Week 11 - NCAAF Money Plays

1.  TCU -1 --> taking off the board for now. 

After further capping, I am hesitant to play this game.  I am not sure if I will jump on utah just yet or lay off all together. 


UPDATED CARD:

1.  Buffalo -7
2.  Penn State -7

horrible picks

haha....

gl bro....might want to look at WV again this week

UPDATED CARD:

1.  Buffalo -7
2.  Penn State -7

ADDING:

3.  Buffalo / Miami UNDER 50
4.  Minny -7.5

Thanks, Randizzle21.  Glad to hear from you. 

1.  Buffalo -7 
3.  Buffalo / Miami UNDER 50    *shouldn't have gone under...but it was with 2 minutes remaining on the clock and buffallo went all the way.  I had buff -7 at two units and the under at 1...so I'm not complaining.

1-1 on the week.  As posted above...tonight I have...

5.  Northern Illinois +10

mrod112...i have never seen anyone predict a score accurately...maybe by luck sometimes...so I don't bother.

My gut tells me that No Ill needs to keep Ball State under control, in order to cover the 10 points.  They cannot keep up on the points.  I like the under for that reason, which goes with my play.

I don't think we will see a game like last night...quite the opposite.  I don't think it will such huge yardage plays...more controlled and therefore the clock will eat away.

It's a no play for me...but if I had to pick...I would play the UNDER.

thanks fellas. 

Cillini - My take...I do not think Alabama loses this week, I think they find a way to pull this off...it's a 3:30 game, not under the lights.  Honestly, this line scares me though  I will also bet on it at some point, but who in their right mind wouldn't lay down -3.5 after knowing what Bama can do on the road...against teams of this caliber, such as GA.  So when it's too good to be true, I back off.  I am though considering LSU 1st half myself.

Again, what is with the SEC lines?  Georgia only by 11 at Kentucky?  Do you remember, they were at Vandy and favored by 12 and did not cover...Kentucky is improving...I like them here.  Georgia has lost a little pep in their step...they are not a club that goes on the road and wins huge all the time...I'd fade 'em.

Penn State...well...that half point makes people love the Iowa team in this spot.  I honestly think we saw the upset already...texas tech took down the mighty texas.  The next huge upset will be Florida vs. Bama....the tide will be rolled.  I'm on Penn State here...they are a solid squad and played at Ohio State under the lights.  They should let lose, and those BCS rankings will be their motivation.  I am more concerned with MSU and their speed three games later...but Iowa is not a bad team...they have kept a lot of games down to the wire.

Duke...no opinion...but I don't like to fade duke right now...

UC?  Man, ask my buddy TRAIN69....or Big East Expert.   They know WV much better.  My problem is...I am a homer.  Am I too close to this game to cap it?  I think so.  I think UC can play with WV...but they run away with it.  I think the win vs. South Florida at home gave the Bearcats a few less points then they truly deserve.  I don't know...WV might be the play.  If it goes under 7...then I would tend to lean WV for certain.

P.S.  Only opinions above...I haven't really studied those games in great, great detail...only gut reactions to each.

vegasthrowdown....

Northern Illinois at HALF TIME....

Hey man what part of Ohio are you from?

Cincy....meant to ask you about that...though "whodey" hasn't been that popular this year!  you?

Dayton, well not actually Dayton but Kettering! Don't know if you know where that is or not?