Week 1 Line Guesses 2012----DEGEN Special

so dufl, normally giving 40+ by any team on almost any week is for chumps, but do you think since UGA came off the humiliating loss to LSU and lost a hard fought game to a good Mich St team, even with the marginal experience on the O Line, and 3 subs in the secondary and 1 LB (I looked it up.  all 4 replacements were 4 star recruits), do you think UGA and Richt will roll over Buffalo.  Buffalo is starting a new QB, and though they return 15 starters from any otherwise bad team along with Oliver at RB, do you think UGA will cover this game.   I think the spread will be 40.    Also, on LSU, the Bama beat down was so bad for LSU, I perceive that they will come out for a 1 September 2012 (noon game, I wish it was a night game) and destroy N Texas.  

If it were any other week than week 1, I would probably look for other matchups.   I just think the talent differential is so huge here, and the motivation of the favorites so significant, I am thinking about laying the points.    I will not take LSU in week 3 over Idaho regardless of the points.   Mettenberger was a backup for LSU last year.  Granted, he got mop up time experience, but at least he knows the system.  The D he faced in spring ball should have prepared him for the season and N Texas.   I doubt any of the N Texas players on D could make even the 3rd team on LSU.

Right now, here are my plays for week 1

UCF -19 over Akron

UGA -39 over Buffalo

LSU -41 over N Texas

Nebraska -13 over S Miss

I think a lot of the openings will be slightly less than P Steele based on the perception of the general public.   I know it is early, but I will appreciate your thoughts on those 4 matchups.   Thank you, sir!

UCF "should" hammer crappy Akron , But you just never know if who will come out flat week 1 ... Maybe the backdoor is left open in this one ... Sometimes MAC teams have bankroll burning trends at home vs OOC Foes ... If you really like UCF pound it , but I am not sure I would wanna lay more than 2 TD's 

UGA hmmm Might name their score , or they rest everyone at Half time and win by 24-35 Points ... I don't see How the Bulls will score more than 7 Pts .... My Current Prediction is 48-6...  But again not sure I would lay 40+... if this spread is around 35 then yeah why not 

LSU should be pissed after getting Raped in the Championship ... North Texas will feel the wrath ... Maybe 55-3 ????  anything less than 42 is tempting 

Nebraska should laying at least 20 IMNHO ... already on this one for $120/100  ...Southern Miss lost so much from LY... Might be my Biggest Wager for week 1 .... Gulp , be careful normally I lose my ass week 1 

thank's man...I know I may be redundtant in my requests.   but, i know there are only a few weeks to consistently beat the books and i am trying to make the most of the opp...i concur with your score on LSU.   Though I don't have any wagers yet, I love Nebraska.  I checked today on 5D and it is still 13.   When are the sharps going to come in and bid that up?  In week's one and two, I will wager with Heritage.    I am also registered with 5D, Legends and Bookmaker.  Do you have any other reputable offshore books that you can recommend?  Thanks again!

Hi DU4F,

You get the honor of my first post...when do cfb moneylines come out for week 1

nice work DU, agree on quite a few....different on a couple...have FL closer to 20 and UCLA  around 10....UGA maybe 35

nice work DU, agree on quite a few....different on a couple...have FL closer to 20 and UCLA  around 10....UGA maybe 35

Great to hear from ya Brother Boom

UCLA at -10 would be a very big wager for me ...

UCLA, TENN, WASH

scared of : Iowa, Colo, Tol...