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Alabama-Birmingham at Central Florida (10/06/2010)

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Posted: #51
Two concerns,

1.  Is this a let down game for UAB after losing a hearbreaker they desired to, and should have, won?

2.  UAB struggled with two Sun Belt teams, granted Troy is not bad, and got rolled at SMU.  I think Cent. FLA at home is as good at SMU.  Yet, Cent. Fla. struggled at Buffalo.

I am leaning small play on Cen Fla, mainly due to let down factor for UAB.
 
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Posted: #52
I was gonna take United Auto Brokers but apparently a wad was dropped on them overnight to knock the spread down 2 pts so I'll pass on the side now and just try to bring in the -- UNDER 48.5
 
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Posted: #53
UAB -13 locked in ......  hope this isn't a let down game for them ! 
 
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Posted: #54
Quote Originally Posted by 0ahuGrown:

are you serious !?!?!?!?!?!? what makes you lean on CF ?????

Are you nuts he wont answer that but if it wins he will be in here tonight pounding his chest like the worlds smartest guy..Dudes a fucking joke!
 
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Posted: #55
UAB hasn't played anyone with any real defense and team speed.  You could argue that Tenn is that.....but, that is like saying my Irish have good D and team speed.  UCF ranks #10 in the country in yards allowed, UAB rankes #24 in yards gained, while playing nobody that has stopped anybody this year!!!  That is why the number looks a little high.  Looks like the public loves the dog and Vegas is abliging by moving the number down a bit.  I'll stay with my first gut reaction and say that UCF rolls here and doesn't let UAB score more than 17.  They might move it up and down the field ok, but scoring on this UCF Def is tougher than you think.  Ask NC st. how good they are??  Go back and look at that game.  I'll cover the points tonight.  It feels like a lot for this game, but after looking at it closely, I think it's a classic cover/under game with the favorite.  Just the way the books like to see it. 
 
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Posted: #56
UAB +12 

Under 48.5
 
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Posted: #57
uab plus 11.5 is the play central fla has no buisness giving double digit points and uab has played well vs some decent teams take the points uab + 11.5.....$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
 
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Posted: #58

Line seemed about right at 13.  UAB is 1-3, and playing on the road.  Central Florida has made a name over the last few years as a decent team.  Public seemed to agree,  splitiing about 50/50.

I was leaning UAB anyways because. although 3 of their 4 games were close, I think the line got driven up by their 1-3 record and public perception of the Knights.  Then the line fell to 12.5.  More people on Central Florida - makes sense.  But the line fell again.  And then again.  Why is Vegas asking us to bet on Central Florida?  I always bet with Vegas...

UAB +11.5

 
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Posted: #59
Quote Originally Posted by Ber:

UAB is a covering machine, they are very good when it comes to the spread.  For some reason I feel that UCF will blowout UAB!

UCF-12.5 and over 49.5

Way to contradict yourself!

 
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Posted: #60
Quote Originally Posted by 808pickyboy:

Why is UAB the underdog? I checked out the lines this week guys and I gotta say that the dogs in a lot of the games are the way to go. Cen Flo has a better "D"? Who did they play? Buffallo! Common man! UAB played Tennessee and I know this year they are not to strong of a measuring stick but Troy on the other hand is for real ya'll. I say that UAB wins this one straight up. Better offense for sure by a long shot.
The dogs have not been that great overall so far this year. Last year I took the Dog and the U in CFB for just about every single game on the wagerline contest.

 Near the middle ofthe season I was as low as 250th place out of several thousand contestents purlly betting blind. This year I tried it again and it is a different ball game. Only 176-182-12 for 49.16% and 8122th place using the exact same "system" if you can call it that. And that is after going 2-0 last night.
 
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Posted: #61
Quote Originally Posted by hilltopdoc:

  why the flip flop there?
Yeah what he said. I was liking the points but then saw Lifter and oahuboy going the other way and now I am
 
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Posted: #62
under 49.5

freshman qb for ucf, they will try and pound the ball, uab rush defense is not that bad, pass D on the other hand is suspect. 

Staying away from either teams side though
 
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Posted: #63

Leaning on taking Central Florida....I think the UCF defense and strong running game will take a lot of pressure off their young QB. I feel too much credit is given to UAB for hanging in with Tenn. It's a Tenn team that has their 2nd coach in 2 years and a Tenn team that was possibly looking ahead at the Georgia game but anyway bascially Tenn beat a D-2 team in TennMar and UAB to be 2-3 this season....Tenn defense ranks 77th in the nation and Central Florida's defense is ranked 10th....so if you look at it the other way around and ask yourself....Damn! UAB lost to a struggling Tennesse team? You would possibly feel the same way I do about why I like UCF...I'm not saying i'm right but that's just my points why I like UCF.

The key for UCF in winning and covering the double digit spread will rely on the sucess of their running game. Establish the run early and often...take time off the clock...score and leave it to your defense to get the ball back. I have seen UCF play on t.v. and that defense has got some speed everywhere on defense.

My lean is on UCF final

 
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Posted: #64
Where the unda gods at? 
 
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Posted: #65
I got UAB at +13 this morning now its down to +11.5 I still think it won't matter if you still want to get in. UCF may win this by 6 points at best.
 
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Posted: #66

Quote Originally Posted by Bigmoneymann:

I got UAB at +13 this morning now its down to +11.5 I still think it won't matter if you still want to get in. UCF may win this by 6 points at best.

WELL PUT!

GL

 
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Posted: #67

I am just playing total....OVER.

GL on sides.....
I may put a very small wager on Central Fla.  but still undecided...

 
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Posted: #68
[Quote: Originally Posted by Whalewatcher]

Way to contradict yourself!

 

 

It's a gut feeling that I have and I go with my gut more then I do with the facts.  UCF 35- UAB 17.  Don't ever quote me again like that!

 
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Posted: #69
over 49 small play.

central florida likes to pour it on when they play on tv.  just hope their defense doesn't stop uab either.  gun 2 my head, I play +11.5 on UAB
 
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Posted: #70
UAB +11.5  Dont like to go against Wlifter and ouahboy. UCF young QB.  UAB 9 return on def. Revenge. Hoping for a competitive game unlike that garbage last night.
 
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Posted: #71

It sure would make this site a helluva lot more useful and interesting if you guys would post some damn handicapping opinions... instead of pulling a pick outta your ass and posting... "Team A... LARGE!"  Now, what the hell does that mean? 

C 'mon, fellas... we're all trying to score some cash... let's get serious about some damn handicapping!

 
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Posted: #72

Only thing that scares me in this game is the size of UAB def line vs UCF offensive line, should be difficult to run against.. what I do like is this team and the fans will be fired up unlike last night.  UCF has given away 41,000 tickets to the gae to students and faculty.. UCF has a great d im going UCF and Under..

 
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Posted: #73
I'm on UCF laying the chalk here @ home vs. a team that may be largely deflated due to the heartbreaker in Knoxville.





UCF -11.5
 
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Posted: #74
Hey... no offense, W8Lifter... but, you're a perfect example.  If you guys are so damn great at handicapping... how 'bout laying out some fucking reasoning?  I don't think I've ever seen anything from you except whatever pick you got... and if you lose (cue crickets).  And if you win... chest banging.
 
 
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Posted: #75
Past two games they have played and all my gathered info =




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