Posted:
#1
YTD: 21-9 +$2160
Week 1: 1-0 +$200
Week 2: 5-0 +$750
Week 3: 3-1 +$380
Week 4: 4-1 +$480
Week 5: 3-0 +$750
Week 6: 0-2 -$400
Week 7: 2-4 -$370
Week 8: 3-1 +$370
Some potential for great games this week and a crazy 3:30 schedule. Still waiting on a few numbers, gonna be a few more games than usual this week.
Penn State +7 $300
Penn State ML +215 100/215 The "Revenge" angle for the Bucks has been beaten to death already. There is little to no revenge factor for OSU here. They lost last year, they got a pat on the back and the committee said "It's OK Buckeyes, we still like you better". Penn State is the team with the chip on it's shoulder. Head to head win, conference championship and the committee said "Thanks but no thanks". Now Penn State gets the chance to show last year was not a fluke and that they are the kings of the Big 10. On the field, ask yourself which QB has shown up for big games in the last 2 seasons. It's not JT Barrett. Barrett hasn't played well in a big game since Week 3 of 2016 in Norman. McSorley and Barrett are nearly similar numbers wise, but McSorley has shown up when the lights were the brightest in Kinnick Stadium and last week against Michigan. Barrett has feasted on bottom feeders the last 5 weeks, and while he has looked more assertive he hasn't faced a defense as good as Penn State. Gameplan? Easy for PSU, force Barrett to throw and don't let him beat you with his running. Once the doubt starts to sink in for Barrett he is done. He will hold the ball too long and force something or overthrow his target deep. In the running game, Ohio State has a tendency to go away from things that work. If the inside run is working, they try to go outside. Also, will Meyer be ultra-conservative as he has been in types of games in the past? Watch for things like Barrett changing plays because he is trying to be too perfect and not trusting his play-makers. On offense Penn State can keep OSU honest with some deep throws to the big WR's. I expect TE Mike Gesicki to have a big game because of the mismatches he can create. Other things I'm looking for... I expect the 1st half to go Under and I will be ready to fire on a Penn State 2H play. They have carried over their 2016 2nd half success to this year.
Other leans... NC State, Air Force/Colorado State Over, Kentucky, Miami, TCU, Texas Tech and I'm sure something else will pop up.
0
Think I've reached that dreaded stage of paralysis by analysis in that matchup and will likely just watch.
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