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    All Forums | Mixed Martial Arts

    UFC 208 Picks and Analysis

    MMAMatt
    SoundsGood
    BWS77
    wiiooiiw
    straight_cash
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    MMAMatt
    MMAMatt
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    Joined: Feb, 2017
    Posts: 11
    Posted: Feb. 10, 2017 - 9:38 AM ET #1

    Here are my picks and thoughts on the fights I will be taking. Long time reader of covers but have never posted, just saw they have an MMA forum so I made an account as I am a big MMA bettor and have been for about 2 years or so, essentially watching and betting every UFC event. I thoroughly follow the sport and have profited quite a bit on a large majority of UFC cards. Recently I hit large on Masvidal and the Korean Zombie. Here are my picks and thoughts!

    De Randamie (-130) vs. Holm (+110)


    Holly has been handed tough opponent after tough opponent and rightfully so. I see Holm outlasting De Randamie in a 5 round fight as her last 2 have been 5 round fights. De Randamie has never been there before. Holm knows this fight is for her career and I expect her to be thoroughly trained for this fight and the team at Jackson Wink have a solid game plan. I see Holly taking it to the ground in the later rounds and win via submission.


    Silva (+130) vs. Brunson (-150)


    Brunson is a very powerful fighter but also a very reckless one. A younger spider would knock a guy out a guy like Brunson in the first round, taking advantage of the opening he leaves while being reckless. However, because this is an older Silva with a more questionable chin, Brunson has a good chance of catching Silva. However, I think because Silva has looked as good as he has in his last 2 fights despite being loses, I am going to take Silva with the juice. Keep in mind he lost a very questionable fight to Bisping in Bisping’s native London where he essentially knocked him out. Then was called on short notice to fight Cormier and actually hurt Cormier pretty bad at one point in the fight, enough to scare Cormier and have him just wrestle out the rest of the fight. I’ll take Spider and the extra juice via TKO.


    Boetsch (+405) vs. Souza (-525)


    Boetsch is a guy that has won me a decent amount of money from being an underdog in what seems like every fight. He has one punch knockout power which is always a good thing to look for when taking a big underdog. However, Souza is just a much more advanced mixed martial artist than Boetsch. I see Souza taking this to the ground early and submitting Boetsch rather quickly, avoiding the dangerous game of exchanging with the barbarian. I’ll take Souza via submission.


    Teixeira (-200) vs. Cannonier (+165)


    The fact that Teixeira was knocked out as quickly and severely as he was in his last fight scares me. Given it was against arguably the most powerful puncher in the entire UFC. But Cannonier possesses somewhat similar power. Teixeira is on his way out and Cannonier is on his way up. If Teixeira doesn’’t take this to the ground quickly he is going to be playing with fire. I just think Teixeira’s last fight is a sign of what’s to come for the 37 year old, an old and diminished chin leaving him susceptible to violent knockouts that we saw in his last fight. I’ll take Cannonier via knockout and the nicely sized juice.


    Miller (+350) vs. Poirier (-445)


    I really don’t like how big of a favorite Poirier is in this fight. I’m still trying to make sense of this line. Poirier is a much more dangerous fighter on his feet than Miller and he has looked much sharper in his recent fights despite being knocked out in his last one. Poirier has been fighting much more difficult competition than Miller which is my only guess as to why the line is the way it is. The last time Poirier was coming off a KO/TKO loss in his previous fight he KO’d his opponent in his next one. I don’t like giving up this much for a guy fighting a seasoned vet on a winning street but the level of competition that the 2 of them have been facing is night and day. I’ll risk the money and take Poirier via TKO and the unfavorable line.


    Brooks (-130) vs. McCall (-105)


    Uncle Creepy has had a real rough year of opponent after opponent after opponent pulling out on him. I think this has given him plenty of time to recover from his lingering injuries he’s battled and hungry to get back in the cage and show everyone he is far from done. McCall is the significantly bigger fighter as well as the more experienced. I’ll take McCall via decision.


    Brown (-140) vs. Muhammed (+120)


    This is my lock of the night pick. Brown is a very unique fighter. A long and lengthy guy that packs a lot of power. Think of him like a poor man’s Michael Venom Page. Muhammed is no easy task as he has displayed an iron chin in each of his recent fights. Brown is more dangerous on the ground and more dangerous on the feet. The size advantage will play a huge role in this fight and I believe Brown will pick apart Muhammed at distance jab after jab. He will most likely not be able to KO Muhammed but will rack up enough points on the score sheet to win the decision. Brown via decision is my pick.


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    Here are my picks and thoughts on the fights I will be taking. Long time reader of covers but have never posted, just saw they have an MMA forum so I made an account as I am a big MMA bettor and have been for about 2 years or so, essentially watching and betting every UFC event. I thoroughly follow the sport and have profited quite a bit on a large majority of UFC cards. Recently I hit large on Masvidal and the Korean Zombie. Here are my picks and thoughts!

    De Randamie (-130) vs. Holm (+110)


    Holly has been handed tough opponent after tough opponent and rightfully so. I see Holm outlasting De Randamie in a 5 round fight as her last 2 have been 5 round fights. De Randamie has never been there before. Holm knows this fight is for her career and I expect her to be thoroughly trained for this fight and the team at Jackson Wink have a solid game plan. I see Holly taking it to the ground in the later rounds and win via submission.


    Silva (+130) vs. Brunson (-150)


    Brunson is a very powerful fighter but also a very reckless one. A younger spider would knock a guy out a guy like Brunson in the first round, taking advantage of the opening he leaves while being reckless. However, because this is an older Silva with a more questionable chin, Brunson has a good chance of catching Silva. However, I think because Silva has looked as good as he has in his last 2 fights despite being loses, I am going to take Silva with the juice. Keep in mind he lost a very questionable fight to Bisping in Bisping’s native London where he essentially knocked him out. Then was called on short notice to fight Cormier and actually hurt Cormier pretty bad at one point in the fight, enough to scare Cormier and have him just wrestle out the rest of the fight. I’ll take Spider and the extra juice via TKO.


    Boetsch (+405) vs. Souza (-525)


    Boetsch is a guy that has won me a decent amount of money from being an underdog in what seems like every fight. He has one punch knockout power which is always a good thing to look for when taking a big underdog. However, Souza is just a much more advanced mixed martial artist than Boetsch. I see Souza taking this to the ground early and submitting Boetsch rather quickly, avoiding the dangerous game of exchanging with the barbarian. I’ll take Souza via submission.


    Teixeira (-200) vs. Cannonier (+165)


    The fact that Teixeira was knocked out as quickly and severely as he was in his last fight scares me. Given it was against arguably the most powerful puncher in the entire UFC. But Cannonier possesses somewhat similar power. Teixeira is on his way out and Cannonier is on his way up. If Teixeira doesn’’t take this to the ground quickly he is going to be playing with fire. I just think Teixeira’s last fight is a sign of what’s to come for the 37 year old, an old and diminished chin leaving him susceptible to violent knockouts that we saw in his last fight. I’ll take Cannonier via knockout and the nicely sized juice.


    Miller (+350) vs. Poirier (-445)


    I really don’t like how big of a favorite Poirier is in this fight. I’m still trying to make sense of this line. Poirier is a much more dangerous fighter on his feet than Miller and he has looked much sharper in his recent fights despite being knocked out in his last one. Poirier has been fighting much more difficult competition than Miller which is my only guess as to why the line is the way it is. The last time Poirier was coming off a KO/TKO loss in his previous fight he KO’d his opponent in his next one. I don’t like giving up this much for a guy fighting a seasoned vet on a winning street but the level of competition that the 2 of them have been facing is night and day. I’ll risk the money and take Poirier via TKO and the unfavorable line.


    Brooks (-130) vs. McCall (-105)


    Uncle Creepy has had a real rough year of opponent after opponent after opponent pulling out on him. I think this has given him plenty of time to recover from his lingering injuries he’s battled and hungry to get back in the cage and show everyone he is far from done. McCall is the significantly bigger fighter as well as the more experienced. I’ll take McCall via decision.


    Brown (-140) vs. Muhammed (+120)


    This is my lock of the night pick. Brown is a very unique fighter. A long and lengthy guy that packs a lot of power. Think of him like a poor man’s Michael Venom Page. Muhammed is no easy task as he has displayed an iron chin in each of his recent fights. Brown is more dangerous on the ground and more dangerous on the feet. The size advantage will play a huge role in this fight and I believe Brown will pick apart Muhammed at distance jab after jab. He will most likely not be able to KO Muhammed but will rack up enough points on the score sheet to win the decision. Brown via decision is my pick.


     
    SoundsGood
    SoundsGood
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    Posted: Feb. 10, 2017 - 7:01 PM ET #2

    Great write up thx for sharing
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    Great write up thx for sharing
     
    BWS77
    BWS77
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    Posted: Feb. 10, 2017 - 9:06 PM ET #3

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    wiiooiiw
    wiiooiiw
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    Joined: Aug, 2013
    Posts: 182
    Posted: Feb. 11, 2017 - 9:54 AM ET #4

    have you seen weigh ins. Uncle creepy looked like uncle tubby. I had him b4 I saw that. the line there moved 50 away from him too. another big move was that poirier line you pointed out. That started at -185 and is near -400 now. with you on your picks, except glover. And again have doubts about McCall , might take brooks itd . GL
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    have you seen weigh ins. Uncle creepy looked like uncle tubby. I had him b4 I saw that. the line there moved 50 away from him too. another big move was that poirier line you pointed out. That started at -185 and is near -400 now. with you on your picks, except glover. And again have doubts about McCall , might take brooks itd . GL
     
     
    straight_cash
    straight_cash
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    Joined: Aug, 2015
    Posts: 7461
    Posted: Feb. 11, 2017 - 7:50 PM ET #5

    BOL MMAMatt 
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    BOL MMAMatt 
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