Alright.. I actually haven't done a good writeup in a while, but I feel that now would be the perfect time to do one.. the reason I don't do as much anymore, is because my writeups are usually long and time consuming.. not to mention I usually get bashed afterwards.. anyways, here you guys go:
Kansas State @ Kansas +3.5:
Kansas Offense vs K-State Defense:
Kansas is led by QB Jordan Webb, who has passed for 762 yards this season with a 6/3 TD to INT ratio.. along with him in the backfield, is James Sims, who is gaining 4.9 YPC on the ground.. Kansas would be wise to run the ball against the K-State defense, as they allow close to 250 yards per game on the ground.. They will establish the run, which we all know will lead to big plays through the air off of play action..
K-State Offense vs Kansas Defense:
K-State on offense is pretty one sided.. they like to run the ball with their stud running back Daniel Thomas, who has run for 691 yards this year.. that's about all they can do.. the problem is, teams are starting to key in on that and stacking the box with 8-9 defenders, which shows up on the stat sheet, as Thomas has only rushed for under 80 yards in both of his last two games.. QB Carson Coffman has nearly identical stats to his counterpart on the other side, throwing for 730 yards and the same TD/INT ratio.. the Wildcats will also be with out their starting receiver Brodrick Smith.. I look for the Kansas defense to take away the run game and make Coffman win the game for them, much like UCF and Nebraska did..
Special Teams:
This is the one area that is a problem for Kansas.. Kicker Jacob Bransetter is only 2-5 on the year, 0-3 from outside of 40 yards.. this may pose a problem when Kansas drives down the field, making them punt or go for it on 4th without a reliable kicker.. K-State on the other hand has a kicker that is 5-5 on FGs..
Intangibles:
Kansas is 3-1 in the last 4 games played between the two both SU and ATS.. This is K-State's first road game as well, in what should be a charged atmosphere..
Why Kansas will win/cover:
Offensively, Kansas should be able to run the ball and set up the pass with the run, taking advantage of the play action.. Defensively, Kansas should be able to shut down the run and make K-State pass, something that it just isn't that good at doing..