big- In my opinion the line has a better chance of going to 3.5 than 2.5 by kick off...I'm happy with 3.
Wuss- USC is a game I'm looking at, but I will likely keep my card short this week as well. GL
Dem/upside- here is my brief take on the BYU game.
I can see why one would be tempted to take the 9.5/10 pts in this match up. Houston is a 5-0 club SU and ATS. However this team is not as good as their record or stats may indicate. The level of competition these teams have played is a complete contrast. SOS for each of these teams are polarizing...113th for Houston and 11th for BYU. Hence, I'm not putting much stock in Houston's record. And in my opinion so aren't the books. If Houston is a legitimate 5-0 team there is no way they are catching 10 pts. Aside from their poor strength of schedule they have been getting turnovers at an alarming rate. They lead the nation at +2.5 ratio. Can they sustain this...I'm willing to bet against it. Last week I bet Memphis, who was the best defense to date Houston faced and Memphis shut them down to 247 total yards. Memphis pretty much handed them they game with 4 TO. Also, Memphis is an inept offense who only managed 5 FG 3 of which were in Houston's red zone. Memphis outgained Houston by just over 100 yds. This week they face a better defense and a much better offense. As long as BYU can take care of the ball they should win comfortably.
Good luck everyone!
Waiting on status of Parker and Cruz...leaning on Louisville. I think the perception of these teams is inaccurate. A lot of talk about Louisville's competition which is weak, but they can only play who is out in front of them and they have been dominating. If they just been squeaking by that is one thing. And I've been on UCF twice this year vs FIU and S.Carolina and I'm not impressed with them and they seem to have regressed. I was on Louisville vs Rutgers because I felt Rutgers would struggle to score, they did but the Ville offense couldn't convert offensively. I'm sure the focus during this week is on offense and getting in the end zone. UCF defense I don't believe is as stout as last years and there defense the last three games (447 pg) is more of a resemblance of how good this defense is rather than the 353 pg game they have given up with FIU and Akron included.
Minnesota +12.5
TCU +7.5
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