All Forums | College Football

WEEK 5 ***OVERALL 63-27-1......71%***

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 128831
Posts: 611
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2013
Posts: 591
Posted: #51
Not sure how you can make Virginia a "BEST BET" at +7 and lose total confidence in then at +6.

IMO if I'm considering an underdog of 7 or less a best bet I'm saying they have a great chance to win the game outright. That's just me though.

So, why wouldn't you take them at 6. Are you predicting they lose by 7 and worst case scenario you push?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 2042
Posted: #52
GOAT, it's pure value at 7. Obviously is was the early sharps that moved the number to 6 and not 6.5. This is all about numbers. As I'm sure you have read all my predictions on the movement of the numbers and I have been dead on with every single one along with the closing number. It's not about meaning this a best bet because I think they will win outright. They very well may but this is about getting the valued 7. I have passed on games in the passed that I missed the early value and late action moved the number even more. Example: if I miss the early bird special of this game +7 and it is currently 6, I am holding off to see where the late action goes. If it moves the number even more to a close of 5-5.5, now I am stepping up my unit size on the dog. It's all in the numbers. 

Someone asked me my opinion on this past weekend about Miami -59. I explained that the oddsmakers put that number on that for a reason. They won by 63 and the guy didn't listen to me. 59 is perceived to be a lot higher than 58. There would not have been near the dog action if it was 58.... It's all in the numbers
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 2042
Posted: #53
Clarfied: if the number stays at 6, I pass. If the numbers moves more, I will wager. I apologize. Typing on my phone Andy sentences in my earlier post ran in to each other and I'm sure that became confusing
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2011
Posts: 620
Posted: #54
Quote Originally Posted by Red_Soxxxxxxxx:

Ohio St -7

 

The Buckeyes are the best team in the Big 10 and will show why on Saturday. Coach Urban Meyer has a well balanced team that will show off their great offense while their defense completely stuffs the Badgers rush offense. Not sure Buckeyes are getting enough respect for how good they are but after this blowout in week 5 Ohio State will be double digit favorites in every other game this season.

 

cant believe this isn't a best bet?  I mean this is the same spread 7 that zona st was fav over wisky....  You know this spread is off u must add atleast a field goal for a night game at ohio st... in fact I will say with urban at the helm a night game is worth 6 points ... so u tell me bottom line if u agree or not? if u agree the would mean ohio st and wisky are even??? noway man..... also, better play ohio st while u can cause after this the value will be gone....red how can u not make it atleast a best bet???????????

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 2042
Posted: #55
Oregon Over 84

This game features a high-octane Oregon offense against a piss-poor Cal defense. Cal is avg. 555 YPG. Oregon is avg. 672 YPG. Cal loves to air the ball out and use a up-tempo Sonny Dykes offense. They don't care about defense, they just want to score. Cal's defense is horrible and they have multiple defensive injuries to make it worse. Cal is giving up 265 rushing yards a game (6 YPC) , while Oregon is avg. 8.5 YPC. I look for Oregon to stick 60+ on the board again and Cal will put up the rest. They could set this total at 94, and I would still give you the OVER as a play
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 2042
Posted: #56
Quote Originally Posted by markpa:

cant believe this isn't a best bet?  I mean this is the same spread 7 that zona st was fav over wisky....  You know this spread is off u must add atleast a field goal for a night game at ohio st... in fact I will say with urban at the helm a night game is worth 6 points ... so u tell me bottom line if u agree or not? if u agree the would mean ohio st and wisky are even??? noway man..... also, better play ohio st while u can cause after this the value will be gone....red how can u not make it atleast a best bet???????????


Ohio St -7 (Best Bet)

Thank you for catching that Mark. This is actually my highest unit play so far out of the early action. Very good and good luck 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2011
Posts: 620
Posted: #57
u got it sir .. best luck to us  . also looks like ohio st team total looks like 31.5 ..lmao I cant see anyway this wont go over.. love the Oregon over as well... looking to a shootout in the geo/lsu game .. keep hitten them
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 2042
Posted: #58
Week 5 plays so far:

Ohio St -7 (Best Bet)

Virginia +7 (Best Bet)

Florida St -21 (Best Bet)

Wyoming -11

Navy -3
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 2042
Posted: #59
#58
Posted: 9/24/2013 11:40:28 AM
Week 5 plays so far:

Ohio St -7 (Best Bet)

Virginia +7 (Best Bet)

Florida St -21 (Best Bet)

Wyoming -11

Navy -3
Oregon Over 84
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2010
Posts: 1634
Posted: #60
Man I hate to be "that guy". But Wisky has the perfect team to give OSU problems. Also Miller coming back, rusty ? Sharp ? Tentative ? This is where Buckeyes lose their season. Wisky controls the ball, clock, and LOS .. OSU 24 Wisky 27!!! Vegas will get richer on this game after the OSU blowout last week.. Hope I'm wrong !! Good news is I usually am :)) good luck guys..
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 5620
Posted: #61
I like your style Red_Soxxxxxxxx. Continued Success. Always looking forward to your insight and opinion. BOL the rest of the way !
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 33526
Posted: #62
Best of Luck buddy
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 2042
Posted: #63
One of the more dangerous underdogs this weekend is Washington St at home with the Cardinal coming to town. This is a program on the rise. This may be one of those games.....
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 456
Posted: #64
Quote Originally Posted by Red_Soxxxxxxxx:

GOAT, it's pure value at 7. Obviously is was the early sharps that moved the number to 6 and not 6.5. This is all about numbers. As I'm sure you have read all my predictions on the movement of the numbers and I have been dead on with every single one along with the closing number. It's not about meaning this a best bet because I think they will win outright. They very well may but this is about getting the valued 7. I have passed on games in the passed that I missed the early value and late action moved the number even more. Example: if I miss the early bird special of this game +7 and it is currently 6, I am holding off to see where the late action goes. If it moves the number even more to a close of 5-5.5, now I am stepping up my unit size on the dog. It's all in the numbers. 

Someone asked me my opinion on this past weekend about Miami -59. I explained that the oddsmakers put that number on that for a reason. They won by 63 and the guy didn't listen to me. 59 is perceived to be a lot higher than 58. There would not have been near the dog action if it was 58.... It's all in the numbers


They actually won by 70.  It was 77-7. 
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 19113
Posted: #65
Great right up sox keep the streak going ...
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 2042
Posted: #66
Quote Originally Posted by ndsent1:

Great right up sox keep the streak going ...
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2003
Posts: 1418
Posted: #67
Thoughts on Miami/USF. I normally do not overreact to lines but this just doesn't make sense to me. USF may be the worst team in the country.
Miami-19????
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 2042
Posted: #68
Quote Originally Posted by Dblduce5178:

Thoughts on Miami/USF. I normally do not overreact to lines but this just doesn't make sense to me. USF may be the worst team in the country.
Miami-19????

Exactly, do not overreact on this one. These interstate games are usually played tight. I'll break it down but at this point it looks like it will fall right around 17 which means a big fat loser for Hurricane backers
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 479
Posted: #69
I was looking into UVA earlier. I see a lot of value at getting laying 7 as well. Will lock in later today after a bit more research.

BOL! EXPOSE THE BOOKS!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 479
Posted: #70
QUOTE Originally Posted by Red_Soxxxxxxxx:

GOAT, it's pure value at 7. Obviously is was the early sharps that moved the number to 6 and not 6.5. This is all about numbers. As I'm sure you have read all my predictions on the movement of the numbers and I have been dead on with every single one along with the closing number. It's not about meaning this a best bet because I think they will win outright. They very well may but this is about getting the valued 7. I have passed on games in the passed that I missed the early value and late action moved the number even more. Example: if I miss the early bird special of this game +7 and it is currently 6, I am holding off to see where the late action goes. If it moves the number even more to a close of 5-5.5, now I am stepping up my unit size on the dog. It's all in the numbers. 

Someone asked me my opinion on this past weekend about Miami -59. I explained that the oddsmakers put that number on that for a reason. They won by 63 and the guy didn't listen to me. 59 is perceived to be a lot higher than 58. There would not have been near the dog action if it was 58.... It's all in the numbers
^^^ THIS ^^^ 

Well put brotherman...


            
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2002
Posts: 54510
Posted: #71
Quote Originally Posted by Red_Soxxxxxxxx:

Oregon Over 84

This game features a high-octane Oregon offense against a piss-poor Cal defense. Cal is avg. 555 YPG. Oregon is avg. 672 YPG. Cal loves to air the ball out and use a up-tempo Sonny Dykes offense. They don't care about defense, they just want to score. Cal's defense is horrible and they have multiple defensive injuries to make it worse. Cal is giving up 265 rushing yards a game (6 YPC) , while Oregon is avg. 8.5 YPC. I look for Oregon to stick 60+ on the board again and Cal will put up the rest. They could set this total at 94, and I would still give you the OVER as a play

If you think this game hits 94, then you gotta like Oregon to cover the 36.5.....

Also: Badgers/Bucks wont sniff 54

 

RS

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2012
Posts: 1252
Posted: #72
bol rsox 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 2042
Posted: #73

Quote Originally Posted by capskip:

Best of Luck buddy

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 2042
Posted: #74
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

If you think this game hits 94, then you gotta like Oregon to cover the 36.5.....

Also: Badgers/Bucks wont sniff 54

 

RS

Good observation....

 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 2042
Posted: #75

Quote Originally Posted by kwangusbeef:

bol rsox 

All Forums | College Football
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.