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Iowa State at Baylor (10/19/2013)

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Posted: #1

Away:  Iowa State [3-2 ATS]
Home:  Baylor [4-1 ATS]

Game Time: 7:00 PM
Stadium: Floyd Casey Stadium

Recent Meetings:
10/27/12 - BAY 21 vs. ISU 35
10/08/11 - ISU 26 vs. BAY 49
10/17/09 - BAY 10 vs. ISU 24

Team Leaders:

Iowa State:
Passing: Sam Richardson (1187)
Rushing: Aaron Wimberly (367)
Receiving: Quenton Bundrage (375)

Baylor:
Passing: Bryce Petty (1690)
Rushing: Lache Seastrunk (648)
Receiving: Antwan Goodley (679)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

 
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Posted: #2
CYCLONES+31, crazy a** line, large play, no real need for talk just check the numbers, iowa state loses by 1 to texas, by 7 to texas tech, by 6 to iowa, (and are way past that 8 point loss to northern iowa) and yet are 31 point dogs to baylor, this line is weak, take it down, 
 
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Posted: #3
Quote Originally Posted by thesoulpurpose:

CYCLONES+31, crazy a** line, large play, no real need for talk just check the numbers, iowa state loses by 1 to texas, by 7 to texas tech, by 6 to iowa, (and are way past that 8 point loss to northern iowa) and yet are 31 point dogs to baylor, this line is weak, take it down, 
Right on brother!This line is a jokeLook who Baylor has playedThis is my GAME OF THE DAYCYCLONES +31 triple up on this play
 
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Posted: #4
Baylor -31
 
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Posted: #5
baylor gonna destroy them at home! -31 baylor!
 
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Posted: #6
Well based on those close outcomes why is line still so high??? Bay might be the large. Ov too?
 
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Posted: #7
this line seems to be based on baylors offensive numbers at home vs iowa states offensive numbers in general, I will put my logic on the fact that iowa state has played good competition this year and has not lost by more than 8,(as I mentioned in post 2) add to the fact that the cyclones beat baylor last year, so they have the style to stop the very good offence of baylor...or at least slow it down enough to be well withing the 31 points that they are being given, I actually feel that the cyclones have a better shot at a stright up win (which they did last year) than baylor does in covering this massive 31 point line (now 34 in some places) biggest play of the weekend for me by far. 
 
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Posted: #8
This line jumps off the page!  I don't get it.  Baylor should win by 17-21 points,  I got Iowa State at +34.  Too good to be true?  Probably...  LOL
 
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Posted: #9
Ben Burns free picks on Baylor H 
 
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Posted: #10
Trap play maybe guys....Vegas wants you to bet the underdog !?
GL
 
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Posted: #11
Over all day!
 
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Posted: #12
Trap like setting no doubt! I think Iowa st will finally come apart after getting robbed in Tex game few weeks back. Losing eats at ya!!!
 
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Posted: #13
every week they are games in which betters call a trap game and traditionally that is what they are, but for those that are really studying these games this year know that vegas is getting a lot of these "gift" games wrong this year, take thursday night games for instance, almost every week their have been games that seem to good to be true,but they turn out to be the right pick, you know what it is? vegas being dead wrong about a game.. and this is happening more this year than I have ever seen before, usually when we see a game with the label of "TRAP" game, It is just that, at least a very high percentage of the time, this year it seems to be 50/50, they are dead wrong on this one, so for those of us on THE CYCLONES, take the gift and lets make some money..  I have been taking these "GIFTS" all year and will continue to do so until vegas gets their garbage together, hopefully later rather than sooner..
 
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Posted: #14
s**t was blanked and turned to garbage by the site
 
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Posted: #15
If Baylor puts up their average of 70 pts (Well it was before last week) and Iowa St gets their normal 35 or somewhere around there, then that means Baylor still covers.

Not sure where you get your logic from Mr Quebec. I do agree with your looking at past stats, that works well sometimes. However you are missing the fact that Baylor is a very explosive offense and is due for another 60 to 70 pt game. 

Not to mention this could be a revenge matchup. I think vegas suckered you into the wrong side here, as they do with the majority of the public. But good luck anyway. 
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

If Baylor puts up their average of 70 pts (Well it was before last week) and Iowa St gets their normal 35 or somewhere around there, then that means Baylor still covers.

Not sure where you get your logic from Mr Quebec. I do agree with your looking at past stats, that works well sometimes. However you are missing the fact that Baylor is a very explosive offense and is due for another 60 to 70 pt game. 

Not to mention this could be a revenge matchup. I think vegas suckered you into the wrong side here, as they do with the majority of the public. But good luck anyway. 
you are wrong and I am far from a mainstream better, baylor puts up 70 against weak teams that are not competative, so where do you get your logic from, this is baylor not oregon and believe me their is a big difference, iowa state is a very competative team as I mentioned in post 2 and as we all konw, but I have no  desire to talk about this one anymore, the outcome will show who is correct on this one
 
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Posted: #17
Baylor runs the spread offense. The big 12 is full of them and the defenses know the ins and outs of these. Oregon has a unique situation in which they are really the only one running that specific type of offense. Harder to adapt to because other teams do not run it and do not face it as often. This makes oregon so explosive.
Now while Baylor has been great on offense and had some great games. Last week they were unable to separate themselves from Kansas st. Their defense is also suspect. I will be taking Iowa state + points. Isu has a scrappy unit that expects to win. They have upset a ranked team in like the last 4 years.
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by thesoulpurpose:

you are wrong and I am far from a mainstream better, baylor puts up 70 against weak teams that are not competative, so where do you get your logic from, this is baylor not oregon and believe me their is a big difference, iowa state is a very competative team as I mentioned in post 2 and as we all konw, but I have no  desire to talk about this one anymore, the outcome will show who is correct on this one


It's my opinion (And Vegas opinion as well obviously by looking at the spread) that Iowa State is a crappy team. Baylor should put up 70 on them. I don't know everything but I do know that Baylor is going to want revenge for this one. Iowa St. Beat them last year.
 
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Posted: #19
Also I should note that I had a dream last night that I was riding a "Baylor" brand bicycle. And the other night I was driving this bad azz "Auburn" car. 

I trust Auburn will cover, hopefully my Baylor dream is not leading me in the wrong direction.

Can you at least speculate as to why Vegas would have this spread so high, if I. State is such a decent team? Vegas isn't dumb. They know the competition that Baylor has played against. 

They have managed to get probably most of the public off of Baylor this week.  Baylor has been covering nearly every spread so that could be one reason they did this. They like to even things out
 
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Posted: #20
Well can I ask you what you think about the teaser on Baylor? They are -21.5 here in Vegas? Do you think they will win by at least 3 TD's and a FG?
 
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Posted: #21
Why lose money on a teaser?  Just bet the other way.  I like the OP's take on it.  Iowa State vs TT and Tx are pretty convincing arguments.  I haven't seen an Iowa State game this year...has their offense changed much, because they DID beat Baylor last year.
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by MauiWarrior:

Why lose money on a teaser?  Just bet the other way.  I like the OP's take on it.  Iowa State vs TT and Tx are pretty convincing arguments.  I haven't seen an Iowa State game this year...has their offense changed much, because they DID beat Baylor last year.

Lose money on a teaser? Have no clue what youre talkin bout. I win lots of money on teasers. Teasers are the way to go if you can figure out which games are traps, which vegas makes it pretty obvious which games are.
 
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Posted: #23
I watchced one of I. St's games this year and I can say they looked absolutely like a high school team to me. But what do I know. I don't watch a lot of games. I just think there's a reason for this line. I know vegas plays mind games but I think this line is right here.
 
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Posted: #24
ISU +33!

Cyclones run, run and run some more, eat the clock, score just enough, and keep the Baylor offensive machine off the field.


 
 
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Posted: #25
Baylor is incredible offensively, defensively they remain suspect. I said this earlier in the season with the Tulsa match up and the Texas matchup that ISU is improving and continues to improve. I look at the loss to Texas as a big step in the right direction for that team as there was a crappy call that affected the outcome, and IMO ISU outplayed Texas and should have won. 

With that said Baylor lets up points. I am taking my chances and saying they do not cover 32.5 (my local). ISU has a strong enough O to lay down at least 21 on Baylor if not more. 
Gonna sweat a bit but backdoor for the cover mid 4th

Baylor 52
ISU.    24

Then again wtf do i know. Just a guess. Good luck all. 
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