8/29 133 North Carolina 12 -110 365
6:00 PM 0 South Carolina -12 -110 -460
Over/Under 56.5
*UNC in 2nd year under Fedora...with a pretty solid Sr QB...but lose a 1200 yd rusher / 2/5 OL return / only 3/7 defensive front back
Spurrier tough as home favorite but Cocks have huge game with Georgia on deck...
$ SC wins a tough / ugly low scoring game....slight lean to UNC
8/29 135 UNLV 14 -110 425
7:00 PM 0 Minnesota U -14 -110 -550
Over/Under 51.5
*both in uncomfortable roles...UNLV terrible on the road (much better LY)...Minny as DDHF
$ STAY AWAY....UNLV (could) be much better....maybe slight lean to dog
8/29 137 Tulsa 3.5 -115 145
7:00 PM 0 Bowling Green -3.5 -105 -165
Over/Under 48
*BG in slightly uncomfortable role as home fav (great road dog)....Tulsa in preferred role as dog (7-2 ATS)
key here will be Tulsa O vs (solid) but overrated BG D....that struggles when facing O's with even a pulse
2012 trampled by Kent St (334 rushing...8.0) and VT (246...5.7)...and have struggled vs spread / up tempo in the past....
2011 > 643yds /55pts to WV...578/45 to WM...623/45 to NIll....456/28 to Toledo
Tulsa brings back Sr QB in Green (improved late LY after playing hurt)...2 backs combining for 2000+ LY...talented WR's and tough OL (2 Sr/2 Jr/So...only 9 sacks LY)
Tulsa loses most of D (lose 8/12 tacklers)...so a typically weak BG offense should be able to move it here also
note > Falcons lost top RB Samuels and top OL (LT Cooper)...and are starting 2 rFR at OT...WR Roberson out for Tulsa
$$ Tulsa looks like the better team to me...and should win a (higher) scoring game...no big deal...but Falcons do have conference game with Kent St on deck
8/29 139 Akron 21 -110 950
7:00 PM 0 Central Florida -21 -110 -1450
Over/Under 55
*Zips in 2nd year under Bowden (5-0 DDRD LY)..BUT...UCF great as a HF...and this is their only home game until 9/28...
Knight with a massive talent edge and should murder the Zips
$ no interest...but UCF worth maybe checking out here
8/29 141 Utah State 2.5 -110 120
8:00 PM 0 Utah -2.5 -110 -140
Over/Under 51
* Aggies lose a great HC in Andersen...1600 yd rusher....top 5 WR
But return an excellent QB + OL > (5/5...9/10)....and 7 back from a really tough / legit D
Utes bring in Dennis Erickson to help an anemic O....QB Wilson now healthy....and JUCO transfer York supposedly pretty good RB
slight leap of faith here...but I'll call for the Utes (9th year under HC Whittingham) to take back this series (they have dominated) vs Utah St with a 1st year HC
$$ solid play Utah.....strong lean UNDER
8/29 143 Mississippi -3 -115 -155
9:15 PM 0 Vanderbilt 3 -105 135
Over/Under 53
*no doubt Vandy a tough / underrated team (11-2 ATS at home)...but they lose QB Rodgers +1200 yd rusher Stacy and now excellent WR Boyd suspended
Rebels bring most everybody back from a team (1st year under Freeze) that out-gained Vandy 458 > 371 LY..
KEY here will be Rebel defensive front vs Vandy running attack....(ALABAMA....LSU...and Georgia couldn't run LY)...Rebels look stronger now adding key transfers and top recruits....forcing former Wyoming QB ACS to win it thru the air....facing relentless pressure
note : Ole Miss QB Wallace not 100% here...however...he played last year (mostly) with a separated shoulder and should be better here
$$ solid play Ole Miss / lean under
8/29 145 Rutgers 9.5 -110 295
10:30 PM 0 Fresno State -9.5 -110 -355
Over/Under 54.5
* both in HC's 2nd year....long road trip for Rutgers vs a strong Fresno team with a lot to prove off terrible bowl loss to SMU
$ I would expect Fresno to roll here but stay away for me
8/29 147 USC -21.5 -110 -1500
11:00 PM 0 Hawaii 21.5 -110 1000
Over/Under 53.5
*Rainbow Warriors should get murdered here...but can LK be trusted?
not for me...
note: UH OC quit team recently...USC RB Redd is OUT here...USC new DC installing a 5-2 D (for Ducks no doubt)....Hawaii should struggle offensively in a big way...
$ lean USC if you must....under or Hawaii TT under might work