Posted:
#1
I've been doing research on this game for a while now and I think I'll have a good handle on the outcome of the game. I've been pretty cold as of late to take what I say with a grain of salt. However this will be a 3 unit play and I'm 4-1 on those with a recent loss on Clemson -4 last Saturday.
Let's take a look at the composition of both Tulsa and UCF. Tulsa returns 19 starters from last year with 10 on offense 8 on defense and 1 on special teams. They still run the same spread offense with Kinne and uses a 4-3 formation on defense. Unfortunately their star player Damaris Johnson is out before the season started due to "academic issues". Tulsa is 5-3 straight up and 4-4 ATS. Wins include 38-7 SMU and all the loses came from top ten FBS teams such as Boise, Oklahoma State and Oklahoma. Tulsa is 38th in their SOS and was as high as #8. Tulsa commits 5.3 penalties a game on average and has an awful rate of turnovers. I expect Tulsa to turn the ball over at least twice tonight against UCF.
UCF comes into the season with 11 returning starters with 6 on offense, 1 on special teams and only 4 returning starters on defense. UCF also runs a 4-3 defense and utilizes different sets on offense ( pro style, split backs etc). Godfrey is a mobile quarterback who makes more plays with his feet than his arm. UCF is 4-4 straight up and 3-5 against the spread. With wins against BC, Charles Southern, Marshall and Memphis. Loses include 17-38 to SMU, 24-26 to UAB . 10-17 to FLINT and 17-24 to BYU. All the losses were on the road and a key stat is that UAB outgained UCF 501-331 yards while dominating the time of possessions. Yes that's right offensively inepted UAB without a win prior to playing UCF beat UCF as a 18.5 point dog. UCF has a SOS of 109 out of 120 FBS teams.
In conclusion I expect Tulsa to give UCF's inexperienced defense fits with their spread offense. Even though Tulsa gives up the rock a lot, the turnover margin between the 2 teams are very similar. With Tulsa at -0.4 and UCF at 0.3. Tulsa offense is clearly superior and even though UCF boats far better defensive numbers, I'm not sold on UCF because of their SOS. I don't like to play road teams during the evening. But I do like Tulsa +1.5/2. I will be locking in as gametime approaches, in hope for a better line. Gl on whatever you bet
Tulsa by 7+
Let's take a look at the composition of both Tulsa and UCF. Tulsa returns 19 starters from last year with 10 on offense 8 on defense and 1 on special teams. They still run the same spread offense with Kinne and uses a 4-3 formation on defense. Unfortunately their star player Damaris Johnson is out before the season started due to "academic issues". Tulsa is 5-3 straight up and 4-4 ATS. Wins include 38-7 SMU and all the loses came from top ten FBS teams such as Boise, Oklahoma State and Oklahoma. Tulsa is 38th in their SOS and was as high as #8. Tulsa commits 5.3 penalties a game on average and has an awful rate of turnovers. I expect Tulsa to turn the ball over at least twice tonight against UCF.
UCF comes into the season with 11 returning starters with 6 on offense, 1 on special teams and only 4 returning starters on defense. UCF also runs a 4-3 defense and utilizes different sets on offense ( pro style, split backs etc). Godfrey is a mobile quarterback who makes more plays with his feet than his arm. UCF is 4-4 straight up and 3-5 against the spread. With wins against BC, Charles Southern, Marshall and Memphis. Loses include 17-38 to SMU, 24-26 to UAB . 10-17 to FLINT and 17-24 to BYU. All the losses were on the road and a key stat is that UAB outgained UCF 501-331 yards while dominating the time of possessions. Yes that's right offensively inepted UAB without a win prior to playing UCF beat UCF as a 18.5 point dog. UCF has a SOS of 109 out of 120 FBS teams.
In conclusion I expect Tulsa to give UCF's inexperienced defense fits with their spread offense. Even though Tulsa gives up the rock a lot, the turnover margin between the 2 teams are very similar. With Tulsa at -0.4 and UCF at 0.3. Tulsa offense is clearly superior and even though UCF boats far better defensive numbers, I'm not sold on UCF because of their SOS. I don't like to play road teams during the evening. But I do like Tulsa +1.5/2. I will be locking in as gametime approaches, in hope for a better line. Gl on whatever you bet
Tulsa by 7+
0
But i love Tulsa...GL..
Love where your heads at Laroja!!
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