UGA has a better coach and talent and playing in their own backyard.
You didn't even watch the OSU vs Michigan game if you think they got rolled. It was a 1 score game with 8 minutes left. Michigan broke 2 long runs late to make it look worse than it was.
You didn't even watch the OSU vs Michigan game if you think they got rolled. It was a 1 score game with 8 minutes left. Michigan broke 2 long runs late to make it look worse than it was.
If we really look at it, OSU gave up 45 to Mich, 30 to Maryland and 31 to Penn St. The only teams OSU feasted on were teams like Indiana and Northwestern( 2 teams that have an ave offense of 3 pppg..lol) and now they get to play a team that scores 45 pure point per game (recent road) and gives up 16 per gm on defense recent road) The key here for me is that if anyone knows anything about power ratings and AOPR ( ave opp power ratings) when we cap Bolw games and plyoff games you must use both clubs road stats and power rating stats. Georgia has played LSU/Kent/Misst/ and Flor in its last 4 road game series. Georgia offense143 PF defense 64PA in those games using a pure points method Geo true point differential is +79 divided by 4 games ( is a 19.5 win margin, Georgia 4 opp AOPR in that series is 80. So basically G is beating that AOPR by 19.5 pure pts per game giving G a 99.75 road rating. OSU PF 122 and PA 81. True pt diff is +10. OSU AOPR is 74.5 (thats minus 5 pts in AOPR vs G's 80 ie SOS strength of schedule) and OSU beating their AOPR by 13 pppg. This all calculated using pure points and 4 the last 4 gm road series fo ea club ( Pure points is method used to get to a raw PF / PA by removing the noise from ea. final score ie pts off turnovers.
G 80 +19.5= 99.5
OSU 74.5 +10= 84.5
This method calculates a +15 pt advantage for G and the line in -6 ..interesting
Lets do a score cast off the pure points calculations
Geo ave PF in the 4 gm rd series is 42/ PA 16 ( mind you that thats vs a +5.5 SOS ( stronger teams than what OSU played on the rd in their 4 gm series)
OSU ave PF 29 / ave PA 25 .. basically OSU gave up 25 pure points per gm on the road in thier last 4 gm rd series vs a weaker set of teams Mich st/Penn St/NWestrn/ Maryland. The only Top 5 power team in that series is Penn St and OSU lost that game 23-31 ( pure pts) and lets not forget they got crushed by another Power 5 team in Mich..and that was at home, and now they go on the road and are suppose to beat the reigning NC's or cover -6...This line is soft
Lets calculate a final score using the off and def averages ( pure pts)
Georgia 42-16 ( ave score last 4 gm rd series)
OSU 29-25 ( ave score last 4 rd series)
When we calculate a final score what we want to do is take G's 42 and add OSU def of 25 which is 67 now subtract 20 pts ( which is the the mean ave score of all football games since the beginning of time ,,its just an ave to get to where we want to go. theoretically Georgia will score 47 pts in this game. Now we will take OSU's off of 29 + G's defense of 16 is 45 - 20 = 25. OSU scores 25 if even that vs Georgia +5.5 SOS defense
Final Score 47-25
Pick: Georgia -6 ( Max Wager )
If we really look at it, OSU gave up 45 to Mich, 30 to Maryland and 31 to Penn St. The only teams OSU feasted on were teams like Indiana and Northwestern( 2 teams that have an ave offense of 3 pppg..lol) and now they get to play a team that scores 45 pure point per game (recent road) and gives up 16 per gm on defense recent road) The key here for me is that if anyone knows anything about power ratings and AOPR ( ave opp power ratings) when we cap Bolw games and plyoff games you must use both clubs road stats and power rating stats. Georgia has played LSU/Kent/Misst/ and Flor in its last 4 road game series. Georgia offense143 PF defense 64PA in those games using a pure points method Geo true point differential is +79 divided by 4 games ( is a 19.5 win margin, Georgia 4 opp AOPR in that series is 80. So basically G is beating that AOPR by 19.5 pure pts per game giving G a 99.75 road rating. OSU PF 122 and PA 81. True pt diff is +10. OSU AOPR is 74.5 (thats minus 5 pts in AOPR vs G's 80 ie SOS strength of schedule) and OSU beating their AOPR by 13 pppg. This all calculated using pure points and 4 the last 4 gm road series fo ea club ( Pure points is method used to get to a raw PF / PA by removing the noise from ea. final score ie pts off turnovers.
G 80 +19.5= 99.5
OSU 74.5 +10= 84.5
This method calculates a +15 pt advantage for G and the line in -6 ..interesting
Lets do a score cast off the pure points calculations
Geo ave PF in the 4 gm rd series is 42/ PA 16 ( mind you that thats vs a +5.5 SOS ( stronger teams than what OSU played on the rd in their 4 gm series)
OSU ave PF 29 / ave PA 25 .. basically OSU gave up 25 pure points per gm on the road in thier last 4 gm rd series vs a weaker set of teams Mich st/Penn St/NWestrn/ Maryland. The only Top 5 power team in that series is Penn St and OSU lost that game 23-31 ( pure pts) and lets not forget they got crushed by another Power 5 team in Mich..and that was at home, and now they go on the road and are suppose to beat the reigning NC's or cover -6...This line is soft
Lets calculate a final score using the off and def averages ( pure pts)
Georgia 42-16 ( ave score last 4 gm rd series)
OSU 29-25 ( ave score last 4 rd series)
When we calculate a final score what we want to do is take G's 42 and add OSU def of 25 which is 67 now subtract 20 pts ( which is the the mean ave score of all football games since the beginning of time ,,its just an ave to get to where we want to go. theoretically Georgia will score 47 pts in this game. Now we will take OSU's off of 29 + G's defense of 16 is 45 - 20 = 25. OSU scores 25 if even that vs Georgia +5.5 SOS defense
Final Score 47-25
Pick: Georgia -6 ( Max Wager )
A one score game for 12 seconds. Out scored 28-3 in second half.
Will say this, Buckeyes are given 2nd chance, they will be motivated. If Georgia let's them hang around early we have a game. IMO, if Bulldogs go up by 14 Buckeyes fold.
A one score game for 12 seconds. Out scored 28-3 in second half.
Will say this, Buckeyes are given 2nd chance, they will be motivated. If Georgia let's them hang around early we have a game. IMO, if Bulldogs go up by 14 Buckeyes fold.
I live in south Cobb drive and the stadium is closed to the mall
I graduated from gsu 1998 major in cs. Im ? IT specialist networking security working from home.
I live in south Cobb drive and the stadium is closed to the mall
I graduated from gsu 1998 major in cs. Im ? IT specialist networking security working from home.
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