The CFB season is really divided into 3/4 smaller 'seasons' - those that handicap each game 'standing alone', without any thought of what happened before, or what happens after, are probably not aware of this, but others are (painfully) aware.... Basis is that each game does not mean the same, to the players OR coaches. For any given team you may get 3/5 weeks a YEAR ... where you get a maximum EFFORT and FOCUS. Key is determining where these will occur. Don't think running on the field, being 'FIRED UP' - but mentally 100% focused on next week's opponent with limited distractions. Just a handful of teams play great most every week.
Weeks 1 > 3/4 - usually the easiest to predict - strong teams often dominate, with usually few surprises -
Weeks 4 > 7 - things get tougher, strong teams struggle to cover big #'s - others may slowly improve
Weeks 8 > 10 - often the toughest to handicap - nobody knows what TF is gonna happen... teams that played great all year POOF! - no show ..... crap teams may make a one time appearance
Weeks 10/11 > 12 - weaker/ well coached teams play their azz off to get BE (bowl eligible) - some simply QUIT, can't wait for the year to end, etc - some get injured players back and finally emerge to become what we thought they were all along .....
The ultimate goal as a handicapper is to stay a step ahead of the oddsmakers - knowing what 'path' a given team will take. Sounds tough, but if you limit your focus to fewer teams, it can be done. THINK ABOUT IT - you have a good idea how 'your team' will play each week don't you?
>> unfortunately, hung out with some Auburn fans this week ha - they knew zero about betting, but each one said they would bet on Ole Miss to cover - not trusting UA at all here.
was traveling, posted what I played - record here will count as current per usual (terps win by 3 = L)
Terps -2'
Rutgers P
Iowa +3'
Purdue +7'
Iowa St -6
Ole Miss +3
TCU +3
UCLA +7
Irish -3
SMU +2
leans Sparty Kentucky Louisville Penn St Texas ? TREE ? UTEP ??
* Few slightly juiced, like UCLA
BOL this week boys .................
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