Maybe this topic is too deep for this website, I am sure it will not be understood or utilized by many but hey if it hits a few people then it is worth it I suppose.
So Ive seen many on here and elsewhere say that the FED printing is going to unleash inflation because it has always happened so go and buy gold and silver and blah blah blah prices are going through the roof and Ive said almost exactly what this article below says that it is not the case and the correlation to an increase in M2 and inflation is flawed and inaccurate and that is why gold and silver are not exploding anywhere near the level that M2 has increased and why inflation has not been unleashed.
Inflation does not come from an increase in core M2 or what the FED increases or decreases for deflation because the FED does not directly distribute this supply to the consumer so it cannot create inflation and any sort of impact outside where the distributed parties use it. So banks and funds and the big players get to slop at the trough of the FED and are not mandated to continue the chain down the line to create a money multiplier and thus inflation. So banks since the financial crisis have been increasing lending requirements and are restrictive so instead they are leveraging in treasuries and the stock market and that is why those two asset classes are where the inflation has occurred and also real estate for similar reasons about the impact of interest rates directly amplifying purchase power and thus demand.
The article mentions that since the crisis bank lending has been flat and the increase in FED money creating has been kept at the banks and speculated with, not turned into loans so banks are taking less risk with making loans and instead are leveraging with treasuries or the stock market for likely safer returns. I wonder if the FED gives a crap that the reason for their money printing has been exposed as it is to bulk up banks and let them safely leverage and that the impact for the pauper has been zero. It is also why I said Trump had zero credit for the market move, nor does Biden. Giving corps more free money with the Trump tax scam only resulted in more buybacks zero impact on average hourly wages or employment increases outside the core UE number before Covid hit. The FED runs this show and it has not translated to any measurable inflation and that is why Japan has not stopped and Europe has not stopped and our FED is not likely to materially stop.
Maybe this topic is too deep for this website, I am sure it will not be understood or utilized by many but hey if it hits a few people then it is worth it I suppose.
So Ive seen many on here and elsewhere say that the FED printing is going to unleash inflation because it has always happened so go and buy gold and silver and blah blah blah prices are going through the roof and Ive said almost exactly what this article below says that it is not the case and the correlation to an increase in M2 and inflation is flawed and inaccurate and that is why gold and silver are not exploding anywhere near the level that M2 has increased and why inflation has not been unleashed.
Inflation does not come from an increase in core M2 or what the FED increases or decreases for deflation because the FED does not directly distribute this supply to the consumer so it cannot create inflation and any sort of impact outside where the distributed parties use it. So banks and funds and the big players get to slop at the trough of the FED and are not mandated to continue the chain down the line to create a money multiplier and thus inflation. So banks since the financial crisis have been increasing lending requirements and are restrictive so instead they are leveraging in treasuries and the stock market and that is why those two asset classes are where the inflation has occurred and also real estate for similar reasons about the impact of interest rates directly amplifying purchase power and thus demand.
The article mentions that since the crisis bank lending has been flat and the increase in FED money creating has been kept at the banks and speculated with, not turned into loans so banks are taking less risk with making loans and instead are leveraging with treasuries or the stock market for likely safer returns. I wonder if the FED gives a crap that the reason for their money printing has been exposed as it is to bulk up banks and let them safely leverage and that the impact for the pauper has been zero. It is also why I said Trump had zero credit for the market move, nor does Biden. Giving corps more free money with the Trump tax scam only resulted in more buybacks zero impact on average hourly wages or employment increases outside the core UE number before Covid hit. The FED runs this show and it has not translated to any measurable inflation and that is why Japan has not stopped and Europe has not stopped and our FED is not likely to materially stop.
The article mentions that since the crisis bank lending has been flat and the increase in FED money creating has been kept at the banks and speculated with, not turned into loans so banks are taking less risk with making loans and instead are leveraging with treasuries or the stock market for likely safer returns.
This is debatable as bank speculation by leveraging may not actually be "safer returns". The speculation MAY be safer but we do not know that each and every big bank is leveraging "responsibly"....
You will not survive here. You are not a wolf, and this is the land of wolves now...
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@wallstreetcappers
good read
The article mentions that since the crisis bank lending has been flat and the increase in FED money creating has been kept at the banks and speculated with, not turned into loans so banks are taking less risk with making loans and instead are leveraging with treasuries or the stock market for likely safer returns.
This is debatable as bank speculation by leveraging may not actually be "safer returns". The speculation MAY be safer but we do not know that each and every big bank is leveraging "responsibly"....
I think the safer aspect is you have less risk buying a leveraged treasury than lending someone a personal or business loan especially since many of them got roasted after 2007 so for them no question it is less risk especially with the FED flooring everything.
0
I think the safer aspect is you have less risk buying a leveraged treasury than lending someone a personal or business loan especially since many of them got roasted after 2007 so for them no question it is less risk especially with the FED flooring everything.
Well you are biased to BTC but look at the length of time that banks have held excess liquidity in reserves and that dates well before the BTC move and the impact was pretty much the same. Translation BTC is not taking anything from gold, they are different crowds and BTC does not hedge anything nor serve any intrinsic purpose similar to gold.
4
@I_Need_A_Detox
Well you are biased to BTC but look at the length of time that banks have held excess liquidity in reserves and that dates well before the BTC move and the impact was pretty much the same. Translation BTC is not taking anything from gold, they are different crowds and BTC does not hedge anything nor serve any intrinsic purpose similar to gold.
Something like 70% of home loans are people refinancing and pulling cash out.
There’s no way rates stay here or values stay here.
If they tax capital gains at 40%+ and raise rates the market will correct/crash.
I’d bet a correction starts before the end of this year.
I bet gold has its day when stocks are waaaay overbought towards the end of the year, people cash out to avoid a 100% increase on capital gains taxes AND BTC reaches extreme levels of $150k+ and the crypto correction is on the horizon.
0
Something like 70% of home loans are people refinancing and pulling cash out.
There’s no way rates stay here or values stay here.
If they tax capital gains at 40%+ and raise rates the market will correct/crash.
I’d bet a correction starts before the end of this year.
I bet gold has its day when stocks are waaaay overbought towards the end of the year, people cash out to avoid a 100% increase on capital gains taxes AND BTC reaches extreme levels of $150k+ and the crypto correction is on the horizon.
Pointless and idiotic, lacking the ability to refute with any detail. I would prefer you not post if its just garbage like that. Notice that you are always the person to take a jab or make a classless comment for no reason when the opportunity comes up.
If you have nothing to add of value really you need to hold back your little ego and just walk on by.
8
Pointless and idiotic, lacking the ability to refute with any detail. I would prefer you not post if its just garbage like that. Notice that you are always the person to take a jab or make a classless comment for no reason when the opportunity comes up.
If you have nothing to add of value really you need to hold back your little ego and just walk on by.
You make some good points and they are valid short term. When I say short term, I am not talking year or a presidential term. I am talking about cyclical nature of the market. Betting Resource (its a handicapping site but they do stock market outlook and some option plays as bonus) covered this very well in their quarterly market outlook and the next catalyst that is going to start the real stock market crash which will happen over 2 to 3 year period. It goes in depth but to summarize, apparently we are nearing the end of a 40 year bull market. Rapid rise in M2 over the last year over the decade (last year's rise has put what happened over the last decade in the rear view mirror) is part of the 40 year bull market coming to end. For the short term, its going to be epic bull market with turbulences but sometime after 2nd quarter (timing is hard, it could happen later this year or early next year) there will be a catalyst that will set things in motion to trigger the end of the 40 year bull market. When this catalyst begins, Feds will not be able to keep the rates close to zero. People who were heavy on metals waiting for the crash are starting to give up. Apparently it was just a flash crash before the real crash. Flash crash followed with epic market melt up before the real crash begins. However all is not lost. During the crash tech/growth are expected to stuffer the most and may not recover for many years. Next 10 to 15 year will be commodity cycle. Gold, Silver, oil, and other commodity stock will be sector to invest with industrial, infrastructure and material stocks. For tech, focus heavily on Cyber Security stocks after the next catalyst. IN the preview they mentioned that the next catalyst will be trigger by a big cyber security incident. Their previews are more on the contrarian but since they did stocks as bonus when sports went in lockdown, made some great calls. H made great calls on Novavax and Moderna in March 2020. Suggested NVAx Jan 15, 2020 $30 call in 2020 spring when the stock was trading just under $20. Those contracts were $3 around the time advised. By august it reached $150. I sold those contracts way too early for $30 which was 1000% but if had held 2 more months, i could have sold them for $150, a 5000% gain. Their 5 long term calls positions were NVAX, ZM, MRNA, SHOP, W. All saw monster gains but i sold them all too early with my paper hands.
For the next catalyst he plans to have 10 tickers. Already released one and advised to pick early positions and get in more when the catalyst its set in motion. The early one he released is BB Jan 2023 $15 and $20 calls. He advised to lock these in as much as possible and even buy the stock straight up and hold. Expects this stock to be a big play in the cyber security and the next catalyst. Jan 2023 calls. Other tickers he will release with each month's outlook or if the catalyst that he is expecting happens.
He throws some short term plays here and there too. Keep an eye on ROOT Jun 18, 2021 $15 call. it was advised at 40 cents last week. He expects this contract to fetch 500+% or even 1000%. The contract price touched 95 cents earlier in the week and came back to 55 cents. I didn't sell. I have a sell order for $4.95 for half the positions and I will hold other half to see if i can get $9. He thinks this stock is beaten down because of the recent ipo lock up expiry period and expects it to climb towards IPO price with earnings coming up in May. Also 2nd most shorted stock according to https://www.highshortinterest.com/ So so when it goes up, it should climb for few days. Recently he had similar $15 call advised at 65 cents for MVIS--sold it for $5 but it reached $12 earlier this week before coming back down. So keep an eye on that Root Jun 18, 2021 $15 call.
2
You make some good points and they are valid short term. When I say short term, I am not talking year or a presidential term. I am talking about cyclical nature of the market. Betting Resource (its a handicapping site but they do stock market outlook and some option plays as bonus) covered this very well in their quarterly market outlook and the next catalyst that is going to start the real stock market crash which will happen over 2 to 3 year period. It goes in depth but to summarize, apparently we are nearing the end of a 40 year bull market. Rapid rise in M2 over the last year over the decade (last year's rise has put what happened over the last decade in the rear view mirror) is part of the 40 year bull market coming to end. For the short term, its going to be epic bull market with turbulences but sometime after 2nd quarter (timing is hard, it could happen later this year or early next year) there will be a catalyst that will set things in motion to trigger the end of the 40 year bull market. When this catalyst begins, Feds will not be able to keep the rates close to zero. People who were heavy on metals waiting for the crash are starting to give up. Apparently it was just a flash crash before the real crash. Flash crash followed with epic market melt up before the real crash begins. However all is not lost. During the crash tech/growth are expected to stuffer the most and may not recover for many years. Next 10 to 15 year will be commodity cycle. Gold, Silver, oil, and other commodity stock will be sector to invest with industrial, infrastructure and material stocks. For tech, focus heavily on Cyber Security stocks after the next catalyst. IN the preview they mentioned that the next catalyst will be trigger by a big cyber security incident. Their previews are more on the contrarian but since they did stocks as bonus when sports went in lockdown, made some great calls. H made great calls on Novavax and Moderna in March 2020. Suggested NVAx Jan 15, 2020 $30 call in 2020 spring when the stock was trading just under $20. Those contracts were $3 around the time advised. By august it reached $150. I sold those contracts way too early for $30 which was 1000% but if had held 2 more months, i could have sold them for $150, a 5000% gain. Their 5 long term calls positions were NVAX, ZM, MRNA, SHOP, W. All saw monster gains but i sold them all too early with my paper hands.
For the next catalyst he plans to have 10 tickers. Already released one and advised to pick early positions and get in more when the catalyst its set in motion. The early one he released is BB Jan 2023 $15 and $20 calls. He advised to lock these in as much as possible and even buy the stock straight up and hold. Expects this stock to be a big play in the cyber security and the next catalyst. Jan 2023 calls. Other tickers he will release with each month's outlook or if the catalyst that he is expecting happens.
He throws some short term plays here and there too. Keep an eye on ROOT Jun 18, 2021 $15 call. it was advised at 40 cents last week. He expects this contract to fetch 500+% or even 1000%. The contract price touched 95 cents earlier in the week and came back to 55 cents. I didn't sell. I have a sell order for $4.95 for half the positions and I will hold other half to see if i can get $9. He thinks this stock is beaten down because of the recent ipo lock up expiry period and expects it to climb towards IPO price with earnings coming up in May. Also 2nd most shorted stock according to https://www.highshortinterest.com/ So so when it goes up, it should climb for few days. Recently he had similar $15 call advised at 65 cents for MVIS--sold it for $5 but it reached $12 earlier this week before coming back down. So keep an eye on that Root Jun 18, 2021 $15 call.
He thinks since 2020 there is a huge investor behavior manipulation campaign that is happening via all financial outlets. He thinks the narrative that retail is beating hedge funds and that retail made a killing over hedge funds on stocks like GME are fake news. He says hedge funds made the most money from GME debacle while retail got their ass handed. But overall he thinks the current forces in play are there to get every joe to get their money/loands out and put it into stock before the rug pull. I don't know how much truth to it but i know for a fact that every joe is putting money into stocks. Many of my friends, relatives are just taking their money and randomly putting in stocks after doing little research on the internet. One of the most important thing that I learned from following their market previes and tips is the magic of writing options on the stocks that you earned. I never knew that you could earn money by writing stock backed options during high volatility period to collect premium. That was one of the most valuable lesson that I learned because once you master that art, you don't have to worry about crash or the price of the stock because you can keep the asset and collect premium and over time this will be lot more than the gains or losses during crash and after--unless its those unicorn stocks that you get in early like novavax. One of my biggest regret is selling my novavax calls for $30. I should have waited two months and once it went past 100, should have sold have the contract and excercised the other half to buy the stock...could have made a killing with premiums.
1
He thinks since 2020 there is a huge investor behavior manipulation campaign that is happening via all financial outlets. He thinks the narrative that retail is beating hedge funds and that retail made a killing over hedge funds on stocks like GME are fake news. He says hedge funds made the most money from GME debacle while retail got their ass handed. But overall he thinks the current forces in play are there to get every joe to get their money/loands out and put it into stock before the rug pull. I don't know how much truth to it but i know for a fact that every joe is putting money into stocks. Many of my friends, relatives are just taking their money and randomly putting in stocks after doing little research on the internet. One of the most important thing that I learned from following their market previes and tips is the magic of writing options on the stocks that you earned. I never knew that you could earn money by writing stock backed options during high volatility period to collect premium. That was one of the most valuable lesson that I learned because once you master that art, you don't have to worry about crash or the price of the stock because you can keep the asset and collect premium and over time this will be lot more than the gains or losses during crash and after--unless its those unicorn stocks that you get in early like novavax. One of my biggest regret is selling my novavax calls for $30. I should have waited two months and once it went past 100, should have sold have the contract and excercised the other half to buy the stock...could have made a killing with premiums.
The point of the message is that we cannot have inflation only because of money printing when the money multiplier isnt in use, the inflation will only come where the multiplier is being used and that is the stock market. It is also the bond market. It is not gold or silver it is not in the farcical CPI basket because the money is being assimilated into the market borg and not passed along for the consumer to lend or buy or continue to circulate.
Want to know why gold has done so little with the TRILLIONS of excess reserves floating? Rates are zero, money not being circulated that is why. Currencies are also paired so the USD is paired vs other currencies to determine value...so against the Euro the Pound the Yen etc and most every single large economy is as bad or worse than we are to rates and money printing so relative pricing of currencies cannot reflect the increase in FED cash because it is being done everywhere and yet hoarded similarly in all these countries.
Ive got my eye on ROOT already...it is no question in the doghouse, rarely moving up always under pressure..lets see how it goes longer term.
1
The point of the message is that we cannot have inflation only because of money printing when the money multiplier isnt in use, the inflation will only come where the multiplier is being used and that is the stock market. It is also the bond market. It is not gold or silver it is not in the farcical CPI basket because the money is being assimilated into the market borg and not passed along for the consumer to lend or buy or continue to circulate.
Want to know why gold has done so little with the TRILLIONS of excess reserves floating? Rates are zero, money not being circulated that is why. Currencies are also paired so the USD is paired vs other currencies to determine value...so against the Euro the Pound the Yen etc and most every single large economy is as bad or worse than we are to rates and money printing so relative pricing of currencies cannot reflect the increase in FED cash because it is being done everywhere and yet hoarded similarly in all these countries.
Ive got my eye on ROOT already...it is no question in the doghouse, rarely moving up always under pressure..lets see how it goes longer term.
Betting Resource (its a handicapping site but they do stock market outlook and some option plays as bonus) covered this very well in their quarterly market outlook and the next catalyst that is going to start the real stock market crash which will happen over 2 to 3 year period. It goes in depth but to summarize, apparently we are nearing the end of a 40 year bull market. For the short term, its going to be epic bull market with turbulences but sometime after 2nd quarter (timing is hard, it could happen later this year or early next year) there will be a catalyst that will set things in motion to trigger the end of the 40 year bull market. When this catalyst begins, Feds will not be able to keep the rates close to zero. Next 10 to 15 year will be commodity cycle. Gold, Silver, oil, and other commodity stock will be sector to invest with industrial, infrastructure and material stocks. For tech, focus heavily on Cyber Security stocks after the next catalyst. IN the preview they mentioned that the next catalyst will be trigger by a big cyber security incident. Their previews are more on the contrarian but since they did stocks as bonus when sports went in lockdown, made some great calls. H made great calls on Novavax and Moderna in March 2020. Suggested NVAx Jan 15, 2020 $30 call in 2020 spring when the stock was trading just under $20. Those contracts were $3 around the time advised. By august it reached $150. I sold those contracts way too early for $30 which was 1000% but if had held 2 more months, i could have sold them for $150, a 5000% gain. Their 5 long term calls positions were NVAX, ZM, MRNA, SHOP, W. All saw monster gains but i sold them all too early with my paper hands. For the next catalyst he plans to have 10 tickers. Already released one and advised to pick early positions and get in more when the catalyst its set in motion. The early one he released is BB Jan 2023 $15 and $20 calls. He advised to lock these in as much as possible and even buy the stock straight up and hold. Expects this stock to be a big play in the cyber security and the next catalyst. Jan 2023 calls. Other tickers he will release with each month's outlook or if the catalyst that he is expecting happens. He throws some short term plays here and there too. Keep an eye on ROOT Jun 18, 2021 $15 call. it was advised at 40 cents last week. He expects this contract to fetch 500+% or even 1000%. The contract price touched 95 cents earlier in the week and came back to 55 cents. I didn't sell. I have a sell order for $4.95 for half the positions and I will hold other half to see if i can get $9. He thinks this stock is beaten down because of the recent ipo lock up expiry period and expects it to climb towards IPO price with earnings coming up in May. Also 2nd most shorted stock according to https://www.highshortinterest.com/ So so when it goes up, it should climb for few days. Recently he had similar $15 call advised at 65 cents for MVIS--sold it for $5 but it reached $12 earlier this week before coming back down. So keep an eye on that Root Jun 18, 2021 $15 call.
I hope you guys followed these suggestions.
0
Quote Originally Posted by VeryBlueJay:
Betting Resource (its a handicapping site but they do stock market outlook and some option plays as bonus) covered this very well in their quarterly market outlook and the next catalyst that is going to start the real stock market crash which will happen over 2 to 3 year period. It goes in depth but to summarize, apparently we are nearing the end of a 40 year bull market. For the short term, its going to be epic bull market with turbulences but sometime after 2nd quarter (timing is hard, it could happen later this year or early next year) there will be a catalyst that will set things in motion to trigger the end of the 40 year bull market. When this catalyst begins, Feds will not be able to keep the rates close to zero. Next 10 to 15 year will be commodity cycle. Gold, Silver, oil, and other commodity stock will be sector to invest with industrial, infrastructure and material stocks. For tech, focus heavily on Cyber Security stocks after the next catalyst. IN the preview they mentioned that the next catalyst will be trigger by a big cyber security incident. Their previews are more on the contrarian but since they did stocks as bonus when sports went in lockdown, made some great calls. H made great calls on Novavax and Moderna in March 2020. Suggested NVAx Jan 15, 2020 $30 call in 2020 spring when the stock was trading just under $20. Those contracts were $3 around the time advised. By august it reached $150. I sold those contracts way too early for $30 which was 1000% but if had held 2 more months, i could have sold them for $150, a 5000% gain. Their 5 long term calls positions were NVAX, ZM, MRNA, SHOP, W. All saw monster gains but i sold them all too early with my paper hands. For the next catalyst he plans to have 10 tickers. Already released one and advised to pick early positions and get in more when the catalyst its set in motion. The early one he released is BB Jan 2023 $15 and $20 calls. He advised to lock these in as much as possible and even buy the stock straight up and hold. Expects this stock to be a big play in the cyber security and the next catalyst. Jan 2023 calls. Other tickers he will release with each month's outlook or if the catalyst that he is expecting happens. He throws some short term plays here and there too. Keep an eye on ROOT Jun 18, 2021 $15 call. it was advised at 40 cents last week. He expects this contract to fetch 500+% or even 1000%. The contract price touched 95 cents earlier in the week and came back to 55 cents. I didn't sell. I have a sell order for $4.95 for half the positions and I will hold other half to see if i can get $9. He thinks this stock is beaten down because of the recent ipo lock up expiry period and expects it to climb towards IPO price with earnings coming up in May. Also 2nd most shorted stock according to https://www.highshortinterest.com/ So so when it goes up, it should climb for few days. Recently he had similar $15 call advised at 65 cents for MVIS--sold it for $5 but it reached $12 earlier this week before coming back down. So keep an eye on that Root Jun 18, 2021 $15 call.
BB worked out, ROOT is still quite under the 15 strike, I have shares in ROOT but not due to this recco.
Oh and M2 isnt why we are seeing inflation, banks are not lending excess reserves and you can see that in the FED overnight reverse repo statements. Banks are sitting on forced reserves because they love the free cash that the FED gives them for participating in open market operations yet they are hesitant and resistant to lending M2 that is meant to stimulate. You cannot stimulate demand by having banks put M2 reserves in a FED vault, that is why the trillions in money creation has hardly yielded inflation. To me the reason for inflation is due to throughputs created from the pandemic..and corps taking advantage of supply restriction to increase profits.
0
BB worked out, ROOT is still quite under the 15 strike, I have shares in ROOT but not due to this recco.
Oh and M2 isnt why we are seeing inflation, banks are not lending excess reserves and you can see that in the FED overnight reverse repo statements. Banks are sitting on forced reserves because they love the free cash that the FED gives them for participating in open market operations yet they are hesitant and resistant to lending M2 that is meant to stimulate. You cannot stimulate demand by having banks put M2 reserves in a FED vault, that is why the trillions in money creation has hardly yielded inflation. To me the reason for inflation is due to throughputs created from the pandemic..and corps taking advantage of supply restriction to increase profits.
So explain how that is due to M2...this thread is about the impact of excess M2 on inflation. If you want to make an inflation thread and how it is large feel free, my contention of the thread is that banks are sitting on excess reserves and without circulation the FED can print another T and the only inflation that will come is from stock market prices and bond market prices, not general inflation per the silly CPI index.
0
So explain how that is due to M2...this thread is about the impact of excess M2 on inflation. If you want to make an inflation thread and how it is large feel free, my contention of the thread is that banks are sitting on excess reserves and without circulation the FED can print another T and the only inflation that will come is from stock market prices and bond market prices, not general inflation per the silly CPI index.
The Fed’s balance sheet and the SP 500 both hit all time highs on the same day. Probably just a coincidence.
Post 17 what is your comment..wait you have 7, 10 and 17 which are pointless and juvenile. Not sure what 19 has to do with anything, Ive said frequently that the bond and stock markets are inflated due to FED policy, so is there a point anywhere to be had?
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Quote Originally Posted by I_Need_A_Detox:
The Fed’s balance sheet and the SP 500 both hit all time highs on the same day. Probably just a coincidence.
Post 17 what is your comment..wait you have 7, 10 and 17 which are pointless and juvenile. Not sure what 19 has to do with anything, Ive said frequently that the bond and stock markets are inflated due to FED policy, so is there a point anywhere to be had?
So you think I edited a comment I made??? Why would I need to do that? Kudos to your crazy especially since it has such high merit. Yeah I need to edit a comment about the impact of monetary policy on inflation so I can try to show up a crazy from Covers.com
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So you think I edited a comment I made??? Why would I need to do that? Kudos to your crazy especially since it has such high merit. Yeah I need to edit a comment about the impact of monetary policy on inflation so I can try to show up a crazy from Covers.com
So explain how that is due to M2...this thread is about the impact of excess M2 on inflation. If you want to make an inflation thread and how it is large feel free, my contention of the thread is that banks are sitting on excess reserves and without circulation the FED can print another T and the only inflation that will come is from stock market prices and bond market prices, not general inflation per the silly CPI index.
Wall street cappers, I am not sure if you play options. You don't need the strike to hit, you can get rid of the options before by trading volatility. You don't need to exercise the contracts...you can simply sell them when the demand goes up. Root 15 call June 18 expiry was suggested at 33 cents. It went as low as 5 cents. At 5 cents you could have picked up 200 contracts for $1000. wednesday those contracts were trading as high as $2.30 and if you have sold those 200 contracts for $2.30 that is $46,0000 from a $1000 bet. I accumulated lot of ROOT and I added more to average down when it dropped to 5 cents. Avg price I paid was 15 cents. I sold half my positions for hefty profit at the the price of $2, took insane profit and other half was just house money and I was hoping for a squeeze to even high. But looks like root is consolidating and the price of contract has fallen farther down but i am hoping it squeezes today or next week. If not, its fine, I already raked profit with half the positions. I highly highly recommend following Betting Resource's monthly and quarterly market outlook and perspective and as well as his stocks/options plays. They are a sports site first but the little he does on the stock side is far more valuable than the sports stuff he does.
0
Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:
So explain how that is due to M2...this thread is about the impact of excess M2 on inflation. If you want to make an inflation thread and how it is large feel free, my contention of the thread is that banks are sitting on excess reserves and without circulation the FED can print another T and the only inflation that will come is from stock market prices and bond market prices, not general inflation per the silly CPI index.
Wall street cappers, I am not sure if you play options. You don't need the strike to hit, you can get rid of the options before by trading volatility. You don't need to exercise the contracts...you can simply sell them when the demand goes up. Root 15 call June 18 expiry was suggested at 33 cents. It went as low as 5 cents. At 5 cents you could have picked up 200 contracts for $1000. wednesday those contracts were trading as high as $2.30 and if you have sold those 200 contracts for $2.30 that is $46,0000 from a $1000 bet. I accumulated lot of ROOT and I added more to average down when it dropped to 5 cents. Avg price I paid was 15 cents. I sold half my positions for hefty profit at the the price of $2, took insane profit and other half was just house money and I was hoping for a squeeze to even high. But looks like root is consolidating and the price of contract has fallen farther down but i am hoping it squeezes today or next week. If not, its fine, I already raked profit with half the positions. I highly highly recommend following Betting Resource's monthly and quarterly market outlook and perspective and as well as his stocks/options plays. They are a sports site first but the little he does on the stock side is far more valuable than the sports stuff he does.
Sorry but your cheerleading is kind of crazy, of course I know how to play options and I own the stock so I know what you are referencing. Are you saying you followed the stock all the way down to 8 and decided to buy the option which was 7 pts away from the stock? The price .05 was the bid it does not mean you would have been filled and if I were playing options on the stock I would have paid up and moved down to the 10 strike or the 7.5 strike. Playing a 15 strike with less than two months to go on expiry is like throwing money away, that is not investing or even speculating its like buying GME 800 strike because it could be a long shot return.
And you were smack on the top with your bragging, the stock reversed that same day and is down over 2 bucks when the momo group left it. I still have shares I think the stock has been heavily shorted and is undervalued here so I will stay with it. As for 10 cent options 100% away in price for a month or so left to expiry, I will leave that to you.
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Sorry but your cheerleading is kind of crazy, of course I know how to play options and I own the stock so I know what you are referencing. Are you saying you followed the stock all the way down to 8 and decided to buy the option which was 7 pts away from the stock? The price .05 was the bid it does not mean you would have been filled and if I were playing options on the stock I would have paid up and moved down to the 10 strike or the 7.5 strike. Playing a 15 strike with less than two months to go on expiry is like throwing money away, that is not investing or even speculating its like buying GME 800 strike because it could be a long shot return.
And you were smack on the top with your bragging, the stock reversed that same day and is down over 2 bucks when the momo group left it. I still have shares I think the stock has been heavily shorted and is undervalued here so I will stay with it. As for 10 cent options 100% away in price for a month or so left to expiry, I will leave that to you.
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