Cannetti vs. Costa - Interesting fight, odds are Costa wipes him out by KO/TKO in 1st round. Thing is, Costa has been 1st round or bust his entire career. He throws everything at his opponent in 1st round, then either gasses or quits if he hasn't finished it by then, and ends up getting finished himself. PICK - Not sure what i'm doing here yet, but Cannetti to win in Round 2 (+1300) and to win in Round 3 (+1900) are tempting. If Cannetti survives Round 1, history has shown it's anyone's fight.
Chandler vs. Stoliarenko - Last time Stoliarenko fought her odds skyrocketed 10 minutes before her fight, and for good reason as she got an easy 1st round submission win. Stoliarenko is another 1st round or bust fighter. Chandler is making her debut and is a big strong women who is at home on the mat. She is a member of Cesar Gracie Jiu Jitsu and i'm banking on them having her prepared for Stoliarenko's armbar. PICK - Chandler ML (-105)
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Let's get this started
Cannetti vs. Costa - Interesting fight, odds are Costa wipes him out by KO/TKO in 1st round. Thing is, Costa has been 1st round or bust his entire career. He throws everything at his opponent in 1st round, then either gasses or quits if he hasn't finished it by then, and ends up getting finished himself. PICK - Not sure what i'm doing here yet, but Cannetti to win in Round 2 (+1300) and to win in Round 3 (+1900) are tempting. If Cannetti survives Round 1, history has shown it's anyone's fight.
Chandler vs. Stoliarenko - Last time Stoliarenko fought her odds skyrocketed 10 minutes before her fight, and for good reason as she got an easy 1st round submission win. Stoliarenko is another 1st round or bust fighter. Chandler is making her debut and is a big strong women who is at home on the mat. She is a member of Cesar Gracie Jiu Jitsu and i'm banking on them having her prepared for Stoliarenko's armbar. PICK - Chandler ML (-105)
Allen vs. Jotko - Allen is 26, and should be looking to make a move into the Top 15. I took him last time out vs. Malkoun and thought he escaped with a win by skin of his teeth. Not unusual to hear booing during Jotko's fights, he is content to land a few jabs/leg kicks and then grapple against the cage and fight for dominant position. PICK - been going back and forth,might be a live bet if i play it at all
Silva vs. Ronson - Does NOT go distance...might include in a parlay
Ricci vs. Penne - Ricci will be shooting double legs trying to get this fight to the ground. Penne has those longish legs and it's not always easy to get her down. Penne is 39 years old though and Ricci is just entering her prime. PICK - Ricci ML (-210) might include this in parlay w/ silva/ronson
finish these tomorrow
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Lins vs. Grishin - NO PLAY
Allen vs. Jotko - Allen is 26, and should be looking to make a move into the Top 15. I took him last time out vs. Malkoun and thought he escaped with a win by skin of his teeth. Not unusual to hear booing during Jotko's fights, he is content to land a few jabs/leg kicks and then grapple against the cage and fight for dominant position. PICK - been going back and forth,might be a live bet if i play it at all
Silva vs. Ronson - Does NOT go distance...might include in a parlay
Ricci vs. Penne - Ricci will be shooting double legs trying to get this fight to the ground. Penne has those longish legs and it's not always easy to get her down. Penne is 39 years old though and Ricci is just entering her prime. PICK - Ricci ML (-210) might include this in parlay w/ silva/ronson
Watching ONE on firestick....consider this company to be the next best thing after UFC. They have MMA, but also muay thai and kickboxing fights too.
Anyone who actually enjoys watching this stuff and not just betting on it should check it out, if they haven't already. Anyway....
Oleinik vs. Latifi - This fight may finally happen. In the past i've picked Latifi by TKO/KO, but something is giving me pause now. NO PLAY
Davis vs. Boreschev - Feel like Davis should be an even bigger favorite, his only losses were to 2 top contenders. I really don't care for Boreschev, he has some power in his hands, but he gasses real easily. PICK - Davis by finish +140
NO PLAY on Castenada/Santos & Yusuff fights
Barcelos vs. Jones - Barcelos is known for his boxing prowess and he does have good movement and excellent timing on his boxing combos. Jones is a great athlete who also has solid power. Barcelos has been in some brawls and at 35 he may be on a downturn evidenced in his last when he was sucking wind with a minute left in 1st round. Pick - Jones ML +200....certainly a chance Barcelos just out-boxes him, but i didn't like what i saw in his last fight, even got hurt a few times by Victor Henry who isn't a power puncher.
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Watching ONE on firestick....consider this company to be the next best thing after UFC. They have MMA, but also muay thai and kickboxing fights too.
Anyone who actually enjoys watching this stuff and not just betting on it should check it out, if they haven't already. Anyway....
Oleinik vs. Latifi - This fight may finally happen. In the past i've picked Latifi by TKO/KO, but something is giving me pause now. NO PLAY
Davis vs. Boreschev - Feel like Davis should be an even bigger favorite, his only losses were to 2 top contenders. I really don't care for Boreschev, he has some power in his hands, but he gasses real easily. PICK - Davis by finish +140
NO PLAY on Castenada/Santos & Yusuff fights
Barcelos vs. Jones - Barcelos is known for his boxing prowess and he does have good movement and excellent timing on his boxing combos. Jones is a great athlete who also has solid power. Barcelos has been in some brawls and at 35 he may be on a downturn evidenced in his last when he was sucking wind with a minute left in 1st round. Pick - Jones ML +200....certainly a chance Barcelos just out-boxes him, but i didn't like what i saw in his last fight, even got hurt a few times by Victor Henry who isn't a power puncher.
Brown vs. Trinaldo - Trinaldo is 44 yo but has been the man who seems to always have more energy in the 3rd round. If Rudeboy Brown gets a win here he should face a ranked opponent so there should be plenty to fight for. Trinaldo has never been Ko'd but has been submitted and Brown's Jiu-Jitsu has looked great of late and he has those long limbs to get it done. PICK - Brown by sub +550......Trinaldo's body has to give out some point. May just play this Brown by finish (+140) but i like Brown to hurt him on the feet and then get a choke, like Kevin Holland did a few months ago to Tim Means
Dern vs. Yan - I admittedly wasn't a fan of Dern when she first came in because i didn't trust her being able to go far with zero stand-up. She says she has been making improvements there and it's showed in her recent fights. Her improvement in the stand up will give her just enough opportunity to get this fight to the ground where she has a massive advantage. Pick - Dern ML......may combine this with a few other bets into a parlay
As usual i'll post my plays during the show tomorrow
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Brown vs. Trinaldo - Trinaldo is 44 yo but has been the man who seems to always have more energy in the 3rd round. If Rudeboy Brown gets a win here he should face a ranked opponent so there should be plenty to fight for. Trinaldo has never been Ko'd but has been submitted and Brown's Jiu-Jitsu has looked great of late and he has those long limbs to get it done. PICK - Brown by sub +550......Trinaldo's body has to give out some point. May just play this Brown by finish (+140) but i like Brown to hurt him on the feet and then get a choke, like Kevin Holland did a few months ago to Tim Means
Dern vs. Yan - I admittedly wasn't a fan of Dern when she first came in because i didn't trust her being able to go far with zero stand-up. She says she has been making improvements there and it's showed in her recent fights. Her improvement in the stand up will give her just enough opportunity to get this fight to the ground where she has a massive advantage. Pick - Dern ML......may combine this with a few other bets into a parlay
As usual i'll post my plays during the show tomorrow
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