Yes, I have been on a very nice hot streak as of late, but I must say that I find this card very challenging to cap. A lot of the fights are very close on the betting lines and could go either way. Plus, I am probably due for a stinker. I say all of this as a reminder to you all that if you are tailing, make sure that you are only risking what you can afford to lose...
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YTD Record:
Overall: 124-122-1, +57.90 Units
UFC: 95-96-1, +49.15 Units
Strikeforce: 4-3, +0.05 Units
Bellator: 23-21, +8.70 Units
WSOF: 2-2, +0.00 Units
Final 2012 Record: 158-174-2, -76.20 Units
Final 2011 Record: 148-132-3, +123.55 Units
Final 2010 Record: 115-119-3, +11.25 Units
Final 2009 Record: 80-82-1, +23.75 Units
Yes, I have been on a very nice hot streak as of late, but I must say that I find this card very challenging to cap. A lot of the fights are very close on the betting lines and could go either way. Plus, I am probably due for a stinker. I say all of this as a reminder to you all that if you are tailing, make sure that you are only risking what you can afford to lose...
1. Ben Henderson (-113) over Anthony Pettis. Risking 5.65 units to win 5 units.
2. Ben Henderson - Anthony Pettis over 4.5 rounds (-142.5). Risking 2.85 units to win 2 units.
3. Erik Koch (-155) over Dustin Poirier. Risking 6.2 units to win 4 units.
4. Magnus Cedenblad (-115) over Jared Hamman. Risking 4.6 units to win 4 units.
5. Parlay of Kyung Ho Kang over Chico Camus and Chad Mendes over Clay Guida. Risking 3.9 units to win 3 units.
6. Tim Elliott (-172) over Louis Gaudinot. Risking 3.45 units to win 2 units.
7. Ben Rothwell (Even) over Brandon Vera. Risking 2 units to win 2 units.
8. Hyun Gyu Lim (+145) over Pascal Krauss. Risking 1 unit to win 1.45 units.
9. Ryan Couture (+200) over Al Iaquinta. Risking 1 unit to win 2 units.
I will have 3 more plays which I will lock in on a little later. I am still watching the lines, as I think they might move more in my direction closer to fight time.
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Here is what I have locked in on so far:
1. Ben Henderson (-113) over Anthony Pettis. Risking 5.65 units to win 5 units.
2. Ben Henderson - Anthony Pettis over 4.5 rounds (-142.5). Risking 2.85 units to win 2 units.
3. Erik Koch (-155) over Dustin Poirier. Risking 6.2 units to win 4 units.
4. Magnus Cedenblad (-115) over Jared Hamman. Risking 4.6 units to win 4 units.
5. Parlay of Kyung Ho Kang over Chico Camus and Chad Mendes over Clay Guida. Risking 3.9 units to win 3 units.
6. Tim Elliott (-172) over Louis Gaudinot. Risking 3.45 units to win 2 units.
7. Ben Rothwell (Even) over Brandon Vera. Risking 2 units to win 2 units.
8. Hyun Gyu Lim (+145) over Pascal Krauss. Risking 1 unit to win 1.45 units.
9. Ryan Couture (+200) over Al Iaquinta. Risking 1 unit to win 2 units.
I will have 3 more plays which I will lock in on a little later. I am still watching the lines, as I think they might move more in my direction closer to fight time.
Although you do not seem to try to attract much attention MR219, on a site where there are many good MMA cappers, your insights are special. Thank you for posting and congratulations on a great year in 2013 as well as in the past.
I find this card to be challenging. There seem to be a lot of differing opinions. Sweating Hendo/Pettis for 4.5 rounds...watching that clock slowly tick by....couldn't that be considered "cruel and unusual punishment?"...lol
BOL to you tonight and to all
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Although you do not seem to try to attract much attention MR219, on a site where there are many good MMA cappers, your insights are special. Thank you for posting and congratulations on a great year in 2013 as well as in the past.
I find this card to be challenging. There seem to be a lot of differing opinions. Sweating Hendo/Pettis for 4.5 rounds...watching that clock slowly tick by....couldn't that be considered "cruel and unusual punishment?"...lol
Although you do not seem to try to attract much attention MR219, on a site where there are many good MMA cappers, your insights are special. Thank you for posting and congratulations on a great year in 2013 as well as in the past.
I find this card to be challenging. There seem to be a lot of differing opinions. Sweating Hendo/Pettis for 4.5 rounds...watching that clock slowly tick by....couldn't that be considered "cruel and unusual punishment?"...lol
BOL to you tonight and to all
Thanks for the kind words. I am happy that I have been able to bounce back to my normal self after a shitty last year.
No, I am not an attention wh*re. I don't need to make outrages claims about my mma handicapping skills. My track record over the year speaks for itself...
Ossigor's comments regarding the Pettis-Henderson over bet is bang on, and is why I have played it...
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Quote Originally Posted by Vituperate:
Although you do not seem to try to attract much attention MR219, on a site where there are many good MMA cappers, your insights are special. Thank you for posting and congratulations on a great year in 2013 as well as in the past.
I find this card to be challenging. There seem to be a lot of differing opinions. Sweating Hendo/Pettis for 4.5 rounds...watching that clock slowly tick by....couldn't that be considered "cruel and unusual punishment?"...lol
BOL to you tonight and to all
Thanks for the kind words. I am happy that I have been able to bounce back to my normal self after a shitty last year.
No, I am not an attention wh*re. I don't need to make outrages claims about my mma handicapping skills. My track record over the year speaks for itself...
Ossigor's comments regarding the Pettis-Henderson over bet is bang on, and is why I have played it...
betting overs are always painful to watch, but i can't really invision either one of these guys getting finished.
henderson isn't really a finisher save for his guillotine and he is darn near unfinishable himself.
it's going to be another close fight that will go to the judges. at that point, i have no idea how they will see it.
i actually agree with all of your picks except ryan couture. he gonna get owned :)
BOL mr219!
Your comments about the over are bang on!
Iaquinta should not be a 2-1 favourite over Couture. Both fighters have serious gaps in their games and neither are UFC calibre IMO. However, I think Couture will execute better tonight, and at these odds, is worth a small play.
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Quote Originally Posted by ossigor:
betting overs are always painful to watch, but i can't really invision either one of these guys getting finished.
henderson isn't really a finisher save for his guillotine and he is darn near unfinishable himself.
it's going to be another close fight that will go to the judges. at that point, i have no idea how they will see it.
i actually agree with all of your picks except ryan couture. he gonna get owned :)
BOL mr219!
Your comments about the over are bang on!
Iaquinta should not be a 2-1 favourite over Couture. Both fighters have serious gaps in their games and neither are UFC calibre IMO. However, I think Couture will execute better tonight, and at these odds, is worth a small play.
Iaquinta has also been out of action with injuries for a very long time...
Not a good thing for a fighter with such little experience...
very true! there is ring rust & Iaquinta is very 'green' with only 7 fights with 2 sub lost too, those 2 things make me very uncomfortable betting 3g+.
But I am confidence with this bet but Iaquinta 'winning' is not my only out! If there steam coming in, for sure it is not on Ryan Couture, it will be on Ai Iaquinta. I will hedge my bet just like last time when I have $3600 on Whittaker!
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Quote Originally Posted by MR219:
Iaquinta has also been out of action with injuries for a very long time...
Not a good thing for a fighter with such little experience...
very true! there is ring rust & Iaquinta is very 'green' with only 7 fights with 2 sub lost too, those 2 things make me very uncomfortable betting 3g+.
But I am confidence with this bet but Iaquinta 'winning' is not my only out! If there steam coming in, for sure it is not on Ryan Couture, it will be on Ai Iaquinta. I will hedge my bet just like last time when I have $3600 on Whittaker!
Nice hit Giga on Iaquinta! He has definitely worked on this takedown defense!
Ty, couldn't breath for 15 minutes+...lol. I was going to hedge back at least 2.5g the last second @+240 but someone drove the line down to +185 on couture...phew.
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Quote Originally Posted by MR219:
Nice hit Giga on Iaquinta! He has definitely worked on this takedown defense!
Ty, couldn't breath for 15 minutes+...lol. I was going to hedge back at least 2.5g the last second @+240 but someone drove the line down to +185 on couture...phew.
that was maybe the worst fight i've ever seen in the ufc
NO fight suck when you have enough $$$ to make your heart beat a bit faster. Even the Francis Carmont vs Tom Lawlor is exciting to me when I have 1g+ on it....lol.
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Quote Originally Posted by ossigor:
that was maybe the worst fight i've ever seen in the ufc
NO fight suck when you have enough $$$ to make your heart beat a bit faster. Even the Francis Carmont vs Tom Lawlor is exciting to me when I have 1g+ on it....lol.
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