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Week 3= The Perfect Time to Flat Bet with Caution-DUp4Life

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Hello Brothers .. May you All have a ++$$$$ week 3 ..

Please be careful , this Card looks very tough to me , one of the hardest I have seen in many years . Usually games jump right out at me . Since I study the entire schedule during the preseason , either the odds makers have set lines where i do not see value and or a weaker card with less marque games ... 

In any Case I plan on flat betting with caution Other than the pending Wagers from the GOY Lines ..



Coming in HOT $$$  Going 6-2 (3-0 Large) and winning $1,400 last week .. 

Overall record  9-6  +$528
Mortgage 1-1 
Large  3-1



May We All Live in Fantastic Health 
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #2
Ap style Top 25  .. Not who would beat who 

1  Oregon
2  Baylor
3  Florida St
4  Alabama 
5  USC   (7)
6  Auburn  
7  Georgia (5)
8   Ole Miss (9)
9  Oklahoma  (8)
10  Texas A&M 
11   LSU
12  BYU (15)
13  Mississippi St.(14)
14    Pittsburgh  (17)
15  Arizona  St   (19)
16  Stanford    (13)
17   Michigan st  (12)
18   Iowa
19  Marshall  (20)
20  Virginia Tech  (nr)
21  Notre Dame  (nr)
22   Nebraska   (21)
23   Arizona  
24  Kansas st 
25  TCU 
25  South Carolina 
25  Missouri

Dropped out
UCLA
Ohio St 
Louisville
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #3

Point Spread Ratings 
1  Baylor  100.9  should Hammer Buffalo who appears very small and slow on Defense.

2  Oregon 99.7   nice win over Sparty, tempted to fade in let down spot vs Wyoming (63.7)

3  Florida st 98.7

4  Alabama  97.7  looking forward to the Meat of the schedule 

5  USC  96.2    Defense Looked Fantastic

6  Auburn 95.8    

7  Georgia  95.3   Game At SC could be for the East Crown.

8  Ole Miss  92.8   beat the stuffing out of Vanderbilt . 

9  Oklahoma  91.6   good spot to fade ??

10  Texas A&M  89.8

11  LSU  88.7

12  Michigan st 86.8   looked very good in Eugen for 3 qtrs .

13  Stanford  85.9

14  South Carolina 85.6  can they right the ship ?

15  BYU  85.5

16  Arizona St  84.5  Offense might be top 5

17  Florida 83.7   UK might not be easy 

18 Nebraska 82.4

19  Virginia Tech 82.2  Love every second of the ML dog non posted Win over the Buckeyes ..

20  TCU   81.6




Tbc


BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #4
I have to agree, some dam tough games. GL this week
 
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Posted: #5
1) There is nothing more condescending and ridiculous than the people on Covers who tell other cappers to "be careful"

2) You STILL have Auburn at #6 in power ratings?


I generally don't bump threads on this site... but you tempt me! It is ludicrous to believe there are 2 teams better in CFB than Auburn... and it is outrageously ludicrous to believe one of them is Baylor!
 
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Posted: #6
I did not like last weeks card got a few jumping out this week.
Pitt over FIU is one A&M is another..
Good luck though and stick to what you feel great self discipline 
 
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Posted: #7
Week 3 Action 

La Tech ML +155  
$120/186
Game looks like a coin flip and i am banking on Skip Holtz this season 

Large Wager
Baylor Over 51 Team Total 
$352/320
Forget the flat bet .. this one was not on the board until today .. I Love the U at Buffalo , but this is the worst match up right now.. the 4th teamers could score 4 td's by themselves .. 


Old Dominion -18.5 
$132/120
Monarchs mights be a weekly insta bet ... EMU might submit at half time ..


Over 57 Maryland vs West Virginia 
$132/120
Feel like it could be one of the higher scoring games this week . Both teams 34+ ?

TCU -13.5 
$132/120
Very Large Home Field Advantage .. Numbers have this beyond 21+ 

Over 54.5 Oklahoma vs Tennessee
$132/120
Thought this number would be released a TD higher










BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #8
A lot of totals. like your picks! BOL Dup4l!
 
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Posted: #9
DU...do you still like the OU/ TENN over at 56?  Does that cross any key numbers while still being inside the TD you mentioned you thought it would start at?

I like it too, but feel like it's too easy; I smell a rat...
 
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Posted: #10
Minnesota plays great defense so I can see them losing by less than 14.

Goodluck doubleup 
 
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Posted: #11
I like the over for the game and UB team total over.  UB has a top 25 passing attack with a good o line.  The WRs drop too many balls but they are open and Licata gets the ball where it needs to go.  UB's defense is in big trouble.   I think Baylor scores 56 to 63 and UB gets 21 to 35. 

As a UB homer, I hope it is cold and windy for this game - that might slow down Baylor if the QBs can't get "warm".




 
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Posted: #12
Appreciate your write ups and sharing your predictions 
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by Shark_Attack:

1) There is nothing more condescending and ridiculous than the people on Covers who tell other cappers to "be careful"

2) You STILL have Auburn at #6 in power ratings?


I generally don't bump threads on this site... but you tempt me! It is ludicrous to believe there are 2 teams better in CFB than Auburn... and it is outrageously ludicrous to believe one of them is Baylor!


Just relax Brother 

It is ok to disagree 


Auburn is in my Top 6 .  Very Good teams in the TOP 10 .. 

Nothing to be angry about ... 

Like i said all off season .. Auburn has a Brutal schedule .. 3 or 4 losses is likely ... Also went; on to say Many other top 25 schools would go no better than 6-6/or 7-5 vs this Schedule 


Here is what is Left and my Current Prediction and or Win %

At Kansas St ... Dan Snyder is very good at Winning as a Dog outright ... 57% chance at best of W ..

LaTech  W12+   Tricky ATS spot with LSU on deck 

LSU   toss up    I actually like Auburn if laying 6 or less .

At Miss st    Toss up    Mullens best squad ?

South Carolina  63%     Lets see if the Cocks turn it around this week

At Ole Miss  Loss3+     Freeze is building a power house 

Texas A&M   toss up      Aggies could be better without Johnny ???

At Georgia  Loss7+      nice spit for Richt 

Samford  w45+

At Alabama   toss up Loss      will be rooting for ur Boyz will my Tide Under 10.5 Wins bet on the Line !!  Or will the Tide lose 2+ before this???



If Auburn only Lost 2 games the season would be a success Imnhol

Caught lots of Breaks and bounces Last Season


BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #14
21  Wisconsin 81.3   Be Careful Fading them in BIG10 play 

22  Kansas St 81.2   Wildcats to be UP for Auburn next week .. How much is Home Field worth ??? TD + for sure !!

23  Missouri  80.9   SEC is BRUTAL ... So excited to watch it Play out $$$

24  Tennessee 80.8    What if they shock the world and win outright at Oklahoma ?? 

25  UCLA  80.6    The Bruins are a insta-Fade for me .. i could see them going 4-8 ATS at best this season .. 0-2 already and the PAC12 schedule could be dreadful ..

25  Notre Dame 80.4   Waiting to Fade away if the Irish keep winning BIG ...

26  Iowa 80.2      Schedule has lots of Nice spots in Land mine spots for foes..

27  Arizona 80     Bet at Home , Fade on the Road ???

28  Cincinnati 79.2      Will they Beat Ohio St at the Shoe ??? was hoping for DD's .. Might be lucky to get 4+

Good sized drop to next large Group of schools who are fairly close 

29  Utah  77.2    Utes could be $$$ as ML dog a few times this season ..schedule is tough though ..

29  Marshall 77.2   ATS in right spots waiting 

31  Oklahoma St 77    Gundy just reloads it seems .. Rating is clearly high based of of easy cover vs Noles ..

32  Louisville  76.9    Have $220 on Virginia +8.5 this week from the GOY lines .. ACC is much deeper this season with some nice Squads who have lots of Dawg options $$

32  Ohio St  76.9    Will Urban rebound ??? or will the Buckeyes go in the Crapper ??? 

32  Indiana 76.9   be Careful Fading them !!!

32  West Virginia 76.9   ATS value this season .. Some nice Pieces .

32  Clemson  76.9     would love to see them Win outright vs Florida St ... They owe the Noles a Few Beat downs .

32  Duke 76.9     Waiting for a Large wager on the Team total Over vs Kansas this week$$$$ 

38  Virginia  76.4   Huge Game for Virginia moving forward  .. Will they turn the Ball Over like they did UCLA ?? or will they pull off a Nice ML dawg winner???  

38  Oregon St 76.4    Glad I stayed away at Hawaii Last week ,,, as the season goes on I plan on betting on the Beavers at home 

40  Maryland  76    Ready to Back them when BIG 10 play starts 

40  Rutgers 76  is wrong school chalk vs Penn St. ???






BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by Gumbajohnny:

I did not like last weeks card got a few jumping out this week.
Pitt over FIU is one A&M is another..
Good luck though and stick to what you feel great self discipline 

Best of Luck Brother 

Pittsburgh is loaded with Value this season ... 

Little afraid and taking a pass this week at FIU ... looks like it could be a Vacation before the ACC schedule ...

A&M has looked so explosive ... 
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by sportschat:

I have to agree, some dam tough games. GL this week

Best of Luck Brother 

I see another 3-6 plays that might end up fitting the flat bet investment ...

Only Duke and Baylor Team Totals Over look Worthy of LARGER WAGERS ....


Hope u hit $$
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by earthWake:

Minnesota plays great defense so I can see them losing by less than 14.

Goodluck doubleup 

You Could be spot on Brother ... 

me I could be totally wrong ... But I Love this spot with TCU having a BYE on deck ....

Minnesota has a few players Gimpy this week ... 

Traveling down to Texas is NOT a easy one ...




More importantly Brother 

I have a BET for YOU my much respected long time Homie ...

If the Dolphins beat my  Buffalo Bills this week I will change my Avatar to any current or Past Dolphin of your Choice !!!   

If the Bills Win I get to Pick ur Avatar ..

The Loser must Keep the Avatar for 10 Days 




What ya Think Brother ???
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by thorpe:

I like the over for the game and UB team total over.  UB has a top 25 passing attack with a good o line.  The WRs drop too many balls but they are open and Licata gets the ball where it needs to go.  UB's defense is in big trouble.   I think Baylor scores 56 to 63 and UB gets 21 to 35. 

As a UB homer, I hope it is cold and windy for this game - that might slow down Baylor if the QBs can't get "warm".






If the Weather some how was like last season vs PITT when it was 40 and Rain and hailed side ways then yes maybe UB hangs with in 24 ...

Just do NOT see it 

Looks like lower 60's on a clear fall weekend 

LOVE the Bulls Offense when MAC play gets going ... 

you mentioned those WR's .. Lots of drops and tipped balls this week again ?? sounds like quick Pos and Turnovers ...

Bulls are very slow and small in the Back 7 ... sounds like Baylor will be running the Field like a TRACK meet .....

Lets Cash on this Over and Team total  



BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #19
 Updated Week 3 Action 

La Tech ML +155  
$120/186
Game looks like a coin flip and i am banking on Skip Holtz this season ..

Large Wager
Baylor Over 51 Team Total 
$352/320
Forget the flat bet .. this one was not on the board until today .. I Love the U at Buffalo , but this is the worst match up right now, as Bulls appear slow and small in the Back 7 on Defense 


Old Dominion -18.5 
$132/120
Monarchs mights be a weekly insta bet ... EMU might submit at half time ..


Over 57 Maryland vs West Virginia 
$132/120
Feel like it could be one of the higher scoring games this week . Both teams 34+ ?

TCU -13.5 
$132/120
Very Large Home Field Advantage .. Numbers have this beyond 21+ 

Over 54.5 Oklahoma vs Tennessee
$132/120
Thought this number would be released a TD higher

Rutgers ML +170
$100/$170
HUGE BIG 10 Opener for Rutgers... Penn St has suspensions lifted but offense might be exhausted and not be able to keep up ..

Arizona ST -15.5  
$132/120
Great Value on ASU has blow out Colorado 3 straight years ...

Waiting on Duke Team Total Over for a Large Wager 





  










[/Quote]
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #20
Gl double up great start
 
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Posted: #21
Adding 

Arizona St -15.5 
$132/120
ASU has pounded the Buffs the last 3 seasons .. what has changed ??? 


Leans 

Duke over team total 

Rutgers ML if it climbs to +165 or more as it should as Joe Bettor reacts to the Penn St Ban being lifted ..

East Carolina +11   at +13 I am in ... Classic letdown spot for Hokies 

Central Michigan   +7.5 or more .. waiting to see if it climbs 

Over 58 Ole Miss vs Louisiana .. Rebels should be running down hill ..




BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #22
Bonus adding NFL Futures from 5 Dimes 

Buffalo Bills To Win AFC EAST 10-1 
$150/1500
With Win over Dolphins , Bills should own first place by game + (  Jets lose at Packers )   Plenty of chances to Hedge and buy out of this down the road .. 

New Orleans to win NFC South -105
$420 to win $400
Nice Value after opening Loss to Falcons ... Colston Fumble is to thank ... was as high as -190 in some spots before the season
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #23
Good to see ya and gl d-up
 
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Posted: #24
Pending Futures 

Season Wins 

Virginia Over 3.5 Wins 
+115 $500/575 
+105   $200/210
Looked very good vs UCLA week 1.. Blew out Richmond last week .. Clearly hoping for the Upset hosting Louisville this week.

Central Michigan Over 5.5 Wins 
-135   $540/400
Odds sky rocketed to -250 before the season .. WIN over Purdue was HUGE ... A win this week vs the Cuse or Next week at Kansas would have me thinking WINNER already ..


Alabama Under 10.5 wins +110 
$340 to win 374
SEC WEST is brutal and I see 2+losses coming ..


Mississippi St Over 7.5 Wins +115
$263 to win $302.45
Very Strong squad who should be win 8+ most of the time 


UCLA    under 9.5 wins -110
$385/350   
PAC 12 is Brutal ... Pulling for the Horns in a upset this week ..

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
 
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Posted: #25
To Win Conference or Division 


Iowa to win BIG10 15-1
$100/1500
West looks wide open to me .. BIG 1O has lots of ??? Nice Value with the current odds at +650..


Pittsburgh to win ACC COASTAL 9-1
$73 / $657 
Pittsburgh to win ACC 60-1 
$17/1020
Could be the chalk in 10 of 12 games..Coastal looks wide open ..Lonshot Value 

 
Ole Miss to win Sec 16-1 $65/1040
Mississippi st to win Sec 40-1 $40/ $1600
Both carry some nice Value .. Ole Miss might be the real deal 


Central Michigan To Win MAC  35-1 
$130 to win $4550
19 returning starters  .. Draw a softer slate from the East with Ohio,Buffalo And Miami Ohio..  Odds are down to 22-1 and still have Value ..


Memphis to Win AAC 22-1 local
$40/880
Avoids UCF & ECU in conference play


Air Force to win MWC  40-1
$25/1000
Donation 


LA Tech 60-1 to win CUSA
$17 /$1,020
Skip Holtz has pulled this before .. Lots of talent coming back and they avoid Marshall and FAU .. 

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
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