Bama / Fla*SURE...Gator O vs Bama D looks like a most horrific match-up....
BUT....how 'bout that Bama O with an (extremely average) QB vs the Fla D?
I haven't seen ANYTHING that suggests to me Bama steamrolls Fla...the last few teams Bama has played (that has everyone GUSHING) about how awesome they are....are not strong vs the run.....at all
*Auburn D allows 4.6/rush and allowed a shade under 500 to Kentucky and freakin' Idaho
*Miss St 4.3/172...Mizzou and Kentucky moved it no problem
*LSU allows 4.0/rush
note: IF Ark (2.9/134) and Tenn (2.8/117) can sack up and stop Bama running game....so can the Gators
***AND....if they can force Bama to throw..Gators have arguably the nation's best pass D
This game IS Florida's season (no shot for play-off)..Bama (likely) has 2 more to play...
*my HUNCH....is that Florida is able to pressure Coker into a few early mistakes...keep it close for awhile
Bama should be able to pull away late....as Gator D wears down...I'll play Fla 1H (should be really low scoring)...and look to play Bama 2H
Heres's a comparison of common opponents
*note Fla QB Grier played vs Ole Miss and Tenn
Total Offense
BAMA FLA
Ole Miss 4.9/503 5.6/355
LSU 5.5/434 5.2/326
TENN 5.3/365 5.5/392
Ga 6.0/380 6.2/413
Total Defense
Ole Miss 6.7/433 4.5/328
LSU 4.0/182 7.1/423
TENN 4.9/303 6.0/420
Ga 4.3/300 3.9/223
Horns / Baylor *After watching (BRUTAL) that Baylor / TCU game last week....a physically and mentally... incredibly draining experience for the Bears....I think Baylor -21 or so is probably the worst bet on the board > so Texas should be considered....as I don't see how Baylor stays focused for FOUR QUARTERS
*YES....Horns are BAD....and beat up....so small play only
>> SURE.....decent shot Briles get's them ready somehow and they beat the helll outta Texas as well.........
AF / SDSU *with QB out Aztecs maybe a reach here....BUT...key here should be Aztec D vs AF O...Rocky Long's 3-3-5 usually gives them problems (this is one of his better D's)...they should be able to run and just let bu QB manage the game...as he did vs Nevada
SDSU has covered 6/row vs AF with Long as DC...
*note 1st 2 / Hoke HC
SU SDSU ATS
2014 AIRFOR 14 SD.ST 30 W -6.0 W 49.0 U
2013 SD.ST 27 AIRFOR 20 W -3.5 W 53.5 U
2012 AIRFOR 9 SD.ST 28 W -6.5 W 57.5 U
2011 SD.ST 41 AIRFOR 27 W -7.0 W 59.0 O
2010 AIRFOR 25 SD.ST 27 W +1.0 W 55.0 U
2009 SD.ST 14 AIRFOR 26 L +17.0 W 52.5 U
Houston / Temple *Temple tough road dog...but tough for them to hang for 4 quarters here IMO....Herman not leaving should give Cougs a little boost as well
KEY?...Cougs with the much stronger O....Temple D only slightly better (run D about the same)
Iowa / Mich St *doesn't make sense to me Sparty just blows them out here...ironically...stopping Sparty running game > forcing Cook to throw is what maybe gets Iowa beat here............
Since MSU probably wins...and the winner of these games usually covers...3 is maybe not enough to mess with / so small play only
*playing Iowa on the ML (if you really like 'em here)....maybe a better way to go
BOL boys......................
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
..../ I WISH man....stuck in Texas for the holidays wtf
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