Week 8 picks and Why

Week 6 went 5-2 overall record stands at 32-23.   Didn't post picks for week 7.   Let's look at some numbers:

55   Wky   66 93 79 120

-2  SMH     61 49 90 117

SMH opens up at -2, currently 2 or -1.5.   The o/u opened at 55 had dropped to 54-54.5 and back to 55 currently.       Wky is better in one category, Sagarin rank at 79 vice 90.  SMH is better in total off at 61 vs 66; total def 49 vs 93 and sched strength at 117 vs 120.    

When you have a scenario where the home team is better in 3 categories except sagarin rank - these situations don't typically come up very often, albeit this week we got quite a few.   In these situations it's the over under that's the play.    Based on the numbers and patterns in this situation - the over 55 is the play.   My play for tonight and tomorrow:

1. WKY/SMH over 55    

2.  VTC -7   

good luck all

@kidd22

 Thanks bud and back at ya

@TheBuddah

Same side brother 

Tip

@TheBuddah

BOL and keep up the great work!!

@TheBuddah

What’s vtc?

@tiptnk

 Back at ya bud.

@FelixFermin21

 Appreciate it bud.

@insatiable

 Thanks bud.

@CCO687

 Thanks bud.

@Moku_weena

 Virginia PolyTechnical University - VTC for short.

@Capppro69

 Thanks bud.    

Appreciate the love hoping they get another score before the half.   

We got VTC lasnight 1-1 after no scoring in the 3rd quarter of WKY/SMH.  Record stands at 33-24 .    Let's look at some numbers for tonight's game:

        Okst   71 129 40 15 

-7.5   BYU   72 24 18 32

Line opened at 7.5 (madduxsports.com), currently 9 -9.5  .     Okst is barely better in TOff at 71 vs 72  and sched strength at 15 vs 32.    BYU is better at def 24 vs 129 and sagarin rank at 18 vs 40.      

What's glaring is the disparity in def   129 vs 24; however, the interesting part the data supports taking Okst - they often when it straight up.     My plays for tonight:

3.  Okst + 9.5

4. Small parlay  Clev (baseball )  Even  to Okst +270  to win 6.4 to 1 

Good luck all  

Adding:

5. Fresno st -3

Good luck all

@TheBuddah

@TheBuddah

 TGIF bro. 

GL on your plays this week @TheBuddah 

Bol tonight

@FelixFermin21

@insatiable

@Macwestie1

@umgmu

@Skydog1842

 Thanks guys and back at ya.   

Okst came thru on the spread, their 129 ranked defense showed up on BYU last drive. Clase blew it again, lost the small parlay and Fres was a push.  Record stands at  34-25 .

 12 pm My plays:  

6.  Lafy -4 125  

7. Lafy/Coastal under 56.5

8. Clem -20.5   

Stayed up to watch Okst - still going thru it.   Good luck all

@TheBuddah

@TheBuddah

 BOL 

Good luck Buddah.  

@FelixFermin21

@westlake888

 Thanks and back at ya

@D-Town

 Thanks bud and back at ya

Games from 2 pm-4:15 :

9. Bgreen -21

10. Mia Oh -3.5

11. USC -7  

12.  Tul -22

13.  Over Cmich/Emich 51.5  -120   

Good luck all