Trump rallied his supporters last Sunday.
This guy threatens to turn politics in America on its head. Everyone hates him.....and he is very close to winning.
It is going to be a crazy month......and the books aren't stupid...5-1 is about as high as I have seen.
Bet it yesterday at +465. All I can say is that until pronounced dead, he has a shot. A much better on than the media will ever admit. 
Yes they do.
All I can say is that you are wrong. The people that actually vote see the media and politicians for what they are.
Trump is the anti-politician. That fact alone is going to give him a great shot to win...
If you believe you are right flush some bitcoins on Clinton w/heavy juice. Good luck with that. 
Are you kidding? 
Sunday's debate was the first time in the TV era where a candidate told the absolute truth about the opponent.
Review the debate comments on:
1) Tax structure Trump admits the system openly benefits billionaires. That is a first.
2) Campaign finance Trump talks about who his opponents big donors are....and actually mentioned Soros' name. Dangerous.
3) Military operations States that Aleppo has already fallen, and that military operations should be secret. First time anyone has admitted that Syria may be a lost cause.
4) Clinton's emails States that Clinton committed treason, and will be looking at punishment accordingly.
5) Did not bow down to the moderators
6) Called Bill Clinton out for his misdoings.
Make no mistake, we have never seen someone so politically incorrect in position to win the presidency. And people are going to vote for it in droves.
Not to mention, look who is aligned against Trump:
1) Republican leadership
2) All democrats
3) Every major media outlet. Including half of Fox News.
If everyone in the establishment hates Trump and is trying to sabotage his chances at election, then he probably is the correct answer.
To put it simply, Trump is what real "Change" looks like. And on November 8 we will see if Americans want their country back.
Not to mention, look who is aligned against Trump:
1) Republican leadership
2) All democrats
3) Every major media outlet. Including half of Fox News.
If everyone in the establishment hates Trump and is trying to sabotage his chances at election, then he probably is the correct answer.
To put it simply, Trump is what real "Change" looks like. And on November 8 we will see if Americans want their country back.
I couldn't have said it better Swish.
This election is an outlier. Polling data will not reflect the sentiment of the voters, it isn't capable.
Turnout will win it or lose it for Trump. People that have never voted before will go to the polls, much like the Brexit vote in the UK. You simply cannot account for this in polling data. Trump will win everywhere Romney won, and make it a very close horserace in Florida and Ohio.
I expect him to win both....but don't kid yourself, if this election even looks close, Hillary will have this thing in court until next November.
That is the only reason I hesitate at throwing some real money down on Trump....I do not know how long it will take to collect.
But, if we get up to 8 or 10-1, then the oddsmakers will have forced my hand. At those prices, and it looks like we may get them, I will have to go big and look to hedge and lock in a profit as we get closer to election day.
There will be just too good of a chance to get in on an arbitrage situation.
Danelaw- What is the point of letting your bet ride? Why not just take the money now? At -160, getting Trump at 5.5/1 is an easy paycheck.
Search- Romney got 90% of the Republicans that turned out.....I am looking for the largest turnout of republican/independent/libertarians of all time. Sure the libertarians will support Johnson, but that hurts Clinton.....Johnson is primed to pull 9% of the electorate, mostly Sanders supporters. Independents will swing Trump at a slim margin.
IMO, there is no real way to determine who is ahead at this point. Polls are problematic and the media is in the bag for Clinton. Aside from the proprietary polling data available to the candidates themselves, what barometer does the general public have? Internet chatter?
Remember, a "leave" vote for the Brexit earlier this year was going off at 9/2 2 weeks out......
I read a piece yesterday in the Washington Post that the election may be over before November 8 due to early voting in Florida and Ohio.....a Trump hit piece designed to suppress the republican/Trump vote. You simply cannot overstate how much media types hate Trump, and I think that the lengths they have gone to show just how close this thing really is.
Even the BS public polls only show Hillary up 9 points after the scandal......next week that lead will likely shrink to 5....and eventually settle into within the margin of error by the first weekend in November. And that is all I need to cash in. 
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