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WEEK 6

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Prospect
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Posted: #51
lol I feel bad for you man, you get so worked up on a forum. Something like that can make you so mad, have you been dealing with this your whole life? Better get it checked before your old fat ass dies haha. You really got so worked up you wrote 2 long paragraphs. Wow you have issues. Get your fat ass off the computer hit the gym burn some of that stress you have off. Sports capping suppose to be fun stop making it so stressful man I feel bad for you
 
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Posted: #52
You obviously do not know me so I would like to inform you I am in very good shape. Took a whole two minutes to do my post.

Now offer your contributions before asking your endless number of worthless questions, and at the very least make an effort to contribute to the forum.
SNITCHES end up being bitches, or end up with stitches, and in ditches! #REALITY
 
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Posted: #53
Quote Originally Posted by Dbreezyy:

Who you taking 2nd half Arkansas state game?


*   don't look for a high(er) scoring game....so lean UNDER...if we see points in 1st half....>>   these 2 a combined 2-6 UNDER

$   key for ASU to stay in this one...if they can protect QB (#119 in sacks allowed)....because (so far) they can't run at all
  *IF...
      GS up at half....ASU not moving ball / UNDER or stay away
                               ASU moving it / QB looks sharp > lean ASU
      ASU up?....strong look at GS to come back.....esp if ASU OL looks shaky / GS DL getting a good push.........


man Urban has you square in the ol' cross-hairs db
 
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #54
Quote Originally Posted by Dbreezyy:

Who you taking 2nd half Arkansas state game?

Dude! Seriously? How in the hell does he know who he's going to bet on 2nd half if he hasn't seen how the 1st half played out??? Come on bro. You can't be this dumb.
 
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Posted: #55
Quote Originally Posted by lordzud:

Great stuff BA. Nobody else on the board is better at jumping on the early lines and hitting them before they move. That takes a hell of a lot of capping skill and there is no faking it. You are picking the few games out of 60 some played and you bet them before serious line movement. Our own BA does it week after week. 


If you want to find good cappers here you do not follow the guys with great winning records the last few weeks, that can be and often is random noise. Us experienced cappers know all this but that doesn't stop another train load of suckers to come in here week after week and decide  woohooo! This guy MR SuxaLot is 9 and 3 the last two weeks!!!!! I will follow him now!!!!!

Another week, same story, and it repeats year after year. 

Anyhow I have a bet I just made and will share with all of you. BA has San Diego State capped around -21, which sounds about right to me. But San Diego State lost last week to lowly South Alabama so the line has dropped 7 points to -14. Now I have bet it for a number of reasons. South Alabama is a very tough team at home. They beat SEC team Mississippi St earlier this year at home to prove my point. Now San Diego State goes home in a very foul mood and the next team up is going to pay and their next opponent UNLV will pay because they suck. When you lose to Idaho, you suck, when you beat Fresno State well then you have proved yourself to be better than the WORST team in Division 1A, and that is it.

as always and 



good man as always LZ.................

That looks like a good idea............ AND
  *very nice seeing someone NOTICING / USING my work the way it was intended ..........
    and hopefully it works out this time..........

I had kinda ignored it.....that MTW seems tough to figure.....
   *but down to 14?..................at BM

UNLV caught Fresno off a 2OT loss to Tulsa...............
  *BTW thanks Tulsa for the no-show

Lost their QB in the process.....and their #2 WR
  *bu Sneed can run / no throw

NOW.....on the road with a rFr QB.....making his 1st road start
  *WHO.....eggzactly....is betting on the Rebels here?

Looks like a good SPOT for the Aztecs to get back on track....
  *recall beat (a surprisingly tough Cal) their last home game....and has covered 23 of their last 33 MTW games....

I'll take them small here.....maybe add to it with more study.....thanks LZ


LIKE

OU         -6'
Miami      -2
Boise      -16'
USC        -4
N Dame  +1


not bad

Tenn       +7
Okie St  -16'
Hokies    +5
Houston  -17
Wyoming  +14'
SDSU     -14


maybe

S Caro  +8'



not a lot to work with this week seems like.....

still checking out......


La Tech......wished I had taken the 3

GT.....why TF didn't I hit the 7?

WM if it drops....kinda a dangerous game tho.....Huskies may POOF!.....show up here  and backdoor the helll outta somebody

Tulsa / SMU......in-game/ 2H....maybe Ponies start strong again?.....
  *too much to ask?....ha

Miami O......?

TCU.....2H / in-game

Duke?...Cutcliffe awesome coach...off loss with a savage beatdown at Louisville looming...........they might roll here......done well vs option before seems like

Kan St....

E Mich ????....Rockets can't be taking them seriously....

UMass +7 why not?.....

FAU?......wanna bet them here for some reason....new O has REALLY struggled.....looks like good spot to get on track

Ariz St ?....looks like too many pts

Washington 2H / in--game.....Ducks starting Fr QB...Huskies (MAY).....start slow.....Duck D is too weak to stop them for 4 qts

Michigan 2H / in-game

KINDA like.....the Gators ....if line continues to rise
  *wanted to hit LSU-1 when 1st saw it....but looks like a great spot for LSU to get their azz beat too ....................?

TREE.....at 7 or below.....1H might be best ???

BOL boys........................




The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #56
Quote Originally Posted by Urbanwildlife:



Who are you taking is the more appropriate question? You have posted possibly 300 questions this football season without making any type of effort to make a contribution. The purpose of the forum is to share information not to just take take take and be spoon fed. Get off your lazy asss and do some homework, and then post what you have found with any questions you might have. Show some effort you lazy idiot.

Seriously bookassassin all this poster does is ask an endless number of stupid assss questions without attempting to make any type of contribution to the forum or to learn how to handicap his games. I suggested to him on one of your previous threads to go back and read your informative postings at the beginning of the season that would be a tremendous benefit to anyone who needs help in handicapping there games, and this fool just got angry for my suggestion.
You may be overreacting. I just saw a very legit (positive) post by dBreezy in another thread. BA's 2nd half call wasn't exactly clear. Hey some people follow, some lurk, some contribute. It's all in the game.  
 
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Posted: #57
Sorry Prospect his posting history shows all questions.. Also this is not how the game works. If members do not contribute you have nothing. The forum is about sharing information in so people can make better choices in the games they choose to play. If you do not want to contribute to the forum stay the flock away.
SNITCHES end up being bitches, or end up with stitches, and in ditches! #REALITY
 
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Posted: #58
@bookie

Check out Michigan's opponents all year. That d is for real esp since the O is so bad. I've made a pile taking Michigan opponents team total under. Rutgers is bad and probably feeling pretty down and out after getting manhandled by the bucks and Iowa. After 2 physically tough games. Rutgers gets trucked again and possibly shut out. Imho thanx for ur work bookie!! Ur appreciated!
 
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Posted: #59
GL this week BA.  Not against you anywhere (learned my lesson), but only with you so far on UH (took 1h tho).  Close on Boise, but these two play pretty close games, BSU sleptwalked last game.

Some thoughts on your maybes

La Tech - I played over, and WKY TT OV.  I don't know who wins, but don't think we see much defense.  LA Tech has no D, and 2h WKY D is just KY.

GT - this total has me perplexed.  dropped to 50.5 from 56.  Pitt hasn't stopped anyone, and that offense seems competent.

WMU - played 1h.  Same worry as you, that Nill puts one together, but WMU, even after CMU, will come to play aginst perennial league leader NIU.

Tulsa - line got away from me, but early lean here

TCU - played 1h.  Seemed pretty angry after last game.  Does Kansas show?

Tol - played 1h.  Had they beaten BYU would have laid off, but after that loss, I took it.

UW - favorite play of the season so far.  This is the biggest game for UW - way bigger than stanford.  Read the articles.  I lived out in OR, these two teams hate each other.  Oregon will not get enough stops to keep this close.

UM - played 1h.  Been cashing for me 3-1 this year, when I played it.

Have a great week, and thanks again for the great info, patience, and class.

 
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Posted: #60
Quote Originally Posted by MBDAN:

Quote Originally Posted by Dbreezyy:

Who you taking 2nd half Arkansas state game?
Dude! Seriously? How in the hell does he know who he's going to bet on 2nd half if he hasn't seen how the 1st half played out??? Come on bro. You can't be this dumb.

Did you not see all the different scenarios he put out there are you dumb? You can't make 2nd half predictions lol, and none of the scenarios played out so I laid off the bet?

I went 5 for 5 last week with BA 2nd half plays he said to look at. Wanted insight on asu and Georgia two teams
I know nothing about
 
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Posted: #61
Urban I'm not voting either should they kick me out of the country since I'm not contributing? You must just be brainwashed by the system buddy. 
 
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Posted: #62
Have a great weekend my friend and see ya at the pay window!

Thanks again for all your time and effort as people have no idea on how many hours each week it takes to seriously handicap these games, and in your case, also maintain a productive thread.

SNITCHES end up being bitches, or end up with stitches, and in ditches! #REALITY
 
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Posted: #63
Quote Originally Posted by traderjoe13:

@bookie

Check out Michigan's opponents all year. That d is for real esp since the O is so bad. I've made a pile taking Michigan opponents team total under. Rutgers is bad and probably feeling pretty down and out after getting manhandled by the bucks and Iowa. After 2 physically tough games. Rutgers gets trucked again and possibly shut out. Imho thanx for ur work bookie!! Ur appreciated!

Will be at the game.  I can see us coasting thru this game into our bye.  Surprised if we cover sat night.  BOL
 
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Posted: #64
Boise St -4.5 first quarter looks succulent to me. I far prefer it to the game spread which is now -18. This is a revenge game and Boise will come out and punish this crappy New Mexico team with total intensity to begin this game. Whatcha boys think. 

I like how stingy our main man BA is with his bets, he doesn't make very many, and neither do I, but this one is just too tasty.


 and get them greedy books


 
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Posted: #65
Quote Originally Posted by Dbreezyy:

Urban I'm not voting either should they kick me out of the country since I'm not contributing? You must just be brainwashed by the system buddy. 

 i guess it depends on what country you are currently in.. if you are not contributing in the US i think thats the norm. now if you just create a reality show, convince a man to cut off his penis and rename himself, kneel for the anthem and think only black lives matter, then you are onto a sound business model!! but thats just my observation from affar!! =)~
 
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Posted: #66
so far im off to a hot start on the week,winning LA Tech ML,the over, and a tease with Memphis and La Tech but the Safety at the end of the SF/ARI game cost me $250... I was pissed and grabbed Clemson -16.5, I dont love it but i'm hoping that Louisville game has Clemson playing at a high level, but we;ll see.  

Anyways, I see people have been talking about the Vols/A&M game, and figured id point out that Myles Garrett, Speedy Noil, and Ricky Seals-Jones are all questionable.  A&M still has a quality WR Corps with Christian Kirk and Josh Reynolds.  If Garrett plays, I dont think Tennessee will be able to block the A&M pass rushers.  They beat the hell out of Allen, and Arkansas has a much better OL.  

Tennessee will be out Jalen Hurd, Reeves-Maybin, Kirkland, and Sutton.  The one area that Tennessee will miss their big back is in pass protection, this obviously becomes a bigger loss if Garrett plays.
 
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Posted: #67
2h thoughts on Tulsa game what's your scenarios 
 
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Posted: #68
Quote Originally Posted by Dbreezyy:

2h thoughts on Tulsa game what's your scenarios 


WELL....
  *if SMU is up.....at any point.....I think you know what to do......
    Ponies wear down ....and won't be able to stop Tulsa late....but with bye on deck....might surge late offensively as well....so 2H over if SMU is moving ball not bad

BUT....off a poor performance ....then  bye....with Houston on deck...Tulsa needs to start FAST....put this one away early...last thing they want is a 4 qtr dogfight...
  *so if they're up big.....tough call.....I would lean SMU to come back / score some late....IF QB is getting protection  .....as that Tulsa D still shaky........ 
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #69
Quote Originally Posted by lordzud:

Boise St -4.5 first quarter looks succulent to me. I far prefer it to the game spread which is now -18. This is a revenge game and Boise will come out and punish this crappy New Mexico team with total intensity to begin this game. Whatcha boys think. 

I like how stingy our main man BA is with his bets, he doesn't make very many, and neither do I, but this one is just too tasty.


 and get them greedy books




haven't checked lately.....but for years Boise covers the 1H on the road.....at a staggering rate
  *idea being to take the crowd outta the game early / be super aggressive...build a big lead.....cruise 2H.....a Peterson thing he's carried to Washington I would think........?

Sounds like a good idea......BOL LZ...........
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #70
Quote Originally Posted by BandosWB:

GL this week BA.  Not against you anywhere (learned my lesson), but only with you so far on UH (took 1h tho).  Close on Boise, but these two play pretty close games, BSU sleptwalked last game.

Some thoughts on your maybes

La Tech - I played over, and WKY TT OV.  I don't know who wins, but don't think we see much defense.  LA Tech has no D, and 2h WKY D is just KY.

GT - this total has me perplexed.  dropped to 50.5 from 56.  Pitt hasn't stopped anyone, and that offense seems competent.

WMU - played 1h.  Same worry as you, that Nill puts one together, but WMU, even after CMU, will come to play aginst perennial league leader NIU.

Tulsa - line got away from me, but early lean here

TCU - played 1h.  Seemed pretty angry after last game.  Does Kansas show?

Tol - played 1h.  Had they beaten BYU would have laid off, but after that loss, I took it.

UW - favorite play of the season so far.  This is the biggest game for UW - way bigger than stanford.  Read the articles.  I lived out in OR, these two teams hate each other.  Oregon will not get enough stops to keep this close.

UM - played 1h.  Been cashing for me 3-1 this year, when I played it.

Have a great week, and thanks again for the great info, patience, and class.



ONLY ONE STINKING GAME?..........

some of those do look shaky don't they?.......but then again they usually do............................................................

Those 1H's are a great idea......IF... you beforehand.....study each team's trends / tendencies.....for each half / qtr....play off your 1H bet...in the 2H.....get back / or double your money

Tough to find ATS stuff ....Team Rankings has each qtr broken down (each half too)...cfb stats has stuff like rushing averages per qtr.......my man Bill C. beaks down each quarter in his SBN preview.....still good TY because much of it is coaching (strengths / weaknesses / tendencies etc...).......
   *eg.     a team stinks in the 3rd qtr......every year?....dumbazz coach is poor at making adjustments

KEY?.....this is stuff NOT COVERED BY THE POINT-SPREAD.....(pretty much)....last bowl season they were WAY OFF
  *eg  they leaned Bama to be strong early....Clemson late...that was clearly backwards....ZERO stats supported that

BOL this week man..............
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #71


no problem with DB here.....he knows I'll answer / or ignore if I feel like it.....like....... OU still good at 14?........
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #72
Tulsa -7.5 $124/100
 
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Posted: #73
Quote Originally Posted by Dbreezyy:

2h thoughts on Tulsa game what's your scenarios 


What are yours you troll?
SNITCHES end up being bitches, or end up with stitches, and in ditches! #REALITY
 
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Posted: #74

Guys, is Boston College / Clemson Under 60.5 in-game a good play?

Probably just jinxed myself with that tribute....  alright, going to figure out my lineup for Sat am 6-year olds soccer.

Hope it's a winning night for all.


TD
 
 
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Posted: #75
Playing the 2nd half of the Tulsa/SMU game my friend??? I need Tulsa to get there chit together. They played the first half with numerous penalties, possibly 5 offsides, 2 were on back to back kickoffs, many dropped passes, and there coverage in the secondary was beyond horrible. Hard to believe they are up by 3 at half.
2nd half line is Tulsa -7 -120
SNITCHES end up being bitches, or end up with stitches, and in ditches! #REALITY
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