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Week 15 Leans...Looking for forum insight

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Prospect
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Posted: #1
I had a decent week last week.  I got caught betting too much on WV in a tough spot against Pitt but I still managed to finish about 6 units up (that is before I lost half of it on the NFL yesterday...thanks Bills and Bucs).  These are the plays I am leaning on right now.  Haven't locked anything in yet, but I'm looking for some insight/help.  Thanks and BOL to everyone.
 
As a Gator Alum and huge fan, I'm nervouse to see Bama as a Bibendi special .  With that said, I will lay off picking a side in this game.
 
Early leans
 
1.  Ball State -15
2.  Navy -11  (went to Navy, might be biased)
3.  Pitt +3
4.  USC -30
5.  BC -1
6.  Oklahoma -16
7.  UF/Bama over 51  (FL alum, also slightly biased)
 
Any comments/help/insight would be much appreciated as always.  BOL and lets all make some money this last week before the bowl season is upon us.
 
All-Star
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Posted: #2
That Navy play is very biased, see Army playing them really tough.  No one giving Army any credit on the complete 180 turn around they have done this season thus far.  Offense's are going to be very similar.  I see this game being a 3 point game.  Might play Army hard.  Have to look at a few more things before a rational decision is made.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #3
Like the Ball St. play.  Buff is severely overmatched in this game and I think it will show.
 
BOL
 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #4
Agree that BUFF may be totally overmatched here... Great job by Turner Gill and Co., but this is not a good match up for them at all.
 
OU is just on fire... I couldn't fathom betting against them... Only KU and TX has stayed inside this line all year vs OU... Mizz would have to do it KU style:  Have an OU DB slip/fall down for an 80 yrd TD before half, and a trash TD w/ seconds left in the game....
 
USC is good... USC's Defense might get close to covering this spread with take aways all by themselves.  Hard to see UCLA getting on the score board... and very easy seeing UCLA's Offense imploding.
 
I can see Pitt, but don't trust the 'stauch
 
Navy should???? but agree Army's gotten better... The clock will continually run with these teams, so a shortened game leaves for less scoring and harder to cover.
 
SEC title game Over... good luck.. I think that line perfect... as in flip a coin.
 
 
 
MVP
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by SnookHunter:

I had a decent week last week.  I got caught betting too much on WV in a tough spot against Pitt but I still managed to finish about 6 units up (that is before I lost half of it on the NFL yesterday...thanks Bills and Bucs).  These are the plays I am leaning on right now.  Haven't locked anything in yet, but I'm looking for some insight/help.  Thanks and BOL to everyone.
 
As a Gator Alum and huge fan, I'm nervouse to see Bama as a Bibendi special .  With that said, I will lay off picking a side in this game.
 
Early leans
 
1.  Ball State -15
2.  Navy -11  (went to Navy, might be biased)
3.  Pitt +3
4.  USC -30
5.  BC -1
6.  Oklahoma -16
7.  UF/Bama over 51  (FL alum, also slightly biased)
 
Any comments/help/insight would be much appreciated as always.  BOL and lets all make some money this last week before the bowl season is upon us.

GL this week. How dare you bet against my Hokies!!

 
Prospect
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Posted: #6
Haha sorry bib. 
 
I like VT but they haven't been playing good football lately.  I think the better play in this game might be the under 39.5.  Leaning that way right now. 
 
I agree the Navy pick might be a stretch, but I love my middies almost as much as my gators and the Army/Navy game is a special one.  I just think Navy has better playmakers and a better team than Army.  This Navy team beat Rutgers by 2 points and also beat a sound Air Force team.  Army lost to both and the loss to Rutgers was by 27.  I know 11 points is a lot to lay in the Army/Navy game, but Navy has dominated Army recently in Philly,
 
BOL this week.  I hope your special covers but with a Gators win at the end of the day.
 
 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by SnookHunter:

1.  Ball State -15
2.  Navy -11 
3.  Pitt +3
4.  USC -30
5.  BC -1
6.  Oklahoma -16
7.  UF/Bama over 51

I'm on Ball, Navy, and Oklahoma with opening numbers.  I'm seeing a lot of Navy resistance around here, so I might buy back or middle depending on movement.  But I feel pretty good about Ball (-14) and Okie (-16.5) right now.

I'm not too keen on my Panthers hitting the road at UConn this week.  They are coming off the meat of their schedule and a big home win against WVU.  Good spot to fade a team that's getting off an emotional rivalry win.  UConn has two weeks preparation here as well.  I would grab the Huskies in this spot.

BOL man.

 
Prospect
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Posted: #8
Alright after a little bit more thought, I've cut back on a few games.  These are the plays I have locked already:

1.  Oklahoma -17  (3 units)
2.  Ball State -15  (1 unit)
3.  Tulsa -13  (1 unit)
4.  USC -33  (2 units)
5.  Cincy -7  (2 units)
6.  ULL -5  (1 unit)
7.  Rutgers -10  (3 units)

There's still a few games I'm leaning on and haven't pulled the trigger quite yet:

1.  Navy -11
2.  BC pick
3.  BC/VT under 39


I'm still open to placing more units on the plays already locked in, and I especially like Rutgers and Oklahoma.

As always, insight is much welcomed.  I'm looking to make some money this last weekend before we hit bowl season.

BOL to all 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #9
I developed a new system based on 25 key factors. So far this past week it chimed in at 8-2 ATS and 10-0 SU. With that being said I ran the Ball State/Buffalo game through it with a result of 66-17 Ball State,I havent had anything close to these lopsided results. Im gonna say an easy win here with the opening line of -15. The over 61 looks enticing as well. Ball State giving it up is a out of 5. Still debating the O/U  
 
Prospect
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Posted: #10
1.  Oklahoma -17  (3 units)
2.  Ball State -15  (1 unit)
3.  Tulsa -13  (1 unit)
4.  USC -33  (2 units)
5.  Cincy -7  (2 units)
 6.  ULL -5  (1 unit) 
7.  Rutgers -10  (3 units)

1-0 on the week so far.  Added BC pick today for 2 units.  Still leaning on playing Rutgers and Cincy for more units.  BOL to all and congrats to the cajun backers.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #11
Updated Week 15 card

1.  Oklahoma -17  (3 units)
2.  Ball State -15  (1 unit)
3.  Tulsa -13  (1 unit)
4.  USC -33  (2 units)
5.  Cincy -7  (2 units)
 6.  ULL -5  (1 unit) 
7.  Rutgers -10  (3 units)

Added:

8.  BC pick (2 units)
9.  Troy -11 ( 3 units)
10.  Ball State/Buff over 62 (1 unit)

2-0 (+4 units) to start the week.  Not a bad start.  Looking to take that money and invest it back into picks this weekend.  Will prob add units to Troy and Cincy.  Thinking about betting back Ball State tonight against Buff, and still laying the unit on just the over.

Still leaning, might lock today or tomorrow:

1.  WV -7 (2 units)
2.  Army/Navy over 44.5 (2 units)

BOL to all.  Almost forgot, thanks Uconn for playing great against Buff last night.

 
MVP
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Posted: #12
Big Unit (Retired Navy)  says dont let them scare you....Navy Covers!  Army getting better? 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #13
I'm with you on every single play.  So if you do good, know there is a happy guy in Mississippi!

BOL
 
Rookie
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Posted: #14
Good luck man.  Nice start to the week.  You're rollin with an awful lot of chalk there.  I've got Ball State as well tonight, so let's go get em man.
 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #15
Those are solid picks, except maybe the -30 by USC and the -11 by Navy.  Last week was horrible for NFL picks!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #16
big unit- I think navy covers this one too (naval academy half alum haha) but I haven't decided whether i like the over or the navy cover.  I just hope we kick army's ass
 
p301- good to hear it.  I like this week's card a lot.  always tough winning the last week of the season.  I'm glad ole miss got LSU.  Great season for you guys, other than beating my gators in the swamp 
 
wiz- a lot of chalk is an understatement haha.  but I think these teams are deserving of the points they're laying.  or so i hope...
 
Prospect
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Posted: #17
ha, I was really pumped to see Ole Miss win.  I'm sad I even have to admit this, but I go to Mississippi State...but its still nice to see Ole Miss win when they aren't shutting us out 45-0!!!

Lets make bank this weekend!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #18
45-0 was terrible to watch.  What happened to the Miss State team that liked to upset good SEC teams like Florida in the swamp a few years ago. 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #19

Not that anyone cares or probably reads these anyway, but I've decided to bet back Ball State tonight and just stick with the over.  Maybe a few more plays tomorrow.  BOL all. 

Updated Week 15 card

1.  Oklahoma -17  (3 units)
2.  Tulsa -13  (1 unit)
3.  USC -33  (2 units)
4.  Cincy -7  (2 units)
5.  ULL -5  (1 unit) 
6.  Rutgers -10  (3 units)
7.  BC pick (2 units)
8.  Troy -11 ( 3 units)
9.  Ball State/Buff over 62 (1 unit)

 
Prospect
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Posted: #20
Still same card as you! I may take off my Troy pick and replace it with WVU.  Pat white is going to embarrass everyone on the defensive side of the field.
 
Captain
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Posted: #21
I like most of your card, dont like BC and Tulsa. Cinncy scares me cause there is no meaning for this game, could be on vacation mode, and the line kind of tells me that as well.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #22
Phark, Cincy kind of scares me too but I think they play through the trap line against a terrible Hawaii team...and enjoy their vacation while they're there.  Even an unmotivated Cincy team should be able to get to Hawaii's QB more times than Randizzle has been mentioned on here the last week.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #23
I highly doubt at this point anyone is:
 
a.  still going to read this...
b.  going to care at all...
 
But here's the updated card heading into Saturday.  Got lucky tonight with the Ball State/Buff over.  I also played a unit on Buff +10 2H.  Lastly glad to see Ball State finally lose. 
 

Updated Week 15 card

1.  Oklahoma -17  (3 units)
2.  Tulsa -13  (1 unit)
3.  USC -33  (2 units)
4.  Cincy -7  (2 units)
5.  ULL -5  (1 unit) 
6.  Rutgers -10  (3 units)
7.  BC pick (2 units)
8.  Troy -11 ( 3 units)
9.  Ball State/Buff over 62 (1 unit) 

Going to add some more picks and/or units to previous plays tomorrow.  BOL to all. 

 
Prospect
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Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 93
Posted: #24
I highly doubt at this point anyone is:
 
a.  still going to read this...
b.  going to care at all...
 
But here's the updated card heading into Saturday.  Got lucky tonight with the Ball State/Buff over.  I also played a unit on Buff +10 2H.  Lastly glad to see Ball State finally lose. 
 

Updated Week 15 card

1.  Oklahoma -17  (3 units)
2.  Tulsa -13  (1 unit)
3.  USC -33  (2 units)
4.  Cincy -7  (2 units)
5.  ULL -5  (1 unit) 
6.  Rutgers -10  (3 units)
7.  BC pick (2 units)
8.  Troy -11 ( 3 units)
9.  Ball State/Buff over 62 (1 unit) 

Going to add some more picks and/or units to previous plays tomorrow.  BOL to all. 

 
 
Rookie
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Posted: #25
 
Keep it rollin man.
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