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Texas Christian at Michigan State (12/29/2012)

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Posted: #1

Away:  Texas Christian [5-7 ATS]
Home:  Michigan State [4-8 ATS]

Game Time: 10:15 PM
Stadium: Sun Devil Stadium

Recent Meetings:
N/A

Team Leaders:

Texas Christian:
Passing: Trevone Boykin (1853)
Rushing: B.J. Catalon (564)
Receiving: Josh Boyce (793)

Michigan State:
Passing: Andrew Maxwell (2578)
Rushing: Le'Veon Bell (1648)
Receiving: Bennie Fowler (524)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

 
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Posted: #2
Go Sparty!
 
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Posted: #3
TCU loses by 10-17 here, MSU is just to good for them
 
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Posted: #4
this matchup is a tough one for tcu. I think it will be a fg game either way.
 
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Posted: #5
This one is simple for me, no matter who I pick when betting on a Mich State game, I always get the wrong one, so I now bet against on principle and have been more right than wrong. TCU wins.
 
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Posted: #6
CAN WE SAY UNDER?
 
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Posted: #7

Michigan St - 14                                        TCU - 13

Sparty +2.5                                          under 41

Sparty defense held Boise & Wisconsin to 13 pts, don't see why they can't do the same here. Two TD's by the Spartan offense should be enough to get it done in the Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl

Michigan St - Under

 

 
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Posted: #8
Gary Patterson doesn't lose bowl games.  He'll have his team ready.
 
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Posted: #9
MSU looks like a very strong play in this spot for the following reasons 1.  Strong public consensus on TCU ( contrarian play on MSU )
2.  My score predictor makes it MSU 24, TCU 13.
3.  No significant line move in toward either team ( this can change before kickoff however )
4.  My Sharp / Square money line indicator does not have a clear play but is definitely leaning to MSU.
4.  Covers Team Experts like MSU by more than the expected SI consensus ( means a play on MSU ),
I will be making a 2 unit play on Mich State.  May also make a 1 unit play on money line depending on late line move action.
 
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Posted: #10
TCU's D is more battle tested than the overrated Michigan State's  D.  TCU d has faced high octane offenses like Oklahoma, Oklahoma St, Baylor, West Virginia, Kansas St, Texas Tech. Yet, they are ranked 18th in the nation overall in total defense. That's pretty damn good.  Also, Michigan St offense isn't exactly high octane as they are ranked 90th overall in total offense. Don't overthink this game.  TCU wins by 7-10 pts.
 
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Posted: #11
Nhenley,first off I'm a fishing junkie as well. Second we both like TCU and I bet big today for the very reason you stated. Go Horned Frogs!
 
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Posted: #12
GLTA on this one....should be a good game to watch.



 
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Posted: #13
I have watched both teams play an MSU offense sucks. TCU has to much speed on both sides of the ball. Speed kills.TCU wins by 10 or more.
 
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Posted: #14
TCU wins. They are alot better than their record. 
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by royal72:

This one is simple for me, no matter who I pick when betting on a Mich State game, I always get the wrong one, so I now bet against on principle and have been more right than wrong. TCU wins.


spoken like a true Homer ..................
 
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Posted: #16
Steam Alert - money is coming in big on Mich State about 2 hours before kickoff.  This makes MSU a 3 unit play for me now
 
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Posted: #17
These two teams are a combined 9-15 vs the number and 6-16-1 vs the total. 
If I were forced to bet this game with more than a few bucks with the alternative being, stab myself in the eye with a pencil, I'd choose the old #2.
In any event the only play appears to be a small one on MSU and another small play under the total. 
GLTA.
 
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Posted: #18
LETS SEE, MMM   TCU HAS PLAYED 8 TEAMS THAT ARE IT BOWLS THIS YEAR ! LOST TO APPROX 2-3 OF THEM !!!  COACH "P" IS THE BOMB !!! THATS ALLLL I NEED TO KNOW !!! ---TCU  -1.5
 
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Posted: #19
Horny Toads are overrated... Take MSU to the bank
 
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Posted: #20
Combato can you please explain to me why the late action is so important. Is late money always smart money?
 
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Posted: #21

Quote Originally Posted by combato:

Steam Alert - money is coming in big on Mich State about 2 hours before kickoff.  This makes MSU a 3 unit play for me now

What? Public money pouring in on Michigan State?  I have $150 on TCU!  But now that I know big money is going onto Michigan State?  That means I have to increase my bet on TCU to $300!  Thanks for that tip!

                    

                                                

 
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Posted: #22
TCU -1.5 
 
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Posted: #23
Put either team in a teaser or grab an alternate DOG line on either. I see a close game.
 
 
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Posted: #24
Combato, that steam alert didnt seem to have much effect once again.  I find your posts helpful, but I do not necessarily think that all late money is smart money. 
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