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YPPT Projection Model for 2010/11

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Prospect
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Posted: #26
Great Call on Rice.... i tailed it and cashed!!!  Thanks and keep up the good work
 
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Posted: #27

Sorry Roughshod31,

Wisconsin  46

UNLV  7

Thats What I Got When I YPPT This Game Tonight.

 
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Posted: #28

rough..

 

Any plays meet the requirements today?

 
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Posted: #29

9/5  ( 7-5-1 YTD )

Sorry gang neither one of todays games meet System Requirements. Talk to you all tomorrow.

GL & Be Safe

 
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Posted: #30

Things of Interest

I have gone through all the games to date in current season and have some findings you might find interesting.

1. Games where Projection Model predicts the Favorite will cover ( not based on greater than 7 pt. differential.) Teams are a combined 9 - 0 ATS.

2. Games where Projection Model predicts Favorite will Lose the game outright the Favorites are a combined 4-0-1 ATS.

3. Games where the Projection Model shows the Favorite will win by 70% of the line but not 100% Teams are a combined 6-7 ATS.

4. Games where Projection Model shows the Favorite will win by 69% of the given line or Less are a combined 2-4-1 ATS.

Any Interest in just noting numbers 1 & 2 for now everyone?


 
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Posted: #31
Projection Model Underdog Record YTD ( 3-3-1 ). (Using 7 Pt. Differential).
 
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Posted: #32

9/5 Projection Model Todays Games Predicted Margins.

Tulsa 7.95 ( Line -7.0 )

Texas Tech 15.55 ( Line -13.0 )

GL

 
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Posted: #33

Roughshod31,

 

Would you mind sharing how you developed your system. I am currently building my own but can definalty  use some advice. I am very good in excel and am wondering if you use excel too. Also if you did use excel would you mind sending me the spread sheet?

 
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Posted: #34
hey does tulsa fall in category 1?
 
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Posted: #35

Quote Originally Posted by paco1018:

hey does tulsa fall in category 1?

YES

 
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Posted: #36

Quote Originally Posted by paco1018:

hey does tulsa fall in category 1?

YES

 
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Posted: #37
Roughshod31, I developed an Access database to track the matchups week to week comparing their Sagarin ratings.  I am interested in your YPPT system.  I've been a custom software developer for the last 15 years and I'm very proficient in Excel and Access.  I would like to share info, methods and tools on systems. 

Add me as a friend.
 
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Posted: #38
Yes, I would agree with only posting category 1 and 2
 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by Firebird27:

Roughshod31, I developed an Access database to track the matchups week to week comparing their Sagarin ratings.  I am interested in your YPPT system.  I've been a custom software developer for the last 15 years and I'm very proficient in Excel and Access.  I would like to share info, methods and tools on systems. 

Add me as a friend.


I added you, need some help with excel..
 
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Posted: #40

9/6  7-7-1 YTD

Sorry folks yesterday was a tough day.

Todays Selection

Maryland +6.5             Maryland (1.5)                   (51)

I made a few minor adjustments to the System, we'll have to see how things go moving forward.

I personally buy the HOOK in games like this, I feel its a little added insurance.

GL & Happy Labor Day

 
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Posted: #41
What SOS ratings do you use? If you change the rating system does it effect your formula at all

 
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Posted: #42

9/6     8-7-1 YTD

Category #2

Virginia Tech -1.5

GL

 
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Posted: #43

Boise State 29 VT 25

Boise State by 4

Boise State +1.50 (5.5)

Boise State should win outright.

 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by butta01:



I added you, need some help with excel..


Shoot me a note and I can see what I can to help you out.  I'm well versed using pivot tables and formulas like vlookup and getpivotdata, etc.
 
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Posted: #45

how is it looking for the nfl.....will you be using the same system from last year?  As i recall it did pretty well

 

 
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Posted: #46

Any plays for tonite in the nfl or college?

 
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Posted: #47

9/9    8-8-1 YTD

Temple -7.0          Temple (19.0)          (56)

GL 

 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by roughshod31:

9/9    8-8-1 YTD

Temple -7.0          Temple (19.0)          (56)

GL 

Who Do You Like Today?
 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by roughshod31:

9/9    8-8-1 YTD

Temple -7.0          Temple (19.0)          (56)

GL 


what site do you use for stats for yppt? I cant find one that has more than last weeks stats on it... thanks for the time
 
 
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Posted: #50

9/11      8-9-1  YTD

It has been a rough start to the season, hope to get things turned around today.

Early Games 12:00 - 4:00 PM

BEST BET

Memphis +13.5


Regular Selections

Hawaii +3.0

Arkansas State +2.0

Oklahoma -7.0

BYU +1.5

GL

Be back for evening games.

 

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