TH 9/2 TBA Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Ball State Cardinals TBA Rhode Island Rams Buffalo Bulls TBA Hampton Pirates Central Michigan Chippewas TBA Towson Tigers Indiana Hoosiers TBA Murray State Racers Kent State Golden Flashes TBA Florida A&M Rattlers Miami (FL) Hurricanes TBA Marshall Thundering Herd Ohio State Buckeyes TBA Norfolk State Spartans Rutgers Scarlet Knights 7:30 pm Southern Miss Golden Eagles South Carolina TBA Presbyterian Blue Hose Wake Forest Demon Deacons TBA Northern Illinois Huskies Iowa State Cyclones 7:30 pm Minnesota Golden Gophers Middle Tennessee Blue TBA Pittsburgh Panthers Utah Utes TBA North Dakota Fighting Sioux Idaho Vandals TBA Eastern Washington Eagles Nevada Wolf Pack 11:30 pm USC Trojans Hawaii Warriors
FRIDAY 9/3 TBA Arizona Wildcats Toledo Rockets
SAT 9/4 TBA Syracuse Orange Akron Zips TBA Weber State Wildcats Boston College Eagles TBA North Texas Mean Green Clemson Tigers TBA Elon Phoenix Duke Blue Devils TBA Army Black Knights Eastern Michigan Eagles TBA Miami (OH) RedHawks Florida Gators TBA Samford Bulldogs Florida State Seminoles TBA Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns Georgia Bulldogs TBA South Carolina State Bulldogs Georgia Tech Yellow
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
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most complete schedule i've seen....from Fox
WEEK 1
TH 9/2 TBA Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Ball State Cardinals TBA Rhode Island Rams Buffalo Bulls TBA Hampton Pirates Central Michigan Chippewas TBA Towson Tigers Indiana Hoosiers TBA Murray State Racers Kent State Golden Flashes TBA Florida A&M Rattlers Miami (FL) Hurricanes TBA Marshall Thundering Herd Ohio State Buckeyes TBA Norfolk State Spartans Rutgers Scarlet Knights 7:30 pm Southern Miss Golden Eagles South Carolina TBA Presbyterian Blue Hose Wake Forest Demon Deacons TBA Northern Illinois Huskies Iowa State Cyclones 7:30 pm Minnesota Golden Gophers Middle Tennessee Blue TBA Pittsburgh Panthers Utah Utes TBA North Dakota Fighting Sioux Idaho Vandals TBA Eastern Washington Eagles Nevada Wolf Pack 11:30 pm USC Trojans Hawaii Warriors
FRIDAY 9/3 TBA Arizona Wildcats Toledo Rockets
SAT 9/4 TBA Syracuse Orange Akron Zips TBA Weber State Wildcats Boston College Eagles TBA North Texas Mean Green Clemson Tigers TBA Elon Phoenix Duke Blue Devils TBA Army Black Knights Eastern Michigan Eagles TBA Miami (OH) RedHawks Florida Gators TBA Samford Bulldogs Florida State Seminoles TBA Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns Georgia Bulldogs TBA South Carolina State Bulldogs Georgia Tech Yellow
I'm a new member to this particular forum but I have been handicapping
NCAAF for about 4 years and last year was my first profitable season. I never guess what lines will be because I believe that spreads depict the perception about a particular game and not the actual expected outcome of the game based on match-ups, strengths, and weaknesses. Last year I generated expected outcomes of games based on a number of variables, 75% of which were statistical and 25% of which were situational/intangible. Then bet accordingly and had success. (As opposed to the first 3 years of wagering on NCAAF where I was simply guessing and blindly fading so-called "public percentages.") So far I've done the same for a number of week 1 games.
Neutral Field North Carolina 21 vs LSU 24 (-3, O/U 44)
Oregon State 26 vs TCU 42 (-16, O/U 68)
Colorado State 19 vs Colorado 31 (-12, O/U 50)
Missouri 35 vs Illinois 22 (+13, O/U 57)
Maryland 21 vs Navy 30 (-9, O/U 51)
Boise State 32 vs Virginia Tech 38 (-6, O/U 70)
Rice 7 vs Texas 45 (-38, O/U 52)
ACC North Texas 13 @ Clemson 45 (-32, O/U 58)
BIG 12 UCLA 22 @ Kansas State 23 (-1, O/U 45)
Northern Illinois 29 @ Iowa State 27 (+2, O/U 56)
Utah State 16 @ Oklahoma 48 (-32, O/U 64)
Washington State 9 @ Oklahoma State 43 (-34, O/U 52)
BIG Ten Connecticut 37 @ Michigan 26 (+11, O/U 63)
Western Michican 17 @ Michigan State 42 (-25, O/U 59)
Conf. USA Florida Atlantic 29 @ UAB 28 (+1, O/U 57)
SEC Arkansas State 19 @ Auburn 33 (-14, O/U 52)
Miami (OH) 3 @ Florida 49 (-46, O/U 52)
Louisiana Laf 18 @ Georgia 36 (-18, O/U 54)
Southern Miss 18 @ South Carolina 33 (-15, O/U 51)
Northwestern 23 @ Vanderbilt 24 (-1, O/U 47)
I left out any games in which teams that have new coaches are playing in. I'm still working on gathering information on the changes being made with those teams. I'm almost done with the rest of the conferences as well.
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I'm a new member to this particular forum but I have been handicapping
NCAAF for about 4 years and last year was my first profitable season. I never guess what lines will be because I believe that spreads depict the perception about a particular game and not the actual expected outcome of the game based on match-ups, strengths, and weaknesses. Last year I generated expected outcomes of games based on a number of variables, 75% of which were statistical and 25% of which were situational/intangible. Then bet accordingly and had success. (As opposed to the first 3 years of wagering on NCAAF where I was simply guessing and blindly fading so-called "public percentages.") So far I've done the same for a number of week 1 games.
Neutral Field North Carolina 21 vs LSU 24 (-3, O/U 44)
Oregon State 26 vs TCU 42 (-16, O/U 68)
Colorado State 19 vs Colorado 31 (-12, O/U 50)
Missouri 35 vs Illinois 22 (+13, O/U 57)
Maryland 21 vs Navy 30 (-9, O/U 51)
Boise State 32 vs Virginia Tech 38 (-6, O/U 70)
Rice 7 vs Texas 45 (-38, O/U 52)
ACC North Texas 13 @ Clemson 45 (-32, O/U 58)
BIG 12 UCLA 22 @ Kansas State 23 (-1, O/U 45)
Northern Illinois 29 @ Iowa State 27 (+2, O/U 56)
Utah State 16 @ Oklahoma 48 (-32, O/U 64)
Washington State 9 @ Oklahoma State 43 (-34, O/U 52)
BIG Ten Connecticut 37 @ Michigan 26 (+11, O/U 63)
Western Michican 17 @ Michigan State 42 (-25, O/U 59)
Conf. USA Florida Atlantic 29 @ UAB 28 (+1, O/U 57)
SEC Arkansas State 19 @ Auburn 33 (-14, O/U 52)
Miami (OH) 3 @ Florida 49 (-46, O/U 52)
Louisiana Laf 18 @ Georgia 36 (-18, O/U 54)
Southern Miss 18 @ South Carolina 33 (-15, O/U 51)
Northwestern 23 @ Vanderbilt 24 (-1, O/U 47)
I left out any games in which teams that have new coaches are playing in. I'm still working on gathering information on the changes being made with those teams. I'm almost done with the rest of the conferences as well.
I'd be all over UCONN +15.5, but to be honest, I don't know if they are returning 2 or 22 starters. Looks like Chestnut agrees as he had UConn winning outright by 11.
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I'd be all over UCONN +15.5, but to be honest, I don't know if they are returning 2 or 22 starters. Looks like Chestnut agrees as he had UConn winning outright by 11.
here's the Gold Sheet's last set of power ratings for CFB in 2009....THE most accurate i've seen for predicting future lines..... https://www.goldsheet.com/gs_new/display.php?id=15506&item=17457&type=pdf&title=Football%20Gold%20Sheet%20-%2012/28/2009%20-%20Week%2018
very helpful for those that don't have their own set of power ratings....keep in mind this is last years....so adjustments (small usually) need to be made note: home field value is not a constant...but based on that years results....table provides a great (starting) point....> boise and texas both a -7......suggesting a pick em game on a neutral field......horns would of course be favored by 3-6
looking at Michigan v UConn..... if played last year.....(from table) line would be around pick em..(Mich rated a 13....minus 2 pts for home field....huskies rated an 11)..then adjusted to maybe mich -2' or so....?
mich off 5-7.....return 7/8 starters....under intense heat.....with irish on deck.....slightly better? huskies off 8-5....9/8 starters back (11-2 ATS)...bye next....should be stronger no doubt
LINE ?....probable optimism coming from wolverine camp may push it to 7ish....huskies may get extra attention due to last years ATS success.....start around 7 or slightly more......down from there?....hard to see it climbing over 10
* many apologies if LINK doesn't work .....AGAIN
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
0
here's the Gold Sheet's last set of power ratings for CFB in 2009....THE most accurate i've seen for predicting future lines..... https://www.goldsheet.com/gs_new/display.php?id=15506&item=17457&type=pdf&title=Football%20Gold%20Sheet%20-%2012/28/2009%20-%20Week%2018
very helpful for those that don't have their own set of power ratings....keep in mind this is last years....so adjustments (small usually) need to be made note: home field value is not a constant...but based on that years results....table provides a great (starting) point....> boise and texas both a -7......suggesting a pick em game on a neutral field......horns would of course be favored by 3-6
looking at Michigan v UConn..... if played last year.....(from table) line would be around pick em..(Mich rated a 13....minus 2 pts for home field....huskies rated an 11)..then adjusted to maybe mich -2' or so....?
mich off 5-7.....return 7/8 starters....under intense heat.....with irish on deck.....slightly better? huskies off 8-5....9/8 starters back (11-2 ATS)...bye next....should be stronger no doubt
LINE ?....probable optimism coming from wolverine camp may push it to 7ish....huskies may get extra attention due to last years ATS success.....start around 7 or slightly more......down from there?....hard to see it climbing over 10
GS line based ratings are a start like bookie says, not uncommon for them to move quite a bit during offseason, UConn/Mich and Vandy/NW seem like odd matchups
at least this year we won't have to listen (as much anyway) to the blindly take chalk in first two weeks theory, like most trends by the time the average degenerate figures it out...it changes or adjusts. Seem to recall favs were a few games under .500 over first two weeks last year as opposed to the year before.
may need to go read last years Steele today to get fix waiting for June
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line guesses in march
GS line based ratings are a start like bookie says, not uncommon for them to move quite a bit during offseason, UConn/Mich and Vandy/NW seem like odd matchups
at least this year we won't have to listen (as much anyway) to the blindly take chalk in first two weeks theory, like most trends by the time the average degenerate figures it out...it changes or adjusts. Seem to recall favs were a few games under .500 over first two weeks last year as opposed to the year before.
may need to go read last years Steele today to get fix waiting for June
Never too early, but I think Notre Dame might be around a td favorite probably 6.5 or so. I still think the offense is going to be pretty explosive this season. I'm really anxious for the season already.
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Never too early, but I think Notre Dame might be around a td favorite probably 6.5 or so. I still think the offense is going to be pretty explosive this season. I'm really anxious for the season already.
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Thanks for the Help Brother 
we need help
BOL this season Double whenever it finally rolls around
here here
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