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Week 7 Ideas

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Posted: #26

@Last2thirst

 & they installed brand new field turf this year haha 

 

you’re welcome my friend, that’s why we are here 

peace_5

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Posted: #27

GL Last2Thirst clover

 
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Posted: #28

Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:

@Last2thirst  & they installed brand new field turf this year haha    you’re welcome my friend, that’s why we are here

an_roll_laugh

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Posted: #29

Quote Originally Posted by themaceo:

GL Last2Thirst

 

Thanks Maceo.... I like following your first play out of the gate my friend....they probably hit over 70% over the years

 

GL also clover an_cheers

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Posted: #30

Teaser Key Set #2  (7 pts) - been waiting for some lines ....and now can strike

WVU +10.5 with BYU +4 with Texas -7 

PITT +4 with Texas UNDER 56

Play each for $30 with:

1. Penn St +3

2. Virginia +14.5

3. Iowa UNDER 49

4. LSU +10.5

 

I've cherrypicked these lines early, and I have hopefully positions some late with these Teasers

 

 

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Posted: #31

Final capping before I hit the road for Montreal this afternoon.....

 

Straight Play #5 - Syracuse OVER 52 @ NC State who has a garbage defense but can put up points

-this TOTAL is dropping and I only see a 3rd string RB out but more Cuse players returning on defense......regardless, I think Cuse can put up over 30 pts with 8 days off from travelling to the west a couple of time zones and now face a wounded team 

 

Final Teaser 7 pt (HALF U) - Wake Forest + 27.5 with Eastern Mich +9.5 with Virginia Over 47

 

Parlay (ML) pays 2 to 1 x 1U:  Utah ML with Pitt ML 

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Posted: #32

clover

 
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Posted: #33

Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:

At first glance and inspection of matchup, I lean to the following with early lines (BET365 not open yet):  OVER CCU-JMAD 52.5  -both past year games went over this and last year JMAD had a -8.5 spread when CCU had McCall at QB and smoked them by over 35 pts - lean JMAD as a solid teaser KEY down to -2.5 if taking 7 pts and to WIN if you can get 10 pt teaser  - JMAD should be able to get little resistance running and play action vs a soft run defense by CCU - CCU can run the ball well but also has some good receivers and a decent QB   Maryland -11  -NW doesn't have the passing game or even run game to keep Maryland's defense honest -Maryland can move the ball well and NW on the road is generally not as stiff of a defense as they are at home - should be a 2 TD win with NW having to trade scores ..... so if you can get -10, that might be better - Terps with 2 weeks off and take a look at the NW injury list....very long   Pitt -3.5  -how do you come out east and be jet lagged and motivated, after getting backdoored by Miami? - they had that game well in hand - Pitt playing tough games and just know how to win and like the home field very much but have proven themselves away also   Texas -8.5  - I predict a beatdown after losing last year and a shaky QB situation relative to Texas - Texas two years ago went into Oklahoma and beat them 49-0  and that line was -7.5 for Texas on the road.... Sooners got their revenge last year and now they have to endure a beating haha - maybe use Texas as a TEASER with Georgia on deck after this game......thread carefully here....but realize HORNS can throw two top QB's at Sooners and not even blink with Ewers and Manning   BYU -3.5 -Fafita for Zona looks clueless this year and throwing picks left and right ..... BYU has a very strong secondary and have had rest   Georgia UNDER 53.5 -with Texas on deck, Georgia is going to need a run game ..... and Miss St are terrible stopping the run so I anticipate plenty of running and this will be a good matchup for the Georgia defense to simulate how to play vs a good QB....as Shapen is decent, but I also expect lots of pressure from Georgia on this O-line 42-10 type of score....maybe 38-14   OLE MISS -2.5  - yes LSU has had 2 weeks to prepare but Ole Miss do not want to take 2 losses and I do not think the LSU defense will be able to handle Kiffin's team if motivated and they will be!!   DUCKS +4.5 Cmon man!!  -will be a TEASER KEY for sure and likely a ML and side play -ASK YOURSELF, who have the Buckeyes played yet?? Look at their schedule and now they fly out jetlagged to take on a DUCKS team that has had an extra day to prepare and rest -Buckeyes have yet played a team that can trade blows with them and its a given the Ducks play well at home for years!!

 

Who has Oregon played? Oh UCLA, or Idaho? Give me a break. Oregon has played and looked like crap all season long. This line is right, and you watch and learn you won't be able to tease Oregon to plus 9, 10, and or 13. 

 

Also, take the Over in this game. 

CatchMyPick
 
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Posted: #34

 Who has Oregon played? Oh UCLA, or Idaho? Give me a break. Oregon has played and looked like crap all season long. This line is right, and you watch and learn you won't be able to tease Oregon to plus 9, 10, and or 13.    Also, take the Over in this game.[/Quote]

 

Well, I guess I was told eh? an_roll_laugh

 

Nice to see the passion. I look forward to watching this one

 

People forget, the Ducks were never ranked top 4 last year, almost upset Washington in Washington but lost by 3 in OT after controlling a large part of the game. The next week or so, they went into Utah ranked 13th and absolutely destroyed them right around this time last year. Ducks finished the year stomping everyone ! 

 

I also remember when Ohio St was ranked #2 going into Michigan ranked #3 and for a brief moment, the lines opened Buckeyes -1.5 and in minutes, I was one of those betting the Wolverines for $500 and they won by 6 pts.

 

Cravin, its great to love a team but frankly, both OSU and the Ducks should have a close line as it was a coinflip preseason in coaches poll and other progs that I researched. I like both teams, but a night game in Oregon favors the Ducks to play well and the Buckeyes to be well.....the Buckeyes! When pressure is highest, Ryan coached teams crack in moments and don't win the big one as much as I respect him as a coach and the whole Buckeye program

 

I actually hope the Buckeyes win because of my fondness for being there in Columbus a few times ...competed there in tourneys in another sport. I loved spending the weekend in that city!

 

The #2 preseason team vs the #3 preseason team should be ample motivation for them to have a good one and with the amount of talent on the field, no way do I expect this to be a blowout just like the Georgia - Alabama game where Bama dominated completely the first half.

 

I suspect this one will be a one score game final just like that one peace_5

 

 

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Posted: #35

Love a game like this it really makes a big statement on how to better evaluate these squads! 

 

I think I prefer LSU over Miss than Oregon over a consistent contender OSU 

 

love the conversation thumbs_up

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Posted: #36

Will update this quite a bit after the matches tonight or tomorrow.....decided not to clutter my thread, but this was the list I compiled after WEEK #6:

 

Must Beat a higher level to Move Up:

#21 Nebraska  #22  SMU  #23 Kentucky #24 Illinois #25 Arkansas #26 Pittsburgh  #27 Washington #28 USC  #29 Michigan #30 Rutgers

Next Tier 

Boise, Iowa, VTECH, Texas Tech, Washington St., Louisville, , Vanderbilt, James Madison, Memphis,  

Top 50 Material

 Arizona, Navy, UNLV, Arizona St., WVU,  Colorado, Georgia Tech, Syracuse, California, Virginia, B.C, Duke 

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Posted: #37

Will update this quite a bit after the matches tonight or tomorrow.....decided not to clutter my thread, but this was the list I compiled after WEEK #6:

TOP 4 and 20 Best After WEEK #5: (Note: The Top 4 can only be conference winners for Playoff Seeding)

 

 1. Texas   (got tough road win)

2. Ohio St

3. Oregon (have a good road win)

4. Alabama

-------------------------------------

5. Georgia

6. Penn St. (good road win )

7. Ole Miss  

8. Tennessee (got tough road win)

9. Miami

10. Iowa State (have a tough road win)

 --------------------In the Hunt-------------

11 Texas AM   

12 Notre Dame (have a tough road win)

---------------------On the Edge-------------

13 Clemson 

14 LSU

15 Oklahoma  

---------------------------------------------

16. Utah 

17. Kansas St.

18. BYU   

19. Indiana

20. Missouri

 

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #38

After Week #7 - Ranks #21 to #50 (Out of Playoff Picture most likely)

#21 Missouri #22 Arkansas #23 SMU  #24 Oklahoma  #25 Iowa  #26 Michigan  #27 Louisville #28 Wash St. #29 Vanderbilt #30 Arizona St.

Next Tier 

USC, Utah, Texas Tech, Washington, Syracuse, Illinois, UNLV, VTECH, Memphis, Army

Top 50 Material

Wisconsin, Kentucky, South Carolina, James Madison, Navy, Georgia Tech, Georgia Tech, Cincy, Liberty, Colorado or Duke

 

 

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #39

MOST LIKELY CONFERENCE WINNERS - TOP 4 Seeds - after Week #7

1. Texas (SEC)

2. Oregon (Big 10)

3. Iowa St. (Big 12)

4. Miami  (ACC)

------------------------------------------------

Actual Best Teams Ranking:

1. Texas  

2. Oregon  (no losses)

3. Penn St.  (no losses)

4. Ohio St.  (highest rated 1 loss)

-------------------------------------

5. Alabama

6. Georgia  

7. Iowa State (no losses)

8. LSU

9. Miami  (no losses)

10. Notre Dame 

 --------------------In the Hunt-------------

11 Texas AM

12 Clemson 

---------------------On the Edge-------------

13 Tennessee

14  BYU  (no losses)

15  Indiana  (no losses)

---------------------------------------------

16. Pittsburgh (no losses)

17. Ole Miss  

18. Kansas St. (If they hold, if not #27)

19. Boise  (if they win)

20. Nebraska

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Posted: #40

SUMMARY OF PLAYS/RESULTS:

Play #1 - Maryland -10 x 1U  an_burningbag

Play #2 - Pitt -3.5 x 1U   an_2drinks

Play #3  Army -23 x HALF U  an_2drinks

Play #4 DUCKS +4 x 1U   an_2drinks

Play #5 - Syracuse OVER 52  an_burningbag

 

Parlay (ML) pays 2 to 1 x 1U:  Utah ML with Pitt ML  an_burningbag

 

Will report on Teasers tomorrow....or with next week plays.....get my but kicked a little if Boise does not go OVER 54.5 as a KEY 

 

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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