Really liking this weeks card..... locked in first play last night
Georgia Tech/North Carolina Over 61.5 -110 $150 The trends are split on this play, but recent performance and the eye test have me loving this play. Georgia Tech's passing has improved in yardage each of the last 5 games as has their scoring total. The defense has also allowed at least 35 in 3 of the last 4 games. The teams have played each of last 2 years with them combining for totals of 91 and 69 respectively.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YTD: 29-17-1 +$1850
Week 1: 2-1 +$180
Week 2: 3-1 +$450
Week 3: 3-0 +$550
Week 4: 2-1 +$330
Week 5: 0-5-1 -$1060
Week 6: 6-3 +$440
Week 7: 6-4 +$100
Week 8: 4-0 +$700
Week 9: 3-2 +$160
Really liking this weeks card..... locked in first play last night
Georgia Tech/North Carolina Over 61.5 -110 $150 The trends are split on this play, but recent performance and the eye test have me loving this play. Georgia Tech's passing has improved in yardage each of the last 5 games as has their scoring total. The defense has also allowed at least 35 in 3 of the last 4 games. The teams have played each of last 2 years with them combining for totals of 91 and 69 respectively.
Good looking card today... can't wait! Raised my standard play amount.
Michigan State -7.5 $250 Sparty got some mojo back in their loss last week to Michigan putting up 217 rushing yards. Rush yards should come easy against the Illini who allow 194/game. Illinois has only 2 wins against Murray State and Rutgers, on the other side the Spartans can still make a Bowl if they win out so Dantonio will have them ready to go, most likely against Illini starting QB Jeff George Jr who is only completing 40% of his passes. Even if Lunt plays I still like this just as much.
Pittsburgh +5.5 $250 Yes, the Panthers pass defense is 3rd to last allowing 312/game and it plays into Miami's strength, but all Pitt does it get into shootouts so they are used to it. Huge edge in the running game as Pitt is 25th at 231 yards/game and Miami has failed to hit 100 yards rushing in 3 of their last 4 games... in fact they are averaging 2 yard/carry the last 4 games. Kaaya is taking a beating as are the running backs and Miami's DB's are also banged up.
Louisiana Tech -19 $250 The Bulldogs have been red hot covering 4 straight and 3 of those were as 18+ point favorites. North Texas has improved, but are not on LTech's level. If they have any shot of keeping it within the number it will be through the air as Tech's pass defense is poor, but the pass offense with Ryan Higgins makes up for it as he now sits on a 26/3 TD/INT ratio. The Bulldogs have been one of my top teams, I am 3-0 playing their games.
Nebraska +17.5 $250 Not much for me to say here... Ohio State is struggling, I believe the young players have hit a wall especially on the OLine. JT Barrett has been trying to not do too much and as a result he has not been doing enough. The WR/TE's have had drops and the special teams has been poor. Now just like last week, a more than capable offense comes into Columbus that can take advantage of the OSU shortcomings
Nebraska ML +$600 Why not? I've seen this Ohio State team play every game for years and I know when they've gone cold. Last year it was the QB situation and the play calling. This year they are vulnerable in all 3 phases of the game. I hope OSU wins, but I'm not gonna pass up this opportunity.
That's probably it... still looking at Old Dominion... Too many points to lay for WKU. Wyoming is a possibility but I'm weary. San Diego State may be laying too many but I can't take Hawaii.
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Good looking card today... can't wait! Raised my standard play amount.
Michigan State -7.5 $250 Sparty got some mojo back in their loss last week to Michigan putting up 217 rushing yards. Rush yards should come easy against the Illini who allow 194/game. Illinois has only 2 wins against Murray State and Rutgers, on the other side the Spartans can still make a Bowl if they win out so Dantonio will have them ready to go, most likely against Illini starting QB Jeff George Jr who is only completing 40% of his passes. Even if Lunt plays I still like this just as much.
Pittsburgh +5.5 $250 Yes, the Panthers pass defense is 3rd to last allowing 312/game and it plays into Miami's strength, but all Pitt does it get into shootouts so they are used to it. Huge edge in the running game as Pitt is 25th at 231 yards/game and Miami has failed to hit 100 yards rushing in 3 of their last 4 games... in fact they are averaging 2 yard/carry the last 4 games. Kaaya is taking a beating as are the running backs and Miami's DB's are also banged up.
Louisiana Tech -19 $250 The Bulldogs have been red hot covering 4 straight and 3 of those were as 18+ point favorites. North Texas has improved, but are not on LTech's level. If they have any shot of keeping it within the number it will be through the air as Tech's pass defense is poor, but the pass offense with Ryan Higgins makes up for it as he now sits on a 26/3 TD/INT ratio. The Bulldogs have been one of my top teams, I am 3-0 playing their games.
Nebraska +17.5 $250 Not much for me to say here... Ohio State is struggling, I believe the young players have hit a wall especially on the OLine. JT Barrett has been trying to not do too much and as a result he has not been doing enough. The WR/TE's have had drops and the special teams has been poor. Now just like last week, a more than capable offense comes into Columbus that can take advantage of the OSU shortcomings
Nebraska ML +$600 Why not? I've seen this Ohio State team play every game for years and I know when they've gone cold. Last year it was the QB situation and the play calling. This year they are vulnerable in all 3 phases of the game. I hope OSU wins, but I'm not gonna pass up this opportunity.
That's probably it... still looking at Old Dominion... Too many points to lay for WKU. Wyoming is a possibility but I'm weary. San Diego State may be laying too many but I can't take Hawaii.
Glad to see we're on all the same games. LA TECH has been a cash cow this season. Why stop now? Pitt line keeps moving so I snagged it about half hour ago. Their DBs do blow but Narduzzi is suppose to be a defensive coach you have to figure they'll make some adjustment at some point! Good luck today!
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Glad to see we're on all the same games. LA TECH has been a cash cow this season. Why stop now? Pitt line keeps moving so I snagged it about half hour ago. Their DBs do blow but Narduzzi is suppose to be a defensive coach you have to figure they'll make some adjustment at some point! Good luck today!
I love how they're running the ball... over 300 4 of last 5 games. I wish ECU would have sucked last week with Nelson back at QB but they didn't.... he's not that good, but the Tulsa D can give up points so I'm staying away. Total is right on
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Quote Originally Posted by Ih8coldweather:
Any thoughts on Tulsa game?
I love how they're running the ball... over 300 4 of last 5 games. I wish ECU would have sucked last week with Nelson back at QB but they didn't.... he's not that good, but the Tulsa D can give up points so I'm staying away. Total is right on
Tulsa -10 $300 The home/road split here got me. Other than the hiccup against SMU, Tulsa has covered all their home games rather comfortably while ECU has been dreadful on the road sitting at 0-4 ATS and only scoring 18 ppg. It doesn't matter if Brewer or Flanders is in the backfield for Tulsa because both have led 300+ yard rushing days. Also, ECU played UConn last week, a team that only ran 66 plays on offense. Tulsa will run 90+ so it will be a drastic difference in styles..
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Changed my mind after digging deeper...
Tulsa -10 $300 The home/road split here got me. Other than the hiccup against SMU, Tulsa has covered all their home games rather comfortably while ECU has been dreadful on the road sitting at 0-4 ATS and only scoring 18 ppg. It doesn't matter if Brewer or Flanders is in the backfield for Tulsa because both have led 300+ yard rushing days. Also, ECU played UConn last week, a team that only ran 66 plays on offense. Tulsa will run 90+ so it will be a drastic difference in styles..
Georgia Tech/UNC Over +$150 Combined for 44 in the first half and finished it off early in the 4th. Both teams kept the chains moving hitting over 57% on 3rd downs.
Michigan State -$275 Wow, that was pathetic. Settling for FG's instead of TD's in the first half, drops, penalties and eventually getting shredded on the ground were all factors. What does this say about Michigan?
Pittsburgh -$275 Good start but an INT in the end zone and a missed FG in the 2nd quarter shifted the momentum towards Miami. James Conner only had 12 carries and was used as a decoy in the first half... I don't understand that at all. I looked hard the Over in this one also, should have played that instead... 8 Overs in a row for Pitt.
Louisiana Tech +$250 Make it 4-0 this year on Bulldogs games as Ryan Higgins threw 4 TD's to Carlos Henderson and LTech used a balanced attack to hold off North Texas
Nebraska -$275
Nebraska ML -$100 Who knows if it would have been different if Tommy Armstrong stayed in the game, but this got ugly fast and the Huskers were hopeless without him. Glad to see OSU woke up from their slumber the past few weeks.
Tulsa +$300Both Brewer and Flanders ran for 180 yards and the Tulsa defense held ECU to 37 yards rushing as they dominated at home. Tulsa ran 91 plays as predicted.
Week 10: 3-4 -$225
YTD: 32-21-1 +$1625
Not a devastating week, but disappointing for sure as once again I held off on 2 winners that I planned on taking all week (ODU, Wyoming). Only my 2nd losing week of the season and Pitt was my 1st loss in a game involving the ACC.
On to next week!
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Week 10 review:
Georgia Tech/UNC Over +$150 Combined for 44 in the first half and finished it off early in the 4th. Both teams kept the chains moving hitting over 57% on 3rd downs.
Michigan State -$275 Wow, that was pathetic. Settling for FG's instead of TD's in the first half, drops, penalties and eventually getting shredded on the ground were all factors. What does this say about Michigan?
Pittsburgh -$275 Good start but an INT in the end zone and a missed FG in the 2nd quarter shifted the momentum towards Miami. James Conner only had 12 carries and was used as a decoy in the first half... I don't understand that at all. I looked hard the Over in this one also, should have played that instead... 8 Overs in a row for Pitt.
Louisiana Tech +$250 Make it 4-0 this year on Bulldogs games as Ryan Higgins threw 4 TD's to Carlos Henderson and LTech used a balanced attack to hold off North Texas
Nebraska -$275
Nebraska ML -$100 Who knows if it would have been different if Tommy Armstrong stayed in the game, but this got ugly fast and the Huskers were hopeless without him. Glad to see OSU woke up from their slumber the past few weeks.
Tulsa +$300Both Brewer and Flanders ran for 180 yards and the Tulsa defense held ECU to 37 yards rushing as they dominated at home. Tulsa ran 91 plays as predicted.
Week 10: 3-4 -$225
YTD: 32-21-1 +$1625
Not a devastating week, but disappointing for sure as once again I held off on 2 winners that I planned on taking all week (ODU, Wyoming). Only my 2nd losing week of the season and Pitt was my 1st loss in a game involving the ACC.
Can't wait for the 26th now that Urban righted the ship.
i agree with you BWS!! i have been saying this all along. Michigan is Ohio State from 2002-2010... good enough to manhandle the weak B1G teams, yet when SEC type teams come into play them its another story... look at osu/fla 2006, osu/lsu 2007, osu/usc 2008/09. im well aware of it because being a buckeye fan i lived the pain that UM fans will experience more than likely against urban and his crew, if they somehow manage to win and get into the playoffs and get a first round matchup with BAMA i may take out a loan to bet against this michigan team.
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Quote Originally Posted by BWS77:
Can't wait for the 26th now that Urban righted the ship.
i agree with you BWS!! i have been saying this all along. Michigan is Ohio State from 2002-2010... good enough to manhandle the weak B1G teams, yet when SEC type teams come into play them its another story... look at osu/fla 2006, osu/lsu 2007, osu/usc 2008/09. im well aware of it because being a buckeye fan i lived the pain that UM fans will experience more than likely against urban and his crew, if they somehow manage to win and get into the playoffs and get a first round matchup with BAMA i may take out a loan to bet against this michigan team.
i agree with you BWS!! i have been saying this all along. Michigan is Ohio State from 2002-2010... good enough to manhandle the weak B1G teams, yet when SEC type teams come into play them its another story... look at osu/fla 2006, osu/lsu 2007, osu/usc 2008/09. im well aware of it because being a buckeye fan i lived the pain that UM fans will experience more than likely against urban and his crew, if they somehow manage to win and get into the playoffs and get a first round matchup with BAMA i may take out a loan to bet against this michigan team.
I'm in NE Ohio... big Bucks fan. Best football team in the state
I agree with that assessment of UM. Betting wise, even if they somehow beat OSU, I would put a massive bet on whomever they match up with in the Playoffs. Either Clemson or Bama would spank them. Remember what Bama did to Sparty last year? It would be just like that.
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Quote Originally Posted by traderjoe13:
i agree with you BWS!! i have been saying this all along. Michigan is Ohio State from 2002-2010... good enough to manhandle the weak B1G teams, yet when SEC type teams come into play them its another story... look at osu/fla 2006, osu/lsu 2007, osu/usc 2008/09. im well aware of it because being a buckeye fan i lived the pain that UM fans will experience more than likely against urban and his crew, if they somehow manage to win and get into the playoffs and get a first round matchup with BAMA i may take out a loan to bet against this michigan team.
I'm in NE Ohio... big Bucks fan. Best football team in the state
I agree with that assessment of UM. Betting wise, even if they somehow beat OSU, I would put a massive bet on whomever they match up with in the Playoffs. Either Clemson or Bama would spank them. Remember what Bama did to Sparty last year? It would be just like that.
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Can't wait for the 26th now that Urban righted the ship. 
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