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week 13 thoughts....

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Posted: #26
BOL RJ
 
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Posted: #27
Thanks for the heads up on those games...really gotta pay more attention. 

Think I am going to put a few units on Cal in CBB with Miami Oh looking decent.

 
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Posted: #28
RJ.....

you in for the bowl challenge, right?
 
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Posted: #29
Is it something where I can put all my plays in at once?

 
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Posted: #30
yeah... when the bowls come out I will post all the bowls and the opening spreads.... if its 20 bowls... then rank the m 20 to 1. No pressure tho, only if you want in.
 
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Posted: #31
Yessir 
 
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Posted: #32

Hey Sizzle,

I am seeing eye to eye with you this week. Can you believe all 4 publicly backed dogs won last week? Anyways here are the games I am playing this week.

I am definitely playing Nebraska -9.5 (the ultimate buy low sell high with Iowa a publicly backed dog as well), Syracuse +3 (good at home and Cinci is cooked with Munchie at QB), Texas Tech +12.5 (Another great buy low sell high, that win had to be the biggest win in school history for Baylor), LSU -12 (I think Arkansas is a fraud, Bama beat them by 24 and they barely beat Ole Miss and Vandy on the road). GT +6 (I love this spot for them at home, getting pts, vs a rival more concerned with the SEC title game next week).

Can you explain the Michigan-OSU line to me? I love Michigan in this spot as they havent beated OSU in 8 years but I thought the line would be -4 to -5 not -7.5! Michigan played Nebraska last week and the line was -3.5 and now its -7.5 at home vs OSU. Vegas thinks Ohio St is 4 pts better then Nebraska? Who do you lean to in this game?

Also, what do see in Pitt this week? That game stood out to me as well getting almost a TD but they arent good on the road and Ray Graham is out for the year. Do they have the offense to keep up with WV and can their defense slow down WV? I know WV has a shit defense this year but they can still score pts.

 
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Posted: #33
Yeah, sucker lines got killed last week. And that's what bought me off strong pre-line leans on LT and UVA. But RJ has been solid on those most of the year, I imagine they'll be back. 
 
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Posted: #34
let down spot big time for NC St. but MD is horrible. They have quit on there new coach
 
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Posted: #35
I agree especially with Bowling Green and Northwestern. BG has too much speed..Also, this is going to be a bowl type of atmosphere for Northwestern, because if they lose they will most likely not go bowling. Good luck!
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:

Einy - Those were my first losses on big favorites all year. I have picked my spots and picked them well. Just ate it last week. These things happen. 


I cant believe TT is getting that much @ a neutral location. Thats a play for sure. 

While I think the Over in the Tulsa game is a winner, I think Tulsa is the best play in that game. Thats a game they win SU. You get the better team at home, catching points. Its a unicorn. 

Clemson has been a cash cow for situational bettors recently. I just think that ship has sailed. Im not touching it. Think South Carolina could cover that, but if anyone is due, its Clemson. They are much better than they played last week and are going to want to get after it. Its just they are so young and these road contests are tough. 

I think Bama kicks in Auburn's shit. If I were to try to be so eloquent about the issue. I actually might play Bama. 

Shit, I like NMSU. They arent listed at my book, though....are they off for anyone else? Thats why I missed it. Great spot there. 

Come to think of it, I like USF this week and they are off on my book too. Are they off for anyone else? What is going on?

I lean to both UCLA and ULL. 

Loving Southern Miss. This team needs a win in the worst way and what better team to come to town....this has blowout written all over it. 

The line tells you Nebraska blows Iowa out. Iowa really cannot play defense this year. Its sad to watch. 


Duffer - I like the idea of Kentucky playing spoiler at home. 

I will probably end up on Texas. Hoping for another effort like that out of the defense. It will be tough to ask them to do it again if the horns dont put up any points. Ash was an abortion out there last week. Need McCoy in there. Thinking that A&M cant make enough stops. 




sup RJ..

these are the following games that are currently off the boards thru my local:

FRI:

*AKRON @ WESTERN MICHIGAN
*TOLEDO @ BALL STATE
*LOUIE @ USF
*UTEP @ CENTRAL FLORIDA 

SAT:

*DUKE @ TAR HEELS
*NEW MEXICO STATE @ LA TECH
*AF @ COLORADO STATE
*WASH STATE @ U WASHINGTON




No gamble No future
 
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Posted: #37
insightful post...thanks for sharing it! 
 
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Posted: #38


appreciate the insight
 
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Posted: #39

Thanks RJ.  If you get a minute, can you give your thoughts on Lions/GB tomorrow.  I don't understand that line.  If this game was 5-6 weeks ago, it would have been GB -3 or something like that right?  You couldn't find many anti-Lions backers.  Line opens at 5.5, your favorite number.  I figure it comes in, and its going higher.  Are the lines digressing that much, or did they just struggle with success last few weeks and ran into some hot teams (SF, Bears)?? 

Also, SJSU finally got the big win last week.  Nice call there!  How you think they perform against one of the worst home favorites of the last five years this week?  Line opened +7, down to +6 now. 

Really like the NW pick.  Good luck this week on bouncing back.  Sometimes your local needs a break, u know! 

 
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Posted: #40

RJ,

What are you NFL leans/plays for this week/weekend.  Thanks

 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by BigShotBill:

Hey Sizzle,

I am seeing eye to eye with you this week. Can you believe all 4 publicly backed dogs won last week? Anyways here are the games I am playing this week.

I am definitely playing Nebraska -9.5 (the ultimate buy low sell high with Iowa a publicly backed dog as well), Syracuse +3 (good at home and Cinci is cooked with Munchie at QB), Texas Tech +12.5 (Another great buy low sell high, that win had to be the biggest win in school history for Baylor), LSU -12 (I think Arkansas is a fraud, Bama beat them by 24 and they barely beat Ole Miss and Vandy on the road). GT +6 (I love this spot for them at home, getting pts, vs a rival more concerned with the SEC title game next week).

Can you explain the Michigan-OSU line to me? I love Michigan in this spot as they havent beated OSU in 8 years but I thought the line would be -4 to -5 not -7.5! Michigan played Nebraska last week and the line was -3.5 and now its -7.5 at home vs OSU. Vegas thinks Ohio St is 4 pts better then Nebraska? Who do you lean to in this game?

Also, what do see in Pitt this week? That game stood out to me as well getting almost a TD but they arent good on the road and Ray Graham is out for the year. Do they have the offense to keep up with WV and can their defense slow down WV? I know WV has a shit defense this year but they can still score pts.


bro, this spread is whack.

Biggest game here in close to 7 years.

Astonished this spread isn't at least 14 or so.

Game was instantly circled when Hoke signed...curious your thoughts Sizz
 
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Posted: #42
any finalized plays Sizzle??
 
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Posted: #43
Diznut Inyomao
 
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Posted: #44
Good luck as always Sizzle.
 
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by Michfan15:



Astonished this spread isn't at least 14 or so.



 
 
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Posted: #46
tulsa
 
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Posted: #47
i thought he was going to have time to chat this week?? lol
 
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Posted: #48
GL this weekend RJ... 

My favorite thread at covers, no disrespect to the others
 
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Posted: #49
Really got held up with some traveling last week that I did not expect. 

Busy week again for me. Will post as much as I can. 

Love Ohio, Col St and MTSU. 

 
 
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Posted: #50
Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:

Really got held up with some traveling last week that I did not expect. 

Busy week again for me. Will post as much as I can. 

Love Ohio, Col St and MTSU. 

Hey Sizzle,

I love Va Tech -7 this week. I think Clemson is reeling and Va Tech is focused and in revenge mode. Thoughts?

I also was curious on your thoughts on Ok St-OU, Mich St-Wisconsin, Texas-Baylor and the Big East games. I dont see alot of good spots this week. Teams should be up for championship games and Vegas knows quite a bit about most of these teams by this point of the year making it even harder to pick winners. Do you see any teams out there who are just going to throw the towel in this weekend?

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