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ucf vs lou.. fishy line movement??

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Posted: #1
bettings pretty much even so why the line movement to 14.5? seems like vegas is begging people to take ucf with 3 score spread. am i missing something here?? 
 
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Posted: #2
Missing that Louisville is one of best teams in country and will win easily
 
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Posted: #3
Quote Originally Posted by kwangusbeef:

bettings pretty much even so why the line movement to 14.5? seems like vegas is begging people to take ucf with 3 score spread. am i missing something here?? 

I wrote the following a few days ago: "Keep in mind that DeVante Parker, Teddy's favorite target, was out last week and is a "game day decision" this week.  Also lost to injury against Rutgers is Parker's backup, Kai De La Cruz, who is also a game day decision."

It was reported yesterday that Parker is practicing in full pads, and Strong has said all week if he practices he plays.  De La Cruz has not been practicing, but Teddy has his best target.  That will shift the line some.  

When the line went to +14.5 last night, that's when I jumped in. Taking UCF +14.5.  Maybe Cardinals dominate, but that's a lot of points to give a respectable Knights team.
 
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by Ducks_Homer:


I wrote the following a few days ago: "Keep in mind that DeVante Parker, Teddy's favorite target, was out last week and is a "game day decision" this week.  Also lost to injury against Rutgers is Parker's backup, Kai De La Cruz, who is also a game day decision."

It was reported yesterday that Parker is practicing in full pads, and Strong has said all week if he practices he plays.  De La Cruz has not been practicing, but Teddy has his best target.  That will shift the line some.  

When the line went to +14.5 last night, that's when I jumped in. Taking UCF +14.5.  Maybe Cardinals dominate, but that's a lot of points to give a respectable Knights team.

thanks for the info bro. i know ucf is a good team just not sure how hyped they will be to play this game. bol 
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by Ducks_Homer:


I wrote the following a few days ago: "Keep in mind that DeVante Parker, Teddy's favorite target, was out last week and is a "game day decision" this week.  Also lost to injury against Rutgers is Parker's backup, Kai De La Cruz, who is also a game day decision."

It was reported yesterday that Parker is practicing in full pads, and Strong has said all week if he practices he plays.  De La Cruz has not been practicing, but Teddy has his best target.  That will shift the line some.  

When the line went to +14.5 last night, that's when I jumped in. Taking UCF +14.5.  Maybe Cardinals dominate, but that's a lot of points to give a respectable Knights team.


Have allegedly good info that Parker will start tonight and has been good in practice all week.  Completely different team in the red zone with him.  Cards had three red zone meltdowns last week against Rutgers-Parker brings back the ability to run the end zone fade. 
 
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Posted: #6
Good info
 
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Posted: #7
A service released Louisville as one of their plays yesterday. It's as simple as that as to why the line jumped
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by HammersSpreads:

A service released Louisville as one of their plays yesterday. It's as simple as that as to why the line jumped


Uh, no
 
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Posted: #9
you cant always follow the line movement, look at last night games with the cards and the hawks! the line went from 6.5 to 4 in a matter of hours and what ended up happening? the cards got their behind kicked the whole game! the final score should have been 34 15 but cards got that lucky fumble recovery inside the hawks 5 yard line which lead to the TD. 

UFC + 14.5 seems good to me and if they by chance do fall victim to a blow out than ill take my chances
 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by HammersSpreads:

A service released Louisville as one of their plays yesterday. It's as simple as that as to why the line jumped


A service made this line go from 12.5 to 14.5???

I doubt it.
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by slick15:



A service made this line go from 12.5 to 14.5???

I doubt it.

Dr Bob used to move the line 2 full points in his heyday.  
 
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Posted: #12
Used too...

Not anymore.  Especially past a key number.  Its gonna settle around 14ish..im going ucf has done fight in them.
 
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Posted: #13
I'm saying it is possible, not saying I know for a fact.  
 
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Posted: #14
^ was it gridironguy?
 
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Posted: #15
Miami moved 8' to 10 last night and N.Corolina ???
 
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Posted: #16
Miami moved 8' to 10 last night and N.Corolina ???
 
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Posted: #17


UCF will get destroyed tonight.
 
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Posted: #18
Billy Walters released the play yesterday afternoon. 
When these lines move like this it is usually a service releasing a line. Every week lines move this much on Thursday and Friday. 
Toledo, north Texas, Louisville, ULL....all examples this week 
The only fishy one is Wyoming this week bc one released it on Tuesday and the line hasn't moved, and even moved back a bit

Call me ignorant, I don't care. Just trying to help
 
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Posted: #19
It's likely but everyone was saying that about UNC last night.  They said the same about PSU against Michigan last weekend.
 
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Posted: #20
ucf is a live dog, i am leaning in that direction.  i like the o 55 even more. 
 
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Posted: #21

Quote Originally Posted by HammersSpreads:

A service released Louisville as one of their plays yesterday. It's as simple as that as to why the line jumped

Yep..Wouldn't be surprised if Dr. Bob put it out...and then some steam came in to play the middle.

Select lines usually jump Thursday afternoon/evening.

Never Make A Winner A Loser. Never.
 
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Posted: #22
lmao i took seahawks n over and north carolina came up.large 2gs to be exact today taking ucf +14 i have them on my other ticket too at +12 1/2 they will cover and by 9 points to spare 
 
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Posted: #23
The line does seem fishy considering it opened at 10.5 & has moved 3.5 - 4 pts depending what book you have. UCF has played S.Carolina tough & beaten a team (Penn St) that's better than anyone Louisville has faced. Not to mention they had a bye week prior to this matchup. I think Louisville is the better team, but 14-14.5 is a hell of a lot of points to give in a de-facto conference championship game. Lets face it, the winner of this game has the conference title & BCS bid locked up.
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by HammersSpreads:

Billy Walters released the play yesterday afternoon. 
When these lines move like this it is usually a service releasing a line. Every week lines move this much on Thursday and Friday. 
Toledo, north Texas, Louisville, ULL....all examples this week 
The only fishy one is Wyoming this week bc one released it on Tuesday and the line hasn't moved, and even moved back a bit

Call me ignorant, I don't care. Just trying to help

yes you are very ignorant !!

you are helping nobody !!

Billy Walters has never "RELEASED" a play in his life...........you sound like a total fool my friend, stop before you put the other foot in your mouth !! 

 
 
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Posted: #25

I wish someone could show an ATS trend on NFL/NCAA games w/ line movements of 2 points or more within the last 3 hours of a game.  Curious to see if there's any correlation.

I'd do it, but have no idea where to get such info.

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