Week 11: 45-40 +8 Units YTD

Some early pkays

3 Units Michigan -4.5 write up later.
2 Units GA -11
2Units Oklahoma State -2.5
1 unit WVU/ OU under 58

Back w/ More + write ups

3U Michigan -4.5

I  contemplated a detailed write up here- but it would prob be a whole bunch of TLDR, so here;s what i see as the keys to the game. 

Defensively, Michigan has one of, if not the best and deepest interior defensive line in the country, Penn state's weakness on the Oline is at Guard- I think michigan can control the line of scrimmage and create pressure up the middle and we've seen Allar be unsettled in those spots. Allar's legs don't scare much, so I think Michigan will be willing to send barrett on blitzs and can put PSU in some tough positions. 

Offensively, Michigna obviously faces  it's biggest challenge to date. However, I think the PSU defense likes to be a bit more spread and I think Michigan has personnel sets that can force them to play more condensed. I see 2 TE sets and Edwards in the passing game being an issue for Penn State. 

Despite what people think of Michigan's scheudle, I think this is a better team than last year. I also think penn state is a bit overrated still- hard to win in happy valley but Michigan gets a convincing road win. 

2U GA -11

I don't buy the Ole Miss defense, i've watched some lesser teams move the ball successfully on that unti. Georgia will not beat itself and if they can move the ball on offense, they will name their number. Ole miss can score but the GA defense will do enough to win this one by two scores. Lane coaches games to win and sometimes that results in games going sideways- this can be one of those games with their defense. Dawgs win comfortably. 

2U OK State -2.5

Hangover spot for OK state- but UCF does not match up well here.  UCF's defense is surrendering north of 400 yards per game, with more than up 5 ypc and Oklahoma State's rushing attack has been on fire. I think this is a scenario where Oklahoma state will just wear out the knights defense and 2.5 feels to low. Hopefully they got the IV lines in and can avoid the hangover game. 

1U WVU/ OU Under 58

Looks like it got bet up to 60... interesting. I just look at this one as a more low scoring affair, OU has seemed to be banged up on offense and struggled to get much going as of late, and I thinK WVU can keep the sooners in front of them and force them to sustain drives and settle for 3. While the OU defense has struggled at times, I still view them as improved and the WVU offense doesn't particularly scare me. I think it's more likely to be played in high 40s then in the 60s. 

1U Michigan St. +31 

I think OSU should handle sparty, but 31 just feels a bit to rich. Sparty shoudl be able to generate enough to stay within this number. 

0.5 U Rutgers/ Iowa Over 27.5

I've been burned here before.... but comeon- 27.5.. that's ridiculous. I know both of these teams have good defenses, but Rutgers was able to move the ball on a good ohio state defense last week and there's turnover potential in this one. I will hold my nose and enjoy the ride. only going a half unit...because it's Iowa 

Leans:  I will post if i decide to play them. 

Bama -11 

GA Tech + 14- hoping to catch the hook 

FSU -14 

Zona/ Colorado Under 54.5

Oregon -16