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week #9 system plays (15 ncaaf , 3 nfl )

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Posted: #1

oct 23rd 

these plays are leans for now and are finalize depending on movement of the line during the week, injuries, and so forth. the system are based primarly on a algorithm math formula  that i have been working on for a few years now (6) to be exact and i think is ready for a test drive so with no further delay ...... the lines i am going with are from vegas caesars, lvh hotel and casino and the mirage 


*highlighted teams are home

#1. temple+6.5  

#2. cfu-3

#3.bowling green -16

#4.south carolina-14

#5.texas A&m -14

#6.western kentucky-7

#7.ulmon-24.5

#8.ball st-5.5

#9.oregon-46

#10.utah st-21

#11.tx tech+7.5

#12.northwestern-6.5

#13.purdue -4

#14.hawaii+6.5

#15.san jose st -20

#16.seahawks+3

#17.packers-11.5

#18.chargers-1


these are just leans right now 

like ucla , ncstate ,missouri ,iowa st ,arizona ,akron ,ecu ,but they are not in the system so wont look hard on these






 
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Posted: #2

1. temple+6.5  i just dont believe in pitt especially favored .dont forget last week temple played a hell of a half against a really a good #15rutgers team going up 10-0 at half before losing there minds in the second half meanwhile pitt had a touchdown and a few fieldgoals did not impress me at all against buffalo .well temple is a better version of buffalo with a better qb. run, run, run, pass when necessary let your defense keep you in it and frustrate the panthers they might win straight up 

#2. cfu-3

#3.bowling green -16

#4.south carolina-14

#5.texas A&m -14

#6.western kentucky-7

#7.ulmon-24.5

#8.ball st-5.5

#9.oregon-46

#10.utah st-21

#11.tx tech+7.5

#12.northwestern-6.5 love how fitzgerald uses siemian and colter persa siemian only got a few snaps last year at qb he will starting this years game and is better than iowa qb vadenberg northwestern defense is also better than iowa this year 

#13.purdue -4 would say this would be a hard spot  to pick purdue after pouring there all into what was a heart wrenching, demoralizing loss last week in columbus but this is the same minnesota team they punished last year. and for the past few weeks  the gophers havent shown any sign of life, defensively when needing an important stop are gaining a important first down. purdue will take out frustration here.

#14.hawaii+6.5

#15.san jose st -20

#16.seahawks+3

#17.packers-11.5

#18.chargers-1

 
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Posted: #3

1. temple+6.5  i just dont believe in pitt especially favored .dont forget last week temple played a hell of a half against a really a good #15rutgers team going up 10-0 at half before losing there minds in the second half meanwhile pitt had a touchdown and a few fieldgoals did not impress me at all against buffalo .well temple is a better version of buffalo with a better qb. run, run, run, pass when necessary let your defense keep you in it and frustrate the panthers they might win straight up 

#2. cfu-3

#3.bowling green -16

#4.south carolina-14

#5.texas A&m -14

#6.western kentucky-7

#7.ulmon-24.5

#8.ball st-5.5 this game is strength vs weakness, army is a little weaker at stopping the pass than ball st is at stopping the run. last year ball st was up 38-0 before army woke up and yet they only threw the ball 4 times completing 0 this is a passing league like the nfl .army has won once in the last 10 games and has covered a mere 3 times. nice uniforms but no bueno. 

#9.oregon-46

#10.utah st-21

#11.tx tech+7.5

#12.northwestern-6.5 love how fitzgerald uses siemian and colter persa siemian only got a few snaps last year at qb he will starting this years game and is better than iowa qb vadenberg northwestern defense is also better than iowa this year 

#13.purdue -4 would say this would be a hard spot  to pick purdue after pouring there all into what was a heart wrenching, demoralizing loss last week in columbus but this is the same minnesota team they punished last year. and for the past few weeks  the gophers havent shown any sign of life, defensively when needing an important stop are gaining a important first down. purdue will take out frustration here.

#14.hawaii+6.5

#15.san jose st -20

#16.seahawks+3

#17.packers-11.5

#18.chargers-1

 
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by Wolfgangtuff:

1. temple+6.5  i just dont believe in pitt especially favored .dont forget last week temple played a hell of a half against a really a good #15rutgers team going up 10-0 at half before losing there minds in the second half meanwhile pitt had a touchdown and a few fieldgoals did not impress me at all against buffalo .well temple is a better version of buffalo with a better qb. run, run, run, pass when necessary let your defense keep you in it and frustrate the panthers they might win straight up 

#2. cfu-3

#3.bowling green -16

#4.south carolina-14

#5.texas A&m -14

#6.western kentucky-7 did bet against them last week has ulmon and browning has really impressed me but the money train is back on track this week wky has covered an astounding 14 of last 15 games look it up wky won last years game but the score 10-9 score would have fooled you 22 -8 first down margin for wky and 324-180 yard advantage jakes wasnt all that good that game but i expect him to bring his A game ,this season 15 td only 4 picks and managing the game very well. western kentucky is 6-1 ats this season losing in the last seconds to ulmon last time out .

#7.ulmon-24.5

#8.ball st-5.5 this game is strength vs weakness, army is a little weaker at stopping the pass than ball st is at stopping the run. last year ball st was up 38-0 before army woke up and yet they only threw the ball 4 times completing 0 this is a passing league like the nfl .army has won once in the last 10 games and has covered a mere 3 times. nice uniforms but no bueno. 

#9.oregon-46

#10.utah st-21

#11.tx tech+7.5

#12.northwestern-6.5 love how fitzgerald uses siemian and colter persa siemian only got a few snaps last year at qb he will starting this years game and is better than iowa qb vadenberg northwestern defense is also better than iowa this year 

#13.purdue -4 would say this would be a hard spot  to pick purdue after pouring there all into what was a heart wrenching, demoralizing loss last week in columbus but this is the same minnesota team they punished last year. and for the past few weeks  the gophers havent shown any sign of life, defensively when needing an important stop are gaining a important first down. purdue will take out frustration here.

#14.hawaii+6.5

#15.san jose st -20

#16.seahawks+3

#17.packers-11.5

#18.chargers-1

 
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Posted: #5

1. temple+6.5  i just dont believe in pitt especially favored .dont forget last week temple played a hell of a half against a really a good #15rutgers team going up 10-0 at half before losing there minds in the second half meanwhile pitt had a touchdown and a few fieldgoals did not impress me at all against buffalo .well temple is a better version of buffalo with a better qb. run, run, run, pass when necessary let your defense keep you in it and frustrate the panthers they might win straight up 

#2. cfu-3

#3.bowling green -16

#4.south carolina-14

#5.texas A&m -14

#6.western kentucky-7 did bet against them last week has ulmon and browning has really impressed me but the money train is back on track this week wky has covered an astounding 14 of last 15 games look it up wky won last years game but the score 10-9 score would have fooled you 22 -8 first down margin for wky and 324-180 yard advantage jakes wasnt all that good that game but i expect him to bring his A game ,this season 15 td only 4 picks and managing the game very well. western kentucky is 6-1 ats this season losing in the last seconds to ulmon last time out .

#7.ulmon-24.5

#8.ball st-5.5 this game is strength vs weakness, army is a little weaker at stopping the pass than ball st is at stopping the run. last year ball st was up 38-0 before army woke up and yet they only threw the ball 4 times completing 0 this is a passing league like the nfl .army has won once in the last 10 games and has covered a mere 3 times. nice uniforms but no bueno. 

#9.oregon-46 oregon dropped down a spot or 2 in the bcs has if you need to tell these race horses to step on the gas bet ist qtr 2nd qtr 3rd qtr 4th qtr and try to find a book with live betting this one however will be covered before half time 

#10.utah st-21

#11.tx tech+7.5

#12.northwestern-6.5 love how fitzgerald uses siemian and colter persa siemian only got a few snaps last year at qb he will starting this years game and is better than iowa qb vadenberg northwestern defense is also better than iowa this year 

#13.purdue -4 would say this would be a hard spot  to pick purdue after pouring there all into what was a heart wrenching, demoralizing loss last week in columbus but this is the same minnesota team they punished last year. and for the past few weeks  the gophers havent shown any sign of life, defensively when needing an important stop are gaining a important first down. purdue will take out frustration here.

#14.hawaii+6.5

#15.san jose st -20

#16.seahawks+3

#17.packers-11.5

#18.chargers-1

 
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Posted: #7
thx , lets get it 
 
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Posted: #8
I would love to say i'm on some of the same games here ... but not seeing that much ... however i'm enticed by the NFL leans on this post

Hawks, Packers, Chargers ---- Good work thanks 
 
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Posted: #9
[Quote: Originally Posted by Wolfgangtuff]

1. temple+6.5  i just dont believe in pitt especially favored .dont forget last week temple played a hell of a half against a really a good #15rutgers team going up 10-0 at half before losing there minds in the second half meanwhile pitt had a touchdown and a few fieldgoals did not impress me at all against buffalo .well temple is a better version of buffalo with a better qb. run, run, run, pass when necessary let your defense keep you in it and frustrate the panthers they might win straight up 

#2. cfu-3

#3.bowling green -16

#4.south carolina-14

#5.texas A&m -14

#6.western kentucky-7 did bet against them last week has ulmon and browning has really impressed me but the money train is back on track this week wky has covered an astounding 14 of last 15 games look it up wky won last years game but the score 10-9 score would have fooled you 22 -8 first down margin for wky and 324-180 yard advantage jakes wasnt all that good that game but i expect him to bring his A game ,this season 15 td only 4 picks and managing the game very well. western kentucky is 6-1 ats this season losing in the last seconds to ulmon last time out .

#7.ulmon-24.5

#8.ball st-5.5 this game is strength vs weakness, army is a little weaker at stopping the pass than ball st is at stopping the run. last year ball st was up 38-0 before army woke up and yet they only threw the ball 4 times completing 0 this is a passing league like the nfl .army has won once in the last 10 games and has covered a mere 3 times. nice uniforms but no bueno. 

#9.oregon-46 oregon dropped down a spot or 2 in the bcs has if you need to tell these race horses to step on the gas bet ist qtr 2nd qtr 3rd qtr 4th qtr and try to find a book with live betting this one however will be covered before half time 

#10.utah st-21

#11.tx tech+7.5 #17 texas tech vs #4 kansas st hard to bet against kansas st but i think tech can not only cover but win outright the key is doege limiting his mistakes and taking what he gets 32 first last year proves texas tech can move the pigskin 43 % on 3rd say they can do it efficently like the numbers 

#12.northwestern-6.5 love how fitzgerald uses siemian and colter persa siemian only got a few snaps last year at qb he will starting this years game and is better than iowa qb vadenberg northwestern defense is also better than iowa this year 

#13.purdue -4 would say this would be a hard spot  to pick purdue after pouring there all into what was a heart wrenching, demoralizing loss last week in columbus but this is the same minnesota team they punished last year. and for the past few weeks  the gophers havent shown any sign of life, defensively when needing an important stop are gaining a important first down. purdue will take out frustration here.


 
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Posted: #11
#16.seahawks+3   i can see the seahawks being favored by sunday gametime ,detroit playing another tough defenses minded opponent 4th week in a row gotta be  exhausting thinking so hard about ways to move the ball with a running game  especially if your having a hard time doing. i watched that monday night game against the bears poor lions the seahawks defense in my opinion is much better  than the bears ( my opinion)added fact lions are one dimensional passing attack not clicking right now if they aint dropping it stafford throwing too high and with the pressure the hawks are going to shows i see picks all day exercise in futility 
 
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Posted: #12
OCT 24TH

line movement progress

  • SEAHAWKS+1
  • TEMPLE+6.5
  • TX A &M-15
  • UTAH ST-23







KEEP IN MIND IF THE PUBLIC IS HEAVY ON A PARTICULAR TEAM AND THE LINE HASNT MOVE LOW PERCENTAGE TEAM TAKES PRECEDENT 

ITS ONLY WEDNESDAY SO LINES WILL BE UP AND DOWN ALL WEEK.
 
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Posted: #13
#4 SOUTH CAROL.INA-14  THE DEFENSE IS STILL GREAT, YOU CANT THROW ON THIS TEAM AND YOU CANT REALLY RUN EITHER , ESPECIALLY WHEN THE GAMECOCKS ARE  AT HOME FINALLY GETTING OFF THE HIGHWAY AFTER FACING THE BEST THE SEC HAS TO OFFER THEY NOW PLAY SOME INFERIOR COMP AN SEC TEAM BUT TENNESSEE IS NOT ON THE LEVEL OF FLORIDA , LSU , OR EVEN MISS ST , GEORGIA RIGHT NOW  TO ME THE LINE IS KINDA LOW  BEAT DOWN AT WILLIAMS-BRICE STADIUM IS A COMING 
 
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#17.PACKERS-11.5  HATE TO WRITE A SENTENCE LIKE THIS BUT THERE PLAYING JACKSONVILLE DO THE MATH AND THERE ONLY WEAPON IS HURT GET THE NUMBER QUICKLY WHEN IT GOES BACK UP ON THE BOARD .THEY MIGHT TAKE IT DOWN AGAIN ONCE THEY PUT IT BACK UP .
 
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#14 HAWAII+6.5   I MEAN IF YOUR A DIVISION 1 PROGRAM AND YOU LOSE TO NDST OF WEST BUBBA-FK YOU SHOULD NOT EVEN BE FAVORED IN A GAME OF BEER PONG RIGHT NOW IM LOOKING AT PUNTING ,FIELD POSITIONS STATS AND MY ALGORITHMS ARE ALL OVER THE PLACE CATCH THE RAINBOW 
 
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Posted: #16
BE BACK LATER ........
 
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Posted: #17
I haven't read up on your system at all, do u have a write up for the Hawaii game?
 
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Posted: #18
Good luck.
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by AK907:

I haven't read up on your system at all, do u have a write up for the Hawaii game?

I LIKE HAWAII  +7 TO KEEP IT CLOSE colorado st last 19 games played one game they won by more than 6pts, last year vs fcs foe northern colorado(33-14). they beat colorado this year by 6 and lost to the power house north dakota st earlier in the season.
 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by Wolfgangtuff:


I LIKE HAWAII  +7 TO KEEP IT CLOSE colorado st last 19 games played one game they won by more than 6pts, last year vs fcs foe northern colorado(33-14). they beat colorado this year by 5 and lost to the power house north dakota st earlier in the season.

 
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Posted: #22

OCT 24TH

line movement progress

  • SEAHAWKS+1
  • PACKERS-12
  • TEMPLE+6.5
  • TX A &M-15
  • UTAH ST-23
  • TEXAS TECH+7







KEEP IN MIND IF THE PUBLIC IS HEAVY ON A PARTICULAR TEAM AND THE LINE HASNT MOVE LOW PERCENTAGE TEAM TAKES PRECEDENT 

ITS ONLY WEDNESDAY SO LINES WILL BE UP AND DOWN ALL WEEK.

 
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Posted: #23
Best of Luck 
 
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Posted: #24
thx sportsfreak
lets get it
 
 
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HOW DO YOU FEEL ABOUT TEXAS TECH UPSETTING KSU?

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