Great site for an opening game! So much fooball history in Green Bay, WI. Home Field Advantage (3 pts.) goes to the Badgers. This will be a close game but the "Mad Hatter" will have a few tricks up his sleeve and the Wisconsin fans will get a few lessons in Voodoo and Witchcraft; especially as the sun is setting in West. LSU wins by 4 points.
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Great site for an opening game! So much fooball history in Green Bay, WI. Home Field Advantage (3 pts.) goes to the Badgers. This will be a close game but the "Mad Hatter" will have a few tricks up his sleeve and the Wisconsin fans will get a few lessons in Voodoo and Witchcraft; especially as the sun is setting in West. LSU wins by 4 points.
I like to bet visiting favorites money line when they are favored by 7 to 14 points. The home field advantage is a bit more than 3 points so the visiting team is clearly superior on paper. The games can be close and of course upsets happen BUT going back 4 years and looking at all the games fitting this model you will win almost 60% of the time.
I was surprised to find this out but it is true. The home team plays with more heart but by the second half talent prevails. The big problem with betting the point spread of 7 or more points s the losing team tries like hell to score but the winning team just tries to kill the clock.
I don't play every game that fits this model, If I have a lean on the favorite already, which I do on LSU, then I play it Money line.
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I like to bet visiting favorites money line when they are favored by 7 to 14 points. The home field advantage is a bit more than 3 points so the visiting team is clearly superior on paper. The games can be close and of course upsets happen BUT going back 4 years and looking at all the games fitting this model you will win almost 60% of the time.
I was surprised to find this out but it is true. The home team plays with more heart but by the second half talent prevails. The big problem with betting the point spread of 7 or more points s the losing team tries like hell to score but the winning team just tries to kill the clock.
I don't play every game that fits this model, If I have a lean on the favorite already, which I do on LSU, then I play it Money line.
I like to bet visiting favorites money line when they are favored by 7 to 14 points. The home field advantage is a bit more than 3 points so the visiting team is clearly superior on paper. The games can be close and of course upsets happen BUT going back 4 years and looking at all the games fitting this model you will win almost 60% of the time.
I was surprised to find this out but it is true. The home team plays with more heart but by the second half talent prevails. The big problem with betting the point spread of 7 or more points s the losing team tries like hell to score but the winning team just tries to kill the clock.
I don't play every game that fits this model, If I have a lean on the favorite already, which I do on LSU, then I play it Money line.
Correction. You will of course have to win far more than 60% of the time when you are betting fairy heavy favorites. What I meant to say was I found that betting away teams on the money line when they were favored by 7 to 10 points has been profitable for the last four years even when you include the books' take.
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Quote Originally Posted by lordzud:
I like to bet visiting favorites money line when they are favored by 7 to 14 points. The home field advantage is a bit more than 3 points so the visiting team is clearly superior on paper. The games can be close and of course upsets happen BUT going back 4 years and looking at all the games fitting this model you will win almost 60% of the time.
I was surprised to find this out but it is true. The home team plays with more heart but by the second half talent prevails. The big problem with betting the point spread of 7 or more points s the losing team tries like hell to score but the winning team just tries to kill the clock.
I don't play every game that fits this model, If I have a lean on the favorite already, which I do on LSU, then I play it Money line.
Correction. You will of course have to win far more than 60% of the time when you are betting fairy heavy favorites. What I meant to say was I found that betting away teams on the money line when they were favored by 7 to 10 points has been profitable for the last four years even when you include the books' take.
Wisconsin covers. I agree with what everyone is saying but the money line is very expensive. I will take the home dog for a riskier but less expensive option. LSU is clearly better.
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Wisconsin covers. I agree with what everyone is saying but the money line is very expensive. I will take the home dog for a riskier but less expensive option. LSU is clearly better.
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