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khabib - 165 one of my biggest plays of my life (writeup)

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I agree that Khabib should win this fight. Aggressive takedown artists are the best fighters to bet on. Plus Khabib will be the bigger and stronger man in the cage.

The funny thing about this fight is the books are exposed huge on Connor. Everyone has been betting Connor the past month, and the books have refused to lower the line lower than +140. The books know the sharps will bet Khabib anywhere less than -150. 

I agree this is a steal. I would probably bet Khabib up to -200.

 
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Posted: #3

Quote Originally Posted by ckattar8:

Let me start by saying , I think there truly is some extremely good value betting ufc/mma.......  I dont play it much but seems like a lot of better spots than typical sports.......any who.......I'm a HUGE Conor fan, HUGE HUGE HUGE HUGEMy favorite fighter out there, love his heart...... I believe he learned something from the mayweather fight and thats how to "sell for a pay day"........ I think he made a complete joke of himself at the press conference, there was nothing professional or serious about it, he said big words to make the audience/crowd pumped up and even brought his line down on himself from +200 to +145 , all from his cocky attitude...... Khabib could not look more serious, 1) hes never lost a fight in his life 2) hes been wanting this shot for years 3) I think hes fought guys more tougher than Connor in his career.....Connor is off a 2 year layoff from ufc, he just made 100 million dollars his head is probably bloated as he celebrates and knows hes about to get another 20million from this one.... this is a showmans fight for him, hes not in this to win, this is a paycheck from what he learned from floyd.... the more he talks the more $$ he makeshes setting himself up for a check he can not cash and all his talk his giving us value.......khabib -165 an absolute steal

Smells fishy...

I agree he made himself look like an idiot at the presser("cocane is a helluva drug") and to me he looked unsure of himself for once. I do however disagree that this is a cash grab fight for him. It's not like he's Brock Lesnar. conor is an mma fighter first who somehow talked his way into a boxing amtch against the "greatest" boxer of all-time*respect* but mma is not boxing. You can't go in there and dance around take a dive or go 12 rounds and collect. I believe the fear of being embarrased is a helluva motivator. conors been training, this is anything but a sideshow IMO conor has alot of pride and will give his best...will it be enough? Think its a coin flip fight

Who has Khabib fought that is tougher than conor?

 

 

 
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by FloridaState:

Smells fishy...

I agree he made himself look like an idiot at the presser("cocane is a helluva drug") and to me he looked unsure of himself for once. I do however disagree that this is a cash grab fight for him. It's not like he's Brock Lesnar. conor is an mma fighter first who somehow talked his way into a boxing amtch against the "greatest" boxer of all-time*respect* but mma is not boxing. You can't go in there and dance around take a dive or go 12 rounds and collect. I believe the fear of being embarrased is a helluva motivator. conors been training, this is anything but a sideshow IMO conor has alot of pride and will give his best...will it be enough? Think its a coin flip fight

Who has Khabib fought that is tougher than conor?

 

 


He was no different in this press conference than others

He stole Aldo’s belt & called him a puss- in Portuguese 

He came hopping in a mink coat & trashing Alvarez

Conor has always been crazy & a showman to sell the fight, he had no choice in this one, he’s stuck in a press conference with a guy who has broken English & no fans, Khabib isn’t selling the fight so Conor created a scene, he went full psycho & everyone is talking about it, goal accomplished 

He’s selling the fight the same way he’s always done 

He will make over 30 mill easily after ppv , not to mention his new whiskey brand will have a logo in the octagon for the first time ever for a fighter , Conor is the ufc when it comes to ppv buys

He’s the draw, some love him, some hate him

The guy was broke 5 years ago, now he’s worth 200 million & growing

He’s a smart dude, Khabib is his worst possible matchup but Conor sees himself as superior to the other fighters, I think he gets exhausted & gassed out from Khabib’s non stop pressure but he’s very capable of just hitting Khabib early & making it look easy like he did vs Alvarez

Once the Irish roll into Vegas that line will go way down, if you want to bet Conor bet him now & if you want to bet Khabib then wait it out

I’m excited for the fight, Conor is my favorite fighter but he’s fighting a guy that has never lost a round (that’s unheard of)

We will see who’s style is the best 
.
 
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Posted: #5

Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:

Quote Originally Posted by FloridaState:

Smells fishy... I agree he made himself look like an idiot at the presser("cocane is a helluva drug") and to me he looked unsure of himself for once. I do however disagree that this is a cash grab fight for him. It's not like he's Brock Lesnar. conor is an mma fighter first who somehow talked his way into a boxing amtch against the "greatest" boxer of all-time*respect* but mma is not boxing. You can't go in there and dance around take a dive or go 12 rounds and collect. I believe the fear of being embarrased is a helluva motivator. conors been training, this is anything but a sideshow IMO conor has alot of pride and will give his best...will it be enough? Think its a coin flip fight Who has Khabib fought that is tougher than conor?    
He was no different in this press conference than othersHe stole Aldo’s belt & called him a puss- in Portuguese He came hopping in a mink coat & trashing AlvarezConor has always been crazy & a showman to sell the fight, he had no choice in this one, he’s stuck in a press conference with a guy who has broken English & no fans, Khabib isn’t selling the fight so Conor created a scene, he went full psycho & everyone is talking about it, goal accomplished He’s selling the fight the same way he’s always done He will make over 30 mill easily after ppv , not to mention his new whiskey brand will have a logo in the octagon for the first time ever for a fighter , Conor is the ufc when it comes to ppv buysHe’s the draw, some love him, some hate himThe guy was broke 5 years ago, now he’s worth 200 million & growingHe’s a smart dude, Khabib is his worst possible matchup but Conor sees himself as superior to the other fighters, I think he gets exhausted & gassed out from Khabib’s non stop pressure but he’s very capable of just hitting Khabib early & making it look easy like he did vs AlvarezOnce the Irish roll into Vegas that line will go way down, if you want to bet Conor bet him now & if you want to bet Khabib then wait it outI’m excited for the fight, Conor is my favorite fighter but he’s fighting a guy that has never lost a round (that’s unheard of)We will see who’s style is the best

"He went full psycho...never go full psycho!"paint_help

 

 
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Posted: #6

He has been rocked a few times by lesser strikers..he goes to decision... coin flip for me... underdog....Conner has a great chance to knock him out..gl

 
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Posted: #7
I want to take Khabib, just hoping he doesn't d!ck around and just try to stand up instead of dominating on the ground
 
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Posted: #8
Lots of big conor fans backing Khabib. That says a lot to me
 
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Posted: #9
Under 2.5 rounds for me.  -129.   Whoever wins it will be quick. 

 
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Posted: #10

Fight week!!

an_dance

 
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Posted: #11
I agree that Conor is all about the money, that being said talking is what he has always been about and yes he talked his way into the floyd fight which was ridicoulous that it occured but that is totally different than this. Like another poster stated you are not going into the MMA  ring to fool around totally different than boxing you could literally die. I wouldnt look to far into that angle, especially if Floyd has never taken a dive and bet on his opponent like I thought he would last few fights
 
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Posted: #12

Quote Originally Posted by ckattar8:

Let me start by saying , I think there truly is some extremely good value betting ufc/mma.......  I dont play it much but seems like a lot of better spots than typical sports.......any who.......I'm a HUGE Conor fan, HUGE HUGE HUGE HUGEMy favorite fighter out there, love his heart...... I believe he learned something from the mayweather fight and thats how to "sell for a pay day"........ I think he made a complete joke of himself at the press conference, there was nothing professional or serious about it, he said big words to make the audience/crowd pumped up and even brought his line down on himself from +200 to +145 , all from his cocky attitude...... Khabib could not look more serious, 1) hes never lost a fight in his life 2) hes been wanting this shot for years 3) I think hes fought guys more tougher than Connor in his career.....Connor is off a 2 year layoff from ufc, he just made 100 million dollars his head is probably bloated as he celebrates and knows hes about to get another 20million from this one.... this is a showmans fight for him, hes not in this to win, this is a paycheck from what he learned from floyd.... the more he talks the more $$ he makeshes setting himself up for a check he can not cash and all his talk his giving us value.......khabib -165 an absolute steal

 

Agree with every single word of yours. Conor has totally changed his approach on everything. He's more focused on talking bs and making money out of it instead of actually going out there and earning more glory through his fists. I'd say he's really smartened up. In terms of fighting dedication, Khabib is an absolute beast at the moment.

 

 

 
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Posted: #13

Quote Originally Posted by ckattar8:

Let me start by saying , I think there truly is some extremely good value betting ufc/mma.......  I dont play it much but seems like a lot of better spots than typical sports.......any who.......I'm a HUGE Conor fan, HUGE HUGE HUGE HUGEMy favorite fighter out there, love his heart...... I believe he learned something from the mayweather fight and thats how to "sell for a pay day"........ I think he made a complete joke of himself at the press conference, there was nothing professional or serious about it, he said big words to make the audience/crowd pumped up and even brought his line down on himself from +200 to +145 , all from his cocky attitude...... Khabib could not look more serious, 1) hes never lost a fight in his life 2) hes been wanting this shot for years 3) I think hes fought guys more tougher than Connor in his career.....Connor is off a 2 year layoff from ufc, he just made 100 million dollars his head is probably bloated as he celebrates and knows hes about to get another 20million from this one.... this is a showmans fight for him, hes not in this to win, this is a paycheck from what he learned from floyd.... the more he talks the more $$ he makeshes setting himself up for a check he can not cash and all his talk his giving us value.......khabib -165 an absolute steal

 

do not bet against conor.....remember those words.

 
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Posted: #14

Gentlemen, thank you for all the insights. Let me preface I know nearly nothing about MMA except watching PPVs every now and then. but watching the buildup to this fight, I started to smell an opportunity. my 3 biggest bets of all time (somewhat skewed to the present as I bet bigger now - 1) Mayweather over Connor (win). 2) Pats over Phi (loss) 3) Loma over Rigondeaux (win)... Ckatter - you say one of your biggest bets of all time?! I am diving in and coming to the conclusion that this could well be my 4th biggest ever bet - I mean this Khabib literally fought bears when he was 8 years old in the Balkans... but again, I know nearly nothing except some of the facts mentioned on this thread that you internalize once you start doing your research. In short, you see this as a similar mismatch to the two boxing matches i mention above? 

 
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Posted: #15

Kind of reminds me of GGG v. Canelo luckily in MMA these types of fights will never go to judges... Geez he even sounds like GGG

 
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Posted: #16

Alright - 6 hours of diligence later and here is where I come out. Not an all-time wager but a significant one. Khabib is a monster, he manhandles opponents with his ground and pound, post take down. and Conor's take down defense, ground defense feel like they are just good. And man, does Conor take punishment in his fights. Khabib is bigger, stouter and he annihilates his competition. On the ground, this fight is OVER. Khabib wins this fight 65-75% of the time. But Conor has more than a puncher's chance. He has a Conor's left chance. Who has Khabib really fought? More importantly, Khabib can look slow. Perhaps he is just playing possum and tiring out his opponents. At which point he then goes in for the take down. Or perhaps not... But Conor has laid out the fastest of opponents. This keeps me from going all in at this point

 
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Posted: #17

Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:

Under 2.5 rounds for me.  -129.   Whoever wins it will be quick.

This kinda seems like the "safer" bet if there is such a thing

 
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MDV
 
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Quote Originally Posted by ckattar8:

Let me start by saying , I think there truly is some extremely good value betting ufc/mma.......  I dont play it much but seems like a lot of better spots than typical sports.......any who.......I'm a HUGE Conor fan, HUGE HUGE HUGE HUGEMy favorite fighter out there, love his heart...... I believe he learned something from the mayweather fight and thats how to "sell for a pay day"........ I think he made a complete joke of himself at the press conference, there was nothing professional or serious about it, he said big words to make the audience/crowd pumped up and even brought his line down on himself from +200 to +145 , all from his cocky attitude...... Khabib could not look more serious, 1) hes never lost a fight in his life 2) hes been wanting this shot for years 3) I think hes fought guys more tougher than Connor in his career.....Connor is off a 2 year layoff from ufc, he just made 100 million dollars his head is probably bloated as he celebrates and knows hes about to get another 20million from this one.... this is a showmans fight for him, hes not in this to win, this is a paycheck from what he learned from floyd.... the more he talks the more $$ he makeshes setting himself up for a check he can not cash and all his talk his giving us value.......khabib -165 an absolute steal
I couldn't disagree more with everything you just said ya mad rat. Fake ass fan that has no clue what the fook he is talking about, youre just talking a load of bollocks and I hope you bet the house on khabib so you look like a fool. Conor* has been the same from the beginning and you speak 0 facts about who he is and even you're numbers are wrong bc he will make more than double 20 mil. fookin casual 

 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

Lots of big conor fans backing Khabib. That says a lot to me

Agree 
 
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Khabib.....
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