Week 6 Rolleater

YTD: 14-20-1    Bankroll: -12.4 %

The ol Rolleater is letting me down so far. Look for a big comeback this week as I get more stats to use.

BOL kap

lean both of those gl bgk

BGK-

Adding: Kentucky  (+7)  1%

CAL (-7.5) 1%

The Rolleater has this one above -15. If my confidence wasn't shaken so bad, I'd be going with a 5% bet. For now, I'd just be happy to get a win.

I think I may add this one to my list this week, good luck Kap! 

Like how you only bet 1% of BR. That way you can endure losing streaks that EVERYONE has.

Also respect your integrity by posting 14-20 for an ATS record.

80% of covers posters start their threads with something like 15-6 so far.......11-5 ATS......17-11.......If everyone's record was that good, they'd be no sports bettin or books.

GL this weekend.......I once lost 11 in a row !!!

Looks like a solid card so far.

I will start posting the computer's leans each week. Might not matter considering my current record, but wait a few weeks...............

Memphis AT Louisville (-17)

MSU AT Michigan (-4.5)

Purdue AT northwestern (-10) No Advantage

Colorado AT Missouri (-12)

Minnesota AT Wisconsin (-21)

Illinois AT Penn State (-8) No Advantage

LSU AT Florida (-6)

Tennessee AT georgia (-11)

Auburn AT Kentucky (+7)

UCLA AT CAL (-7.5)

My picks all come from math models that don't know the difference between Cam Newton and mike hartline. Auburn should only be favored by 3 points in this game. They've beaten their 3 1A opponents by a combined 13 points. They've got 6 more 1st down's in those games than their opponents. Clemson dominated them for a half. I really have no clue other than the formula's I have devised show UK covering the spread 75% of the time in a 106 game sample. I am not advising anybody to follow my picks until week 9. I just post these for the hell of it. Motivation to work a little harder. I think UK could win outright.

Updated Computer Leans

Memphis AT Louisville (-17)

MSU AT Michigan (-4.5)

Purdue AT northwestern (-10) No Advantage

Colorado AT Missouri (-12)

Minnesota AT Wisconsin (-21)

Illinois AT Penn State (-8) No Advantage

LSU AT Florida (-6)

Tennessee AT georgia (-11)

Auburn AT Kentucky (+7)

UCLA AT CAL (-7.5)

Oregon State AT Arizona (-7.5)

Arizona St AT Washington  (-2)

Indiana AT Ohio State  (-22.5)

Alabama AT South Carolina (+7)

USC AT Stanford (-9.5)