Correction 14 fights total. Keep in mind it is best to get an overview then rewatch tape before placing bet.
1.Will the fight be one sided w/ little danger, evenly matched?
2.Weakness of each fighter
3.Pros (correction) of each fighter
4.How will the fighter win?
5.Over/under?
Sarah Moras vs Lauren Murphy
Evenly matched. No advantage. Over 1.5 or full 3 rounds would be okay bet depending on the line. No bet on either.
Conclusion. Both have no method to victory. Murphy may be stronger and can edge a decision GNP. Both will go to the ground. Over 1.5 (90%). or goes the distance (75%)
Anthony Hamilton vs Shamil
1. One sided for Hamilton
2. Weakness on Shamil for his complete lack of ground game (7 months ago) , did not lock down a leg to hold in half guard, effortless pass to full guard for his opponent . Lost to +250 odds opponent. Bad takedown defence. Overall lack of knowledge grabbing the fence with no reason, losing a point. Throwing a weak front kick and getting taken down. No game plan.
If Hamilton gets taken down in an awkward position he does not explode out or defend so well.
3. Shamil is a slightly better boxer. decent jab. Solid chin
Hamilton has a good ground game, solid chin. Excellent at timing takedowns.
4.Hamilton has good wrestling and will hold him down GnP wear him out. Shamil can end the fight by KO on ground not as likely.
5. Over 1.5, goes to decision, Hamilton (85%)
Sean Strickland vs Garcia
1.Garcia one sided (65%)
2. Sean Strickland stands very straight up and down from time to time will not move much with back against fence. Boxing is below average. No threat of KO on feet, ground or submission. Will try to run out clock.
Difficult to take down Garcia.
Garcia has bad cardio from matchup around 6 months ago (because of how much muscle he has). Loads up on punches one or two at a time full strength. No real threat of KO unless he catches two punches flush.
3. Sean has better cardio. He is good at going for take downs when people throw flurries (Garcia doesnt flurry). Will be about even in stand up. Sean will choose to pick select shots against Garcia and move around the cage.
Garcia has great takedown technique using his strength as an advantage. Will see a lot of takedowns racking up points. Holds onto positions on the ground. Doesnt stay in the pocket so he doesnt lose points.
4. Garcia wins by either KO by catching Stickland in round 1 or early in second. Garcia decision by takedowns and getting more control and damage on the ground and feet.
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