I like Cincinatti in a close one.
 
The key factor in this game is no Matt Grothe, the badass senior QB is out. South Floridas defensive ends will probably disrupt Cincys pasisng game, but i dont think that will be enough. Now lets look at key wins for both teams.
 
South Florida
@ #18 Florida State 17 - 7
@ Syracuse 34 - 20
 
They also have only given up 7 points this season at home, albeit to questionable competition. ( Wofford, Charleston Southern)
 
Cincinatti
@ Rutgers 47 - 15
No other games really stood out for the bearcats.
 
This one should be a good game but i think Bearcats get the win straight up in a nailbiter.
 
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Posted: #67
GL tonight!!!!
 
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Posted: #68
Quote Originally Posted by BULLDAWGZUS:

What you all left out.  South Florida - Thursday night.  Wow.  Everyone on Cinci? 
 
Inside info.  Cincy flew in last early last night and hit the Tampa scene.  The lights, the glam.  Word on the street is several of them could be seen boozing it up at the Green Iguana with a certain former Cincinnati native.  A one Charlie Hustle.  Hmmm.  A little 'Fishy' indeed.
 
Now, I don't know if my source is overexagerating the exact order of events, but word is Gilyard could be seen taking body shots off old man Rose's hairy chest.  Hmmm...Fishy.
 
Well, this all sounded 'fishy' too me also, so I made a few calls.  Come to find out, they WERE at the Green iguana last night.  But, that's not the kicker.  Afterwards, the all headed to the Pier in St Pete and dove off the top rail into the freezing ocean.  Now, luckily, everyone was accouted for.  HOWEVER, my source(who I can not name).  Said a few of the core players for Cincy came up with a bad throat cold this morning. 
 
Now, as if that wasn't enough.  After the body shot experience in which the players left and went to the pier.  Old cincy native Charlie Hustle was scene speeding off due west.  My source, followed him until he arrived at the Tampa Holiday Inn express.  Pete quickly hopped out of the 97 VW Jetta and took the elevator to the 7th floor.  My source, who once again I cannot name, stated he too took the elevator and stepped out onto the same floor as Pete.  My source turned left while Pete turned right.  Hiding around the corner, my source peeked and saw Pete knocking on room 703. 
 
Well, after a moment, he heard Pete talking and then saw him reach into his pocket.  What did he pull out?  Well, my source said it was a wad of bills, at least 2 inches thick.  My source then began stumbling around the corner, attempting to look drunk, until he passed into view of Pete's companion at the door.  Who was it?  Well, none other than Cincy coach Brian Kelly!
 
So, the sickness, the body shots, the PeteRose/BKelly visit.  Hmmm....I say, forget the points....I'll take
 
South Florida -  MONEY LINE!!!!
 
like I say, this is all hear say from a source I can't name

well you had me there until the part about drivin off the Pier into the "Ocean"......  everybody knows that its the gulf on that side.

I mean the homosexual love triangle with the gambler, the star player and the coach.... the payoff....  all very believable. 

But I do agree that USF will get the W.  

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #69
Quote Originally Posted by bwolf421:

I like Cincinatti in a close one.
 
The key factor in this game is no Matt Grothe, the badass senior QB is out. South Floridas defensive ends will probably disrupt Cincys pasisng game, but i dont think that will be enough. Now lets look at key wins for both teams.
 
South Florida
@ #18 Florida State 17 - 7
@ Syracuse 34 - 20
 
They also have only given up 7 points this season at home, albeit to questionable competition. ( Wofford, Charleston Southern)
 
Cincinatti
@ Rutgers 47 - 15
No other games really stood out for the bearcats.
 
This one should be a good game but i think Bearcats get the win straight up in a nailbiter.

 IT WONT BE A NAIL BITER.

 
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Posted: #71
I have to agree with ya on Cincy.  Also my largest wager of the year.  Thinking of adding more after your write up
Gambling is only a problem when your losing!
 
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Posted: #72
yesterday i was on tulsa too.. and today im with you on cinn. but dammit my book got it at -2. but ill take that cause i can see cincy winning by a td.
 
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Posted: #73
Question - Is it true that the Bulls have won 2 straight against top 10 teams and 5 straight against top 25 teams? Also, heard they've never lost when the crowd is over 60k. Somebody smarter than me please answer that question....
 
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Posted: #74
Quote Originally Posted by dixonbets:

I have to agree with ya on Cincy.  Also my largest wager of the year.  Thinking of adding more after your write up

 
 
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