Will Bama cover the 25.5 against Louisville

Question

Alabama has historically done well in these spots. Do you think they can do it here?

broller · Answer

Alabama has historically done well in these spots. Do you think they can do it here?

JoniLove5Chachi · Answer

They can do it for sure. Even with Pruitt gone the new D.C. Inherits one of the best defenses if not the best in the nation so it's hard to fathom Louisville scoring more than two TD's..

take note of this: Bama 6-0 in neutral site (regular season) games with avg. win by 24ppg

your call, brother

shacorie · Answer

On Louisville defense bama should have sitting on the spread let alone jus the rushing attack can&#x2019;t wait to see the freshman Harris rb

jimmydafreak · Answer

If Tua is the QB . . . yes.&#xA;If Hurts is the QB . . . no.

jimrockford22 · Answer

i was thinking fading alabama as big favorite has almost been "free money".... maybe 30&#x2B; points though for the big bama FADE, which is what i saw this spread was a month ago (could have been wrong though)

thorpe · Answer

No way Hurts covers 26 points vs a team with a pulse, unless the Bama defense and special teams score 3 TDS or Bama wins 28-0,

Tua could throw it a ton or Bama could easily choose to play it safe on offense with a 14 point lead and the defense doing its job.

I think the line is inflated a few points, but if Bama wants to make a statement with Tua and let him throw it all over the field (even with a big lead in the second half) then the spread needs to be 35.

mws · Answer

If Clemson could cover this number against Louisville last year with Kelly Bryant at QB, I don&#x27;t see why Bama can&#x27;t do it even with Hurts at QB.

xbigpappa · Answer

Does anyone have Sabin&#x27;s W/L record the last 5 years in Bama&#x27;s opener?

jimrockford22 · Answer

&#xA; &#xA;back to 2011, ATS 6-1 week 1, 1-3 week 2. unfortunately the week # refers to the cfb season not to alabama&#x27;s own season. i will try to break down that week 2 number

jimrockford22 · Answer

looks like those week 2 games are ALL alabama&#x27;s 2nd game... so the week 1 record of 6-1 is the right number...

jimrockford22 · Answer

2013 and beyond (and i just randomly chose 2013 as starting point as it&#x27;s 5 year record)... alabama is 5-10 ATS giving more than 30. BUT 7-5 ATS giving between 20 and 30 points.

jimrockford22 · Answer

fyi, fading alabama 30 points or more was an ATS winner for 6 years then 50% win rate last year

jimrockford22 · Answer

my last slice/dice post and this one is very interesting but might just be data mining. and it's a little hard to come up with underlying reason without further work..

2009 and beyond (visual perusal on start date), alabama -30 or more

week 2 to 7: 2-12 ATS and pretty big average misses.......... all other weeks 8-5 ATS

strippersnbens · Answer

I make the line -21.5

Zoot · Answer

Bama has covered 5 out of the last 6 home openers vs Big 5 teams

phoshow · Answer

It all depends on the Louisville QB....Is he a scrambling one or traditional passer?  If he&#x27;s a scrambling one, bama may not cover.  Traditional passer.... bama cover easily as the D can hand them 2 TD&#x27;s.

strippersnbens · Answer

Zoot, the game is in Orlando

alopez14325 · Answer

this is a tough game to cap bc it&#x27;s impossible to know how good Jawon Pass is... Even if Pass is a superstar I would feel pretty good about Bama being able to cover the 25.  Alabama is replacing a lot of defensive starters, but theyre still loaded w/ talent at every level.  The reason I would take bama is 1. Saban has done very well ATS, but especially in openers, and neutral field games.  2.  I think it&#x27;s a tough matchup for Louisville&#x27;s defense to stop this high powered offense.  especially with only a few weeks of practice time before they kickoff.  Alabama essentially returns 5 very experienced starters on their Oline, which should allow their stable of backs run wild.  Najee Harris, Brian Robinson, and Damien Harris are all big backs that are going to exhaust the defense.  Teams havent been able to stop Alabama running all over them even when they stack the box... so now that they have an elite wr corps and a big time passer, I think it could get ugly....

motowner · Answer

Bama or pass, too much continuity for Bama to try and get cute here

WISEGUY36 · Answer

Bama will win and cover in week 1

WISEGUY36 · Answer

Unless Nick puts in a package for Hurts and he playsa half .

alopez14325 · Answer

Alabama wont use Hurts in week 1... It&#x27;s been pretty well reported that Hurts likely stayed at Alabama because of the new redshirt rule, where a player can play in 4 games and still recieve a redshirt.  Hurts will graduate in December, meaning he&#x27;ll be eligible to transfer and play immediately with two years of eligibility remaining...Knowing this, I dont think Alabama or Hurts will want to use one of those 4 games in the opening game... It seems like they&#x27;d want him to be available in case of an injury to Tua.  I dont think youll see him until later in the season

JoniLove5Chachi · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by xbigpappa]  Does anyone have Sabin&#x27;s W/L record the last 5 years in Bama&#x27;s opener?&#xD;&#xA;   [/Quote]He is 5-0, sir.

Zoot · Answer

Im aware but thanx

Zoot · Answer

I think they will as well wiseGL this season

Will Bama cover the 25.5 against Louisville

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