Kansas State at Texas (11/19/2011)

Away:  Kansas State [8-2 ATS]
Home:  Texas [5-4 ATS]

Game Time: 8:00 PM
Stadium: Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium

Recent Meetings:
11/06/10 - TEXAS 14 vs. KANST 39
09/29/07 - KANST 41 vs. TEXAS 21
11/11/06 - TEXAS 42 vs. KANST 45

Team Leaders:

Kansas State:
Passing: Collin Klein (1504)
Rushing: Collin Klein (1009)
Receiving: Chris Harper (509)

Texas:
Passing: David Ash (887)
Rushing: Malcolm Brown (635)
Receiving: Mike Davis (521)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

I got KSU +10.  Yes, I am a Texas Homer...what does Vegas know that we all don't?  

Granted, Texas had some untimely RB injuries against Missouri, and KSU had an emotional win from behind against A&M...but, anyone who saw that Texas O against Missouri would wonder how Texas will win another game this year.  Our D is very good, but you can't win the game unless you can score...

Klein impresses me...in addition, KSU always plays us tough or beats us whether or not Texas is ranked higher or whetehr the game is in Austin  or Manhatten.

I thought the spread would be about Texas -3 at the most.  If anyone comes up with any explanation why Texas is favored by 10 or even why Texas is even favored, please post it here...

for those of you who are on texas and willing to give 9 or 10 points, please explain why you think Texas will cover...

this should be interesting...

I am starting to think they put it so high to make you think twice ? To think it is a trap ? Then you wont unload on KSU.

If the spread was Texas -4, how would you feel ? You would be all over KSU thinking this is a good win for them but at the very least they will fight to the end and cover with the 4. But when its this high you think twice and have to ponder as to why ? GOT YA !

Plus enough people will think Trap (for sure) buying into the idea of they know something we dont ??? hmmmmmm what is it. Well if everyone else is pounding KSU I am going to pound Texas and then brag about it on Covers... GOT YA AGAIN !

And the bookies and houses laugh all the way getting in enough on either side to prevent a dissssssaster.... But only a sharp can come on here and tell me if this is true, or am I thinking too much into it.....

Maybe I should avoid this game.... hmmmmm... GOT YA AGAIN !

Dammit, why did I not just take KSU....

And this is what we are all thinking.... or some of us anyway.

The +8 actually makes sense (at least to me).

Kstate has had sucess against really bad run defenses.  Going back to the Baylor game, KState has played only 1 team with a legit run defense (Oklahoma).  Yes. Texas A & M has a high ranked run defense, but that his because their pass defense is ranked almost dead last, so teams don't run the ball on them. 

Out of all the teams Kstate has played, only one team has had both a solid pass & run defense, Oklahoma.  Texas will be the second.  They have a stingy run defense, ranked 7th.  They have a solid pass defense.  Kstate is almost dead last in the country in pass offense.  Meaning, if Texas puts them in a lot of 3rd & 8's situations, they will struggle.

The line is based off of Kstate not being able to move the ball with much success, therefore giving Texas more oppotunities with the ball.  Yes.  Texas too will struggle, because they have dealt with some injuries, and have had young inexperienced QB's.  But if you look at the actual "match-up"..  it tells you that Texas will have the ball much more that Kstate, thus having more chances to score & make plays. 

Personally, I think the play is the Under.

Kansas St wins this outright.

KANSAS ST +??

there is no trap here...the books don't respect ksu because ou blew them out at ksu in the 2nd half...

texas has key injuries to 3 true freshman, yes, true freshmen.  even if they were healthy, i still think ksu would cover and probably win outright.

there are some injury concerns with ksu qb klein, but he has played the last 2 weeks fine.

the texas d will play pretty well, but unless we can offense, that we did njot have last night, ksu will win this game.

i was able to get KSU +10.

i have told my other texas homers, if texas wins this game by 11+ and I lose my bet, texas will finish 9+3 and play in the alamo bowl.

i just don't see don't see us winning this game...

I'm not falling for the Vegas trickeration.  I don't know why KSU is getting so many points.  I don't care.  If they can't fight......especially when an outright win is not out of the question, then I guess I lose.

                                                Kansas State  +8

Somthing isn't right here as far as the line goes.  I don't think this is going to be a shootout.  Texas playing at home, at night, last one of the season, K-States long game last week, Texas poor showing, Texas  not having a big win yet this year, K-State ranked. 

 Think I am going under.  Good luck players