Week 3 Picks

Went 6-4-1 on spread picks and hit one ML play w Illinois, could've easily been 3 if Arkansas and Tulane didnt choke away leads. Made one bad pick late with Miss St which was just an undisciplined action play. Cant afford those. 

I'm not liking a lot on this card this week, so just 2 early picks for now. 

2u Oregon St +14

UCLA ML +130

Further considering:

Miami Ohio +105

Mizzou -16.5

Old Dominion +14

North Texas +12

Rice +5

GL ... nice to see some early thoughts on Week 3 

@Last2thirst

 Thank you, good luck to you sir

Interesting North Texas already down to 10

Well I wish I wouldve waited on Oregon State as it's now up to +16, but I definitely expected it to move the other way. Not adding any more since its already 2u. 

Wish I wouldve hit N. Texas as well as its down to 9.5 now and Im not interested at that number. 

Adding:

KENT STATE +49

Tennessee off a road neutal site drubbing of NCST and on top of the world, coming back home as a 7td favorite and has @ Oklahoma on deck next week. Expect a sloppier game from Tennessee, get in and get out, covering 49 is a huge ask in this situation 

Starting to have a strong lean to Mizzou -16.5. Anyone have any thoughts on this one?

Went ahead and bet Mizzou -16.5. BC is nice, but I think this Mizzou defense can really contain them, and added UNLV +7.

Also got in on CMU +18.5, unfortunately I missed the 19.5, hopefully wont matter, Illinois can see a little let down after their road dog win and I think CMU can keep it within 2 TDs. And one ugly dog in Kent St +49. Just think Tennessee coming home with Oklahome on deck might not be worried about hanging 60 and giving 100%.

OREGON ST +14

UCLA ML +130

MIZZOU -16.5

UNLV +7

CMU +18.5

KENT ST +49

Also put in a little round robin ML dog action for +3803 with:

M. OH, SC, WASH ST, UCLA

UNLV 

I added a little more to my UCLA moneyline at +140

Also added a small play on FSU -6.5 just 1/2 unit. This line has just moved so far from preseason I have to take a shot on the discount. 

Well today is not going my way at all. I made too many plays and I made them too early in the week. Some of these I wouldve gotten off of after seeing line movement against me. I shouldve waited and thought on them based on movement. Gotta do better next week. Gotta be more disciplined.

FSU is hot garbage and a complete embarrassment. CMU really shouldve covered. 1 TD is all we needed but they couldnt get it. Mizzou just started too slow and played bad defense in the first half. We have another game pending ORE ST where I have the worst line possible and its probably dead. Hopefully UCLA and Kent St bails me out tonight. At least I hit on UNLV last night but that was an ugly ugly game w weird stuff happening. 

UNLV 

FSU 

CMU 

MIZZOU 

ORE ST 

Now 7-8-1

@sherriffics

 Well you tried to tell me. Think I outsmarted myself w this ugly ass dog.